sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,525

SuperavitFiscal

0xeb4…693e
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$158kvol $6.06M
PnL 30d+$182kgains $67.3k · losses $59.3k
PnL 7d+$120kwin rate 7d 77.8%
Win rate85.6%adj 83.4% · 30d 78.9%
Open value$536kcash n/a
Positions50 / 356open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$26.1kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 85.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen+$148kWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noopen+$28.1kIsrael closes its airspace by June 30? · Noclosed+$16.7kWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Noclosed+$14.6kIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yesclosed+$14.2k

Worst markets

Iran closes its airspace by June 30? · Noopen−$92.7kIran closes its airspace by June 15? · Noopen−$63.7kIsrael closes its airspace by September 30? · Noclosed−$36.7kWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · Noopen−$30.5kWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? · Yesclosed−$25.8k

Open positions · 50

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes437k51.6¢85.7¢$374k+$148k$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No144k67¢86.5¢$124k+$28.1k$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes17.0k82¢81.5¢$13.9k−$81$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No10.2k81.7¢84.5¢$8,577+$281+$23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes5,11995¢94.5¢$4,837−$26$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes10.5k46.5¢45.5¢$4,791−$102$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes3,04981.7¢83¢$2,531+$41$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes6,86112¢15.3¢$1,046+$219$0
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1,00896.1¢99¢$998+$29$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?No57884.1¢93.5¢$540+$54$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes56873¢79.5¢$452+$37$0
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No12470¢71¢$88+$1.29$0
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?Yes8382¢85¢$70+$2.49$0
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No115k78.7¢0¢$0−$90.6k−$2,130
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No56.0k84.9¢0¢$0−$47.5k−$16.2k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No35.6k85.2¢0¢$0−$30.3k−$168
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?No14.0k92.6¢0¢$0−$13.0k−$38
Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs11.9k88.5¢0¢$0−$10.6k−$36
Tampa Bay Rays vs. AthleticsAthletics11.5k86.3¢0¢$0−$9,900−$61
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Yes10.2k90.4¢0¢$0−$9,187−$35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No6,07883.4¢0¢$0−$5,070−$32
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No4,11890¢0¢$0−$3,706−$11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No4,07991¢0¢$0−$3,710−$8,191
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao FonsecaCasper Ruud3,6766.9¢0¢$0−$252−$6.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No2,84183.1¢0¢$0−$2,360−$16
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Egypt?Yes2,28614¢0¢$0−$320−$8.26
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Egypt?Yes2,1194.7¢0¢$0−$100−$2.86
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No2,00583.8¢0¢$0−$1,681−$11
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?Yes2,0009¢0¢$0−$180−$4.91
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt?Yes2,00015¢0¢$0−$300−$7.65
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?Yes1,9679.2¢0¢$0−$180−$4.91
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Egypt?Yes1,81811¢0¢$0−$200−$5.34
Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Yes1,74533.9¢0¢$0−$591−$16
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?Yes1,38265.1¢0¢$0−$899$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?Yes1,32144¢0¢$0−$581$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No1,12585.3¢0¢$0−$960−$5.62
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?No1,02875.6¢0¢$0−$778$0
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?No26766.3¢0¢$0−$177$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETUp23115.1¢0¢$0−$35−$1.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETDown20724.1¢0¢$0−$50−$2.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETDown1947.7¢0¢$0−$15−$0.97
Will Eli Borges win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?Yes14816.2¢0¢$0−$24−$0.80
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No10760¢0¢$0−$64$0
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Colombia?Yes10616¢0¢$0−$17−$0.43
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Colombia?Yes10010¢0¢$0−$10−$0.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETDown8212.3¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.61
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?Yes7713¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.26
Will Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?Yes3611.9¢0¢$0−$4.30−$0.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETUp2917¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETDown2917¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.29

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.6¢555$47086%42
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?14.3¢2,490$35586%42
SELL NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?84¢1,000$84086%42
BUY NoWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?72¢4$3.0086%42
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.1¢5,401$4,54286%42
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?10.8¢4,371$47286%42
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?46.5¢10.5k$4,89386%42
SELL NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?94¢10.7k$10.1k86%42Whale
BUY YesWill Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?93.9¢36$3486%42
BUY YesBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?82¢83$6886%42
SELL NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?94¢100$9486%42
BUY NoWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?69.9¢120$8486%42
SELL NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?94¢100$9486%42
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?86¢342$29486%42
BUY YesWill Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?96.2¢972$93586%42
SELL NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?94¢1,000$94086%42
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢341$29086%42
SELL YesWill Sanderson win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?99.3¢292$29086%42
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢2,875$2,44486%42
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢9,346$7,94486%42