sharpside
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JoseStrickland4151

0xec9…1214@Lithium65519591
PoliticsSportOtherCultureWeatherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,834vol $732k
PnL 30d−$37gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$8.25win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.0%adj 52.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$4,736cash n/a
Positions111 / 786open / all-time
Max drawdown−49.5%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,327below peak −$2,682Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 53.0% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity51

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M PanthersPrairie View A&M Panthers1,84158.9¢50¢$921−$163$0
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State GamecocksJacksonville State Gamecocks88784.8¢100¢$887+$135$0
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No95718.8¢91.1¢$871+$691$0
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5Over66632.1¢100¢$666+$452$0
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?No70965¢70.5¢$500+$39$0
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M PanthersSouthern Miss Golden Eagles63522¢50¢$318+$178$0
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?Yes26311¢100¢$263+$234$0
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois PanthersEastern Illinois Panthers13778.9¢100¢$137+$29$0
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes96981.2¢9¢$87−$700$0
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI1,12152¢4.5¢$50−$532$0
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?No1924¢100¢$19+$14$0
Will Darko Rajakovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No994.1¢100¢$9.00+$0.53−$0.97
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No453¢91.5¢$3.66+$1.54$0
Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?Yes591¢48¢$2.40−$2.15−$26
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes288¢81.1¢$1.62−$0.14−$19
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes1122¢3.6¢$0.39−$2.02−$57
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Yes322¢6¢$0.18−$0.48−$0.07
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?Yes426¢3.2¢$0.13−$0.91+$6.58
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes440¢1.4¢$0.06−$1.73$0
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?No1,23613.1¢0¢$0−$162$0
Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)US Catanzaro 19291,14713¢0¢$0−$149$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 31 be less than 2,000,000?No1,09429.9¢0¢$0−$327$0
Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?No86012¢0¢$0−$103$0
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC84517¢0¢$0−$144$0
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5Over76135¢0¢$0−$266$0
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 29)No69329¢0¢$0−$201$0
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI56510.5¢0¢$0−$59$0
Will MrBeast say "Challenge" during his next YouTube video?Yes51347¢0¢$0−$241$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000?Yes49817¢0¢$0−$85$0
Will Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes49037¢0¢$0−$181$0
Will Aurora qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No48647¢0¢$0−$228$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?Yes48241¢0¢$0−$198$0
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Over48225¢0¢$0−$121$0
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 4AM ETDown46850¢0¢$0−$234$0
XRP Up or Down - February 11, 11PM ETDown43250¢0¢$0−$216$0
Will fewer than 20 tornadoes occur in the United States in November?No3840.9¢0¢$0−$3.33$0
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes34511¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?Yes33820¢0¢$0−$68$0
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?No32859¢0¢$0−$194$0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Under30077¢0¢$0−$231$0
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State GamecocksMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders27715.1¢0¢$0−$42$0
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Under26948.8¢0¢$0−$131$0
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown25835¢0¢$0−$90$0
Will Melania say "Knowledge is power" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?Yes25222¢0¢$0−$55$0
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes2472.6¢0¢$0−$6.31$0
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?Yes2333.1¢0¢$0−$7.22$0
Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?Yes2321.4¢0¢$0−$3.23$0
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 6AM ETUp22949¢0¢$0−$112$0
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?No2233.2¢0¢$0−$7.14−$0.25
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5Over22050.1¢0¢$0−$110$0
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?Yes2201.8¢0¢$0−$3.96$0
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over21555¢0¢$0−$118$0
Will "Football" be said 20+ times during the World Cup Draw on December 5?No19538¢0¢$0−$74$0
