sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Unranked

thinkpopo

0xe9a…409c@thinkpopo
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$670vol $182k
PnL 30d−$114gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$168win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate96.6%adj 93.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$4,428cash n/a
Positions105 / 342open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 7mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$240below peak −$5,862Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 96.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No1,00064¢100¢$1,000+$360$0
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No1,00070¢96.2¢$962+$262$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No50073¢100¢$500+$135$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No50084¢97¢$485+$65$0
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes30061¢100¢$300+$117$0
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?No30059.7¢80¢$240+$61$0
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No25076¢95.6¢$239+$49$0
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes20021¢100¢$200+$158$0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No15088¢100¢$150+$18$0
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No20052¢50¢$100−$4.00$0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No10069¢100¢$100+$31$0
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No10027¢87¢$87+$60$0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No4054¢100¢$40+$19$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes20047¢12.5¢$25−$69$0
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,0001.8¢0¢$0−$90$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?Yes4,5002.2¢0¢$0−$98$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?Yes4,3509.5¢0¢$0−$414+$95
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes3,0005¢0¢$0−$150+$2.00
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes3,0003.6¢0¢$0−$108$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on November 12?Yes3,0000.1¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?Yes2,5005.6¢0¢$0−$139$0
Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes2,0002.7¢0¢$0−$53$0
US government shutdown Saturday?No1,75070.9¢0¢$0−$1,240$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes1,5963.9¢0¢$0−$62$0
Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes1,5005¢0¢$0−$75$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes1,0001.3¢0¢$0−$13$0
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 11-17?No1,00015¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will Solana dip to $80 in January?Yes1,0002.5¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98,000 on November 10?Yes1,0005.5¢0¢$0−$55$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No1,00076¢0¢$0−$760$0
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes1,0006¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 24?No1,0000.6¢0¢$0−$5.75$0
Will Solana dip to $100 December 15-21?Yes9984.2¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?No97538.7¢0¢$0−$378$0
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?No80057.4¢0¢$0−$459$0
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes75064.7¢0¢$0−$485$0
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes55534¢0¢$0−$189$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $62 by December 31, 2026?No50062¢0¢$0−$310$0
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No50045.1¢0¢$0−$226$0
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No50059¢0¢$0−$295$0
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?No5009.2¢0¢$0−$46$0
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes50025¢0¢$0−$125$0
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes50074¢0¢$0−$370$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?No50087¢0¢$0−$435$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 24?No5004¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Solana dip to $80 in December?Yes5001.8¢0¢$0−$9.00$0
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes5007.3¢0¢$0−$36$0
Nuggets vs. CavaliersNuggets50014¢0¢$0−$70$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No50064¢0¢$0−$320$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 27?No5001.8¢0¢$0−$9.00$0
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?No45086.3¢0¢$0−$388$0
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?No45083¢0¢$0−$374$0
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?No39864.1¢0¢$0−$255$0
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?Yes35068.9¢0¢$0−$241$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?No35073.9¢0¢$0−$258$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13?Up30072¢0¢$0−$216$0
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?No30089¢0¢$0−$267$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?No30080¢0¢$0−$240$0
US strike on Syria by December 31?No30082¢0¢$0−$246$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?No30067¢0¢$0−$201$0
Will Trump sue the BBC?No30060¢0¢$0−$180$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19?Down30082.5¢0¢$0−$247$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Yes30010¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?No30036.5¢0¢$0−$109$0
No US strike on Syria in 2025?Yes30082¢0¢$0−$246$0
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?No26874.6¢0¢$0−$200$0
Jazz vs. ClippersJazz25015¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?No25041¢0¢$0−$103$0
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No25016¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on December 17?No25083.9¢0¢$0−$210$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 December 29-January 4?No25063¢0¢$0−$158$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?No25091¢0¢$0−$228$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No25083¢0¢$0−$207$0
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?No20088¢0¢$0−$176$0
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on December 17?Yes20076¢0¢$0−$152$0
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?No20080¢0¢$0−$160$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 19?No20075¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No20065.6¢0¢$0−$131$0
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?No20056¢0¢$0−$112$0
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes20049¢0¢$0−$98$0
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 12?No20083¢0¢$0−$166$0
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?No20082.1¢0¢$0−$164$0
Ethereum Up or Down on December 15?Up20082¢0¢$0−$164$0
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No20093¢0¢$0−$186$0
Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?No20076.6¢0¢$0−$153$0
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No20069¢0¢$0−$138$0
Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes20074¢0¢$0−$148$0
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?Yes20086¢0¢$0−$172$0
Will Hyperliquid hit $34 in January?No20083¢0¢$0−$166$0
Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?Yes15021¢0¢$0−$31$0
76ers vs. MavericksMavericks12547¢0¢$0−$59$0
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?No11070¢0¢$0−$77$0
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No10081¢0¢$0−$81$0
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on November 27?Yes10069¢0¢$0−$69$0
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on November 29?No10063¢0¢$0−$63$0
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 18?No10074¢0¢$0−$74$0
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?No10062¢0¢$0−$62$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?No10066¢0¢$0−$66$0
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes10029¢0¢$0−$29$0
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?No10070¢0¢$0−$70$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?67¢400$26897%37
BUY YesWill Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?7.3¢328$2497%37
BUY YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?3.9¢1,596$6297%37
BUY NoIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?82¢54$4497%37
SELL YesWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?0.2¢450$0.9097%37
SELL NoWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?5.5¢250$1497%37
BUY NoWill Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?67¢300$20197%37
BUY NoWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?90¢100$9097%37
BUY YesWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?44¢16$6.8497%37
BUY NoKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?82¢136$11297%37
BUY YesIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?34¢555$18997%37
BUY YesWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?25¢500$12597%37
BUY Trail BlazersTrail Blazers vs. Pelicans50¢100$5097%37
BUY YesWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?86¢17$1597%37
BUY NoSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?74¢250$18597%37
BUY JazzJazz vs. Clippers15¢250$3897%37
BUY YesNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?89¢250$22397%37
BUY NoWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?88¢200$17697%37
BUY Mavericks76ers vs. Mavericks47¢125$5997%37
BUY YesWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?77¢242$18697%37