sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

acc42020

0xeab…d4c6
PnL 10k+1y+WeatherPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$11.5kvol $13.3M
PnL 30d−$5,246gains $5,716 · losses $6,068
PnL 7d−$1,976win rate 7d 61.5%
Win rate50.7%adj 50.7% · 30d 50.7%
Open value$7,355cash n/a
Positions257 / 8,695open / all-time
Max drawdown−65.6%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$12.0kbelow peak −$22.6kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 50.7% · shrunk toward 50%27
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity34

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?No69929.7¢52.5¢$367+$159$0
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?No38562¢83¢$320+$81+$0.92
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 5?No28147.7¢100¢$281+$147+$12
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes27589¢95¢$261+$17+$171
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 5?No25780¢100¢$257+$51$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11?No24969.7¢100¢$249+$75−$1.08
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?No24385¢97.5¢$237+$30+$5.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 11?No23063.9¢100¢$230+$83−$1.35
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes30070¢69.5¢$209−$1.50$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?No43065.9¢48¢$206−$77$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 9?No19460¢100¢$194+$78+$6.14
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No1,17015¢15.5¢$181+$5.85$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 4?No17165¢100¢$171+$60+$12
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No15274.8¢100¢$152+$38−$5.64
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 11?No15167.4¢100¢$151+$49+$8.27
Spread: Dorking Wanderers FC (-1.5)Chatham Town FC14555¢100¢$145+$65$0
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5)Solary14057¢100¢$140+$60$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?No64523.6¢21.5¢$139−$14−$18
Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his rally in Oklahoma?Yes12853¢100¢$128+$60$0
Spain snap election called in 2026?Yes12384.1¢100¢$123+$20−$12
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?No61417.1¢20¢$123+$18$0
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 7?No11062¢100¢$110+$42+$0.70
Will Bury Town FC win on 2026-10-06?No10772.8¢100¢$107+$29$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 11?Yes10654¢100¢$106+$49−$0.17
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes30047.9¢32.5¢$98−$46+$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 2?No9787.2¢100¢$97+$12+$5.39
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 7?No8845.7¢100¢$88+$48+$12
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?Yes30011¢28.5¢$86+$53−$14
Seychelles vs. Sri Lanka: Sri Lanka O/U 1.5Over8044¢100¢$80+$45$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 11?No7967¢100¢$79+$26$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 13?Yes12547¢59¢$74+$15$0
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?No7971¢92¢$73+$17$0
Will Trump say "Aluminum" during his rally in Oklahoma?Yes6990¢100¢$69+$6.92+$0.72
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 30?No6684¢100¢$66+$10+$4.07
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Yes6172.4¢10.5¢$65+$50+$70
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?Yes30014.6¢21.5¢$64+$21$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on October 5?No6446.9¢100¢$64+$34+$16
Turkiye vs. Slovenia: Turkiye O/U 1.5Over6434¢100¢$64+$42$0
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Yes30034¢20.5¢$62−$41$0
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8?Down6178.5¢100¢$61+$13+$8.05
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes29921.8¢19.5¢$58−$6.98−$45
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 2?No5685.5¢100¢$56+$8.20+$1.94
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes30033¢18.5¢$56−$44+$9.00
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 7?No5264.7¢100¢$52+$18+$14
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 5?Yes479.5¢100¢$47+$42$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on October 5?No4672¢100¢$46+$13+$6.20
Spain snap election called by October 31?Yes4572¢100¢$45+$13−$13
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes30039.1¢14.5¢$43−$74$0
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?No8159¢53.5¢$43−$4.46$0
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Yes29921.4¢14¢$42−$22$0
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes30015¢13.5¢$41−$4.50$0
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BGNS Orange (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group ATHUNDER dOWNUNDER8052¢50¢$40−$1.60$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 30?No4068.4¢100¢$40+$13+$4.25
Counter-Strike: maybe vs Noir Verse (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Amaybe3926.5¢100¢$39+$28+$4.43
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes2116.9¢18.2¢$38+$24+$218
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes30021¢12.5¢$37−$25$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 30?No3550.8¢100¢$35+$17+$7.13