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern JaguarsMississippi Valley State Delta Devils18612¢0¢$0−$22$0
Turkish forces in Gaza in 2025?Yes1761.4¢0¢$0−$2.46$0
Fannie Mae IPO in 2025?Yes1661.1¢0¢$0−$1.83$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes1650.7¢0¢$0−$1.16$0
New pandemic in 2025?Yes1641.4¢0¢$0−$2.30$0
Will the Miami Heat win more than 37.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No1634.3¢0¢$0−$6.97+$2.16
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5Under15745.9¢0¢$0−$72$0
Will Endless Cookie be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes1555¢0¢$0−$7.75$0
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?Yes1522.5¢0¢$0−$3.80$0
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Super Bowl?Yes14317¢0¢$0−$24$0
Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?Yes1390.8¢0¢$0−$1.11$0
Will Atlas introduce ads by December 31?Yes1256¢0¢$0−$7.50$0
Will Sam Altman say "Nvidia" or "Bubble" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes12422¢0¢$0−$27$0
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes12439¢0¢$0−$48$0
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?Yes1223.4¢0¢$0−$4.20+$1.45
Iran nuclear test in 2025?Yes1221.2¢0¢$0−$1.46$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETUp11449¢0¢$0−$56$0
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No11313¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Bally’s Corporation receive a license for Bally’s New York casino in The Bronx?No11156.8¢0¢$0−$63$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes1101.4¢0¢$0−$1.54$0
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2025?Yes1092.4¢0¢$0−$2.62$0
Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?No10840¢0¢$0−$43$0
Will Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15?Yes9852.2¢0¢$0−$51−$1.73
Julie Masino out as Cracker Barrel CEO in 2025? Yes971.8¢0¢$0−$1.75+$0.85
Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes881.2¢0¢$0−$1.06$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes871.9¢0¢$0−$1.65−$0.24
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?Yes8514¢0¢$0−$12$0
Hayden Davis in jail in 2025?Yes841.2¢0¢$0−$1.01$0
Will Trump say "Women's Sports" or "Transgender" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?Yes8414¢0¢$0−$12+$35
Will Gold Mansacks win the Orderly trading competition?Yes7220¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?No6897¢0¢$0−$66−$1.57
Will SpaceX have exactly 9 launches in February?Yes641¢0¢$0−$0.60+$2.14
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Cup?Yes637.1¢0¢$0−$4.47$0
Will Salsa Tekila win the Orderly trading competition?Yes606.5¢0¢$0−$3.90$0
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?Yes5915¢0¢$0−$8.85$0
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?Yes5719¢0¢$0−$11$0
Syria strikes Israel by December 31?Yes543.5¢0¢$0−$1.89−$2.30
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?No5136¢0¢$0−$18$0
Freddie Mac IPO in 2025?Yes492.2¢0¢$0−$1.08$0
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30? Yes481.3¢0¢$0−$0.62−$0.83
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?No483.5¢0¢$0−$1.68+$9.48
Will MrBeast hit 105 billion views by December 31? No4622¢0¢$0−$10+$4.96
Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes4043¢0¢$0−$17−$2.40
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?No405.9¢0¢$0−$2.36−$0.25
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Yes2260¢0¢$0−$13−$15
Will Israel strike 3 or more countries in December 2025?Yes206¢0¢$0−$1.20−$6.06
Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?Yes1813¢0¢$0−$2.34$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3?89¢258$23053%45
SELL NoWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?25.1¢163$4153%45
SELL NoWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?25.1¢475$11953%45
BUY NoWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?29.8¢638$19053%45
BUY NoWill Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3?69¢258$17853%45
SELL NoWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?69¢620$42853%45
SELL NoReya FDV above $300M one day after launch?91.1¢31$2853%45
SELL NoWill Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?54¢776$41953%45
SELL NoWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?85.5¢799$68353%45
SELL NoWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?82¢517$42453%45
SELL NoWill América de Cali win on 2026-02-08?60.9¢351$21453%45
SELL NoWill América de Cali win on 2026-02-08?60.9¢942$57453%45
SELL NoWill América de Cali win on 2026-02-08?60.9¢943$57453%45
BUY NoWill América de Cali win on 2026-02-08?86.9¢2,236$1,94353%45
BUY NoWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?85¢517$43953%45
SELL NoWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?76.3¢574$43853%45
SELL NoWill Trump say "Two week" or "two-week" this week? (April 19)43¢464$20053%45
SELL NoWill Trump say "Two week" or "two-week" this week? (April 19)43¢252$10853%45
BUY NoWill USD.AI launch a token by April 30?13.1¢1,236$16253%45
BUY OpenAIWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?10.5¢565$5953%45