sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,500

Melody626

0xeca…77a9
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$6,693vol $35.4M
PnL 30d+$78.2kgains $93.8k · losses $10.8k
PnL 7d+$104kwin rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate73.1%adj 72.2% · 30d 77.8%
Open value$453kcash n/a
Positions337 / 1,469open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.8ylast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9,851below peak −$488kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 73.1% · shrunk toward 50%81
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d84
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes138k81¢100¢$138k+$26.3k$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes110k48.4¢100¢$110k+$56.7k$0
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes64.7k77.1¢100¢$64.7k+$14.8k$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes49.5k64.8¢85.8¢$42.4k+$10.4k$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No41.6k71.1¢86.5¢$36.0k+$6,404$0
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?No32.5k68.6¢100¢$32.5k+$10.2k−$13
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?Yes26.5k68.5¢100¢$26.5k+$8,337−$31
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?No70328.4¢100¢$703+$503−$5.72
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes65049¢100¢$650+$331$0
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No27255¢100¢$272+$122$0
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?Yes24466.5¢100¢$244+$82$0
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes21384¢100¢$213+$34$0
Will between 219 and 220 U.S. House members vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?No16261.1¢100¢$162+$63$0
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes12991¢100¢$129+$12$0
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?Yes10063¢100¢$100+$37$0
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No9969.9¢100¢$99+$30$0
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?Yes8986¢100¢$89+$12$0
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?No8986.2¢100¢$89+$12$0
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?Yes6136¢100¢$61+$39$0
Will Norway win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes5464.8¢100¢$54+$19$0
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?No2469.9¢100¢$24+$7.30$0
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?Alaska1661¢100¢$16+$6.39$0
AP calls Georgia by 8:00 AM Nov 6? Yes1663¢100¢$16+$5.87$0
Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes1187¢100¢$11+$1.49$0
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?No837¢100¢$7.85+$4.95$0
Will Oracle buy TikTok?No748¢100¢$7.00+$3.64$0
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes164k52.8¢0¢$0−$86.6k−$4,738
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes154k2.4¢0¢$0−$3,698−$108
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes73.9k50.3¢0¢$0−$37.1k−$4,150
Will Eric Adams drop out?No63.6k46.2¢0¢$0−$29.4k−$247
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes63.2k8.6¢0¢$0−$5,450−$58
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes62.0k40.2¢0¢$0−$24.9k−$14.2k
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes61.4k15.9¢0¢$0−$9,760−$246
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?No57.9k72.2¢0¢$0−$41.8k−$21.7k
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes57.8k27.5¢0¢$0−$15.9k−$4,815
US government shutdown in 2025?No56.6k58¢0¢$0−$32.8k$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No49.5k6.3¢0¢$0−$3,109$0
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes45.1k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,937−$5,570
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?No41.9k68.8¢0¢$0−$28.8k−$3,118
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?Yes41.1k32.6¢0¢$0−$13.4k+$3,259
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?No38.9k29.3¢0¢$0−$11.4k−$3,402
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes38.2k62¢0¢$0−$23.7k−$39.4k
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?Yes38.1k11.9¢0¢$0−$4,532+$210
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?Yes37.4k28.5¢0¢$0−$10.7k$0
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes37.2k57¢0¢$0−$21.2k−$3,401
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Yes36.8k39.4¢0¢$0−$14.5k−$33
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?Yes35.1k53.4¢0¢$0−$18.7k$0
TikTok sale announced in 2025?No32.6k27.2¢0¢$0−$8,883−$14.6k
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No30.6k31.8¢0¢$0−$9,726$0
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?No30.4k50¢0¢$0−$15.2k−$8,673
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No30.3k54.6¢0¢$0−$16.5k−$14.9k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No30.3k59.3¢0¢$0−$18.0k−$12.4k
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?No30.3k19.8¢0¢$0−$6,005−$14
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes30.2k62.3¢0¢$0−$18.8k$0
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes29.8k41.7¢0¢$0−$12.4k$0
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes29.3k50.4¢0¢$0−$14.8k−$94