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No7538¢46.5¢$35+$6.37+$1.68
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 13?Yes8539.7¢41¢$35+$1.07−$0.96
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No3689.1¢93.9¢$34+$1.71+$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 11?No3250¢100¢$32+$16$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 2?No3166¢100¢$31+$11+$20
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?No6247.1¢50.5¢$31+$2.10+$12
Will Spalding United FC win on 2026-10-06?Yes2944¢100¢$29+$16+$16
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes22720¢12.5¢$28−$17+$31
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes10021.2¢27.5¢$27+$6.30+$212
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 2?No2766.2¢100¢$27+$9.03+$29
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes29915.4¢8.5¢$25−$21$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on October 2?No2469.8¢100¢$24+$7.31−$2.96
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group ANIP10121¢23.5¢$24+$2.52$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 13?No2491.7¢96.8¢$23+$1.22$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 100-101°F on October 4?Yes2038.4¢100¢$20+$12$0
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes9233¢21.5¢$20−$11−$17
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 5?No1971.4¢100¢$19+$5.52−$3.52
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 5?No1975.8¢100¢$19+$4.52−$5.21
Spain snap election called by November 30?Yes1864¢100¢$18+$6.48+$44
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 28 2026?Yes1765.1¢100¢$17+$6.00$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 11?No1792¢100¢$17+$1.36$0
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Yes2564¢59.5¢$15−$1.12$0
Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Yes2067¢71.5¢$14+$0.90$0
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 13?Yes3130¢42¢$13+$3.77$0
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?No12117.1¢8.5¢$10−$11+$13
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?No5028¢20.5¢$10−$3.75−$3.29
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?No22711.7¢4.1¢$9.31−$17+$22
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes4932.5¢1.8¢$8.87−$3.45$0
Will Buffalo Bills finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most offensive touchdowns?Yes2313¢37.5¢$8.78+$5.73+$1.25
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes826.1¢100¢$8.50+$6.28+$22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 10?No738.7¢100¢$7.36+$4.51−$11
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 2?No775¢100¢$6.69+$1.67$0
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BGNS Orange (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group ABGNS Orange1346.9¢50¢$6.69+$0.42+$8.66
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes4215.3¢16¢$6.68+$0.28+$110
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes3006¢2.2¢$6.60−$11$0
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?Yes2028¢3.1¢$6.17−$10−$2.14
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 30?No653.9¢100¢$6.01+$2.77−$3.33
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes10015¢6¢$6.00−$9.00$0
Will Trump say "Fake News" during his rally in Oklahoma?Yes694.4¢100¢$6.00+$0.34$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13?Yes1918¢30¢$5.55+$2.22$0
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes448.1¢11.5¢$5.02+$1.48+$8.07
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 4?No568¢100¢$5.00+$1.60−$5.25
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 4?No526¢100¢$5.00+$3.70$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 10?50¢7$3.5051%53
SELL NoHouthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?86¢109$9451%53
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 10?50¢10$5.0051%53
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 10?58¢12$6.9651%53
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 11?53¢9$4.7751%53
SELL NoHouthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?89¢116$10351%53
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 10?59¢5$2.9551%53
SELL YesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?54¢14$7.5651%53
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 8?57¢70$4051%53
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 7?51¢10$5.1051%53
SELL NoWill Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?54¢7$3.7851%53
SELL YesSpain snap election called by October 31?50¢199$10051%53
SELL Dorking Wanderers FCSpread: Dorking Wanderers FC (-1.5)45¢79$3651%53
SELL NoWill Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?27¢90$2451%53
SELL NoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?38¢5$1.9051%53
SELL NoWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026?48¢91$4451%53
SELL CzechiaSpread: England (-1.5)49¢141$6951%53
SELL NoWill Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South?45¢36$1651%53
SELL NoWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?25.7¢122$3151%53
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?92.5¢270$25051%53