sharpside
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Traders/Rank #20,405

rocky42018

0xeda…7dff
1y+WeatherPoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$26.2kvol $9.89M
PnL 30d−$4,145gains $4,992 · losses $4,199
PnL 7d−$1,318win rate 7d 58.1%
Win rate51.3%adj 51.3% · 30d 52.1%
Open value$5,666cash n/a
Positions221 / 7,285open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$26.0kbelow peak −$30.4kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 51.3% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 2?Down28530¢100¢$285+$200$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 2?No28480¢100¢$284+$57−$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 3?No26339.8¢100¢$263+$158+$13
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No38366.9¢66.5¢$255−$1.45−$29
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?No26494.2¢95.6¢$252+$3.70+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 3?No21781.1¢100¢$217+$41+$4.11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?Yes19836¢100¢$198+$127+$16
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on September 30?No15548.6¢100¢$155+$80−$1.63
Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes14294.7¢100¢$142+$7.58+$2.69
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 6?Up14233.9¢100¢$142+$94+$64
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 10?No13976.6¢100¢$139+$33+$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?No13747.7¢100¢$137+$72$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes30036.8¢41¢$123+$13+$246
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 5?No12052.6¢100¢$120+$57+$0.71
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 12?Yes12030¢100¢$120+$84$0
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes29532.3¢36.5¢$108+$12$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 1?No10172¢100¢$101+$28+$1.75
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 3?No10191.4¢100¢$101+$8.70−$1.93
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes29919¢32¢$96+$39−$1.04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 5?No9581.4¢100¢$95+$18+$2.60
Maduro guilty of all counts?Yes2989¢32¢$95+$68+$33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 5?No9051.2¢100¢$90+$44+$37
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on October 3?Yes8925.8¢100¢$89+$66+$0.06
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Yes24630.3¢36¢$89+$14+$30
Galatasaray SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5Over8043¢100¢$80+$46$0
LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageRED Canids8020¢100¢$80+$64$0
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?No9284.7¢86.4¢$79+$1.58−$21
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 12?No7792¢100¢$77+$6.15−$1.06
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Rafael JodarAdolfo Vallejo7720¢100¢$77+$61+$2.17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 4?No7672.7¢100¢$76+$21−$0.69
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes29217¢21.5¢$63+$13$0
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?No19124¢32.5¢$62+$16+$144
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Yes18037¢34¢$61−$5.40$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 3?No6078¢100¢$60+$13−$5.48
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes30018¢19.5¢$59+$4.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 30?No5346.6¢100¢$53+$28+$22
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?No6766.8¢77.1¢$52+$6.87$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 4?No5050.1¢100¢$50+$25−$1.18
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Yes55219.6¢8.5¢$47−$61−$21
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes29916¢13.5¢$40−$7.62−$120
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 1?No3889.9¢100¢$38+$3.83+$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 10?No3553.5¢100¢$35+$16+$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 2?No3384¢100¢$33+$5.24$0
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No14620.2¢21.5¢$31+$1.88−$41
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?Yes30017.3¢10.5¢$31−$20$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes29917¢10.5¢$31−$19−$72
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 8?No3192.3¢100¢$31+$2.40$0
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Yes29927.2¢9.5¢$28−$53+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12?No2855¢100¢$28+$13$0
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Yes11956¢22.5¢$27−$40−$53
Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes12715.7¢20.5¢$26+$6.11$0
Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes10642¢23.5¢$25−$20+$0.15
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs KZG (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: PlayoffsFlyQuest2597.1¢100¢$25+$0.72$0
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?Yes76426.5¢3¢$23−$180−$1.35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes30012¢7.5¢$23−$14$0
Will Counter-Strike 2 Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?Yes7128¢30.5¢$22+$1.79$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Attorney General election?No6630¢32.5¢$21+$1.66$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8?No2150.9¢100¢$21+$10+$32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 5?No2088.4¢100¢$20+$2.37−$9.47
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 1?No1974.7¢100¢$19+$4.81+$3.11
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?Yes4728¢36.5¢$17+$3.97$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 5?No1787¢100¢$17+$2.17−$0.73
Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?No13010.4¢12¢$16+$2.10$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 8?No1492¢100¢$14+$1.12+$0.58
Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat?No4248.7¢3.2¢$13−$24$0
Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?No1375.3¢100¢$13+$3.20+$12
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes2874¢42.5¢$12−$8.82−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 8?No1256.6¢100¢$12+$5.13+$2.19
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 7?No1249¢100¢$12+$6.02$0
Will US annex any territory in 2026?Yes30014¢3.9¢$12−$30$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 92-93°F on October 3?No1183.3¢100¢$11+$1.89$0
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes1476.9¢78.5¢$11+$0.22+$52
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?Yes2970¢3.5¢$10+$10$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 12?No1042¢100¢$10+$5.99$0
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes2949¢3.4¢$9.85−$17−$0.33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No1095.2¢97.9¢$9.82+$0.27+$33
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes30012¢3.3¢$9.75−$26+$96
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 12?No1080¢100¢$9.52+$1.90$0
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes1662.2¢5.7¢$9.43+$5.79$0
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?Yes11315¢7.7¢$8.63−$8.29−$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 9?No863.8¢100¢$8.40+$3.04−$5.57
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?Yes4913.1¢17¢$8.29+$1.92+$13
Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?Yes5441.5¢14.6¢$7.89−$15−$42
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes2686.4¢2.7¢$7.25−$10−$2.32
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?Yes21810.2¢3.3¢$7.09−$15−$7.77
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes2131.9¢33.5¢$7.06+$0.34+$34
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 3?No772.3¢100¢$6.93+$1.92+$13
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes2002.9¢3.5¢$6.91+$1.14$0
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?No4416.8¢15.4¢$6.82−$0.65−$104
Will the Republican Party win the KY-05 House seat?No2132.8¢3.1¢$6.50+$0.53$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?Yes20125.5¢3.2¢$6.33−$45−$0.35
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Yes1543¢41¢$6.15−$0.30$0
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Yes4721.9¢12.5¢$5.88−$4.41+$60
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 9?No546¢100¢$5.00+$2.70+$2.25
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 12?No553.8¢100¢$4.91+$2.27+$19
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?Yes4016¢12.2¢$4.86−$1.54$0
Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat?No674¢78.5¢$4.72+$0.27+$0.12
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No586¢97.9¢$4.62+$0.56$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 3?Yes546¢100¢$4.54+$2.45+$3.04
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?No2116¢19.5¢$4.17+$0.74+$1.17

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?75.5¢10$7.5551%32
SELL YamalBallon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?49¢67$3351%32
SELL Low CortisolCounter-Strike: Galorys vs Low Cortisol (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs49¢62$3051%32
SELL Low CortisolCounter-Strike: Galorys vs Low Cortisol (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs49¢195$9651%32
SELL NoWill LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? 64.6¢233$15151%32
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 8?92.9¢86$8051%32
SELL YesWill Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?23.1¢8$1.8551%32
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?44¢101$4451%32
SELL NoWill Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?72.3¢50$3651%32
SELL NoWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?40¢166$6651%32
SELL NoWill the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?56¢104$5851%32
SELL NoWill Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?74.3¢340$25351%32
SELL NoWill El Salvador win on 2026-10-05?51¢34$1751%32
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 5?47¢19$8.9351%32
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 5?29¢10$2.9051%32
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 3?49¢125$6151%32
SELL NoWill the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?31.1¢120$3751%32
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 92-93°F on October 3?16¢49$7.8451%32
SELL YesWill the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?35¢38$1351%32
SELL YesWill the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?36¢40$1451%32