PnL all-time+$92.6kvol $866k
PnL 30d+$709gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$81win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 69.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$57.9kcash n/a
Positions8 / 21open / all-time
Max drawdown−25.6%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 4mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$99.8kbelow peak −$1,373Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale71
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%74
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable44
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$44.0kWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · Noclosed+$23.8kWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Noclosed+$18.6kWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Noopen+$6,466Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · Yesclosed+$4,157
Worst markets
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 29.6k | 79.2¢ | 97.8¢ | $29.0k | +$5,493 | +$974 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 10.0k | 96¢ | 100¢ | $10.0k | +$400 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 9,774 | 92¢ | 97.9¢ | $9,563 | +$570 | +$1,311 | |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | 6,760 | 83.8¢ | 96.8¢ | $6,543 | +$882 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 1,681 | 80.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,605 | +$252 | −$937 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 1,196 | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | $1,196 | +$77 | +$90 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 9,691 | 81¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,849 | $0 | |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 6,073 | 39.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,415 | $0 |
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