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes28.3k59.8¢0¢$0−$16.9k−$3,010
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes28.2k11.4¢0¢$0−$3,206−$782
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No28.1k61.9¢0¢$0−$17.4k$0
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes26.9k23.8¢0¢$0−$6,414$0
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Yes25.9k50.9¢0¢$0−$13.2k−$7,338
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes25.9k19.1¢0¢$0−$4,929+$3,005
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No25.5k73.5¢0¢$0−$18.7k−$2,807
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes25.0k50¢0¢$0−$12.5k−$15.4k
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?Yes24.2k58.6¢0¢$0−$14.2k−$13.2k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes24.1k12.6¢0¢$0−$3,049−$8.06
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes23.8k27.6¢0¢$0−$6,585$0
Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Yes23.0k19¢0¢$0−$4,370$0
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No23.0k44.7¢0¢$0−$10.3k$0
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes22.6k17.3¢0¢$0−$3,907−$43
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No22.6k69¢0¢$0−$15.6k−$105
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No21.9k60.9¢0¢$0−$13.3k−$65
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?No21.4k33.3¢0¢$0−$7,133$0
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals?Norway20.8k63.3¢0¢$0−$13.2k$0
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes20.4k13.3¢0¢$0−$2,713−$48
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes20.3k77.2¢0¢$0−$15.7k$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes19.6k49.3¢0¢$0−$9,646−$6,683
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes19.3k66.4¢0¢$0−$12.8k−$4,953
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No18.7k28.1¢0¢$0−$5,265−$2,383
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes18.1k30.6¢0¢$0−$5,549−$7,092
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Yes17.9k27¢0¢$0−$4,854−$38
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes17.9k77.9¢0¢$0−$14.0k−$42.2k
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes17.3k53.1¢0¢$0−$9,183−$17
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?No17.0k35.4¢0¢$0−$6,037−$35
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by less than 5%?No16.9k74.2¢0¢$0−$12.5k−$2,254
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?No16.8k50.3¢0¢$0−$8,459−$5,777
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No16.1k28.3¢0¢$0−$4,547−$420
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?No16.0k6.6¢0¢$0−$1,050$0
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?No15.9k63.1¢0¢$0−$10.1k−$126
Will Republicans control 221 seats in the House after the election?Yes15.9k44.8¢0¢$0−$7,122−$11.9k
Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?No15.8k68.1¢0¢$0−$10.7k$0
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes15.2k45.8¢0¢$0−$6,955−$39
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes15.0k75¢0¢$0−$11.3k+$5,707
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Yes14.9k87.6¢0¢$0−$13.0k$0
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?Yes14.9k26.8¢0¢$0−$3,977−$4,428
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo14.7k58.6¢0¢$0−$8,583−$5,016
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?GOP14.3k23.1¢0¢$0−$3,312$0
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?Yes14.3k47.4¢0¢$0−$6,762−$17.9k
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No14.2k24.2¢0¢$0−$3,429−$4.41
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes13.9k79¢0¢$0−$11.0k−$13

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?5.5¢23$1.2873%41
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?13.1¢35$4.5773%41
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?12.7¢1,193$15273%41
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?12¢249$3073%41
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?81¢2,113$1,71273%41
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?81¢1,078$87373%41
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?81.6¢3,438$2,80373%41
BUY YesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?13.9¢1,170$16373%41
BUY YesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?10.9¢4,213$46073%41
BUY YesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?10.5¢510$5473%41
BUY YesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?10¢1,166$11673%41
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?67.9¢1,217$82673%41
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?76¢265$20273%41
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?64¢157$10173%41
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?60¢4,900$2,94073%41
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?43.6¢792$34673%41
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?63¢5,049$3,18173%41
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?31¢302$9373%41
BUY NoWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?54¢200$10873%41
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?29¢3,870$1,12273%41