| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | No | 1,406 | 86¢ | 85.5¢ | $1,202 | −$7.03 | −$475 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,145 | 73¢ | 71.5¢ | $819 | −$17 | −$454 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | No | 513 | 90¢ | 89.5¢ | $459 | −$2.56 | +$4.60 | |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 199 | 95¢ | 94.5¢ | $188 | −$0.99 | −$322 | |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1,507 | 12¢ | 11.5¢ | $173 | −$7.54 | +$177 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | No | 507 | 40¢ | 33.5¢ | $170 | −$33 | +$48 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,112 | 40¢ | 14¢ | $156 | −$289 | +$561 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 331 | 42¢ | 41.5¢ | $137 | −$1.66 | +$172 | |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? | Yes | 326 | 52¢ | 41.5¢ | $135 | −$34 | +$7.34 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | No | 201 | 68¢ | 67¢ | $135 | −$2.01 | −$29 | |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | Yes | 194 | 82¢ | 68¢ | $132 | −$27 | −$67 | |
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? | No | 160 | 89¢ | 74.5¢ | $119 | −$23 | −$45 | |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 423 | 27¢ | 26.5¢ | $112 | −$2.11 | +$717 | |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | No | 556 | 22¢ | 19.5¢ | $108 | −$14 | +$2,724 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | Yes | 141 | 81¢ | 70.5¢ | $99 | −$15 | −$179 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 156 | 63¢ | 62.5¢ | $97 | −$0.78 | −$1,394 | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 106 | 87¢ | 86.5¢ | $92 | −$0.53 | −$656 | |
| Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 152 | 74¢ | 56.5¢ | $86 | −$27 | −$0.70 | |
| Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | No | 145 | 84¢ | 59¢ | $86 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 302 | 40¢ | 27.5¢ | $83 | −$38 | −$47 | |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? | No | 187 | 55¢ | 42.9¢ | $80 | −$23 | +$3.47 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 283 | 36¢ | 28¢ | $79 | −$23 | −$13 | |
| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026? | No | 105 | 84¢ | 72.5¢ | $76 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 96 | 85.7¢ | 74.9¢ | $72 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 186 | 38¢ | 37.5¢ | $70 | −$0.93 | +$1,747 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 89 | 78¢ | 77.5¢ | $69 | −$0.44 | −$86 | |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 295 | 35¢ | 22.5¢ | $66 | −$37 | $0 | |
| KOSPI all-time high before 2028? | Yes | 123 | 67¢ | 46.5¢ | $57 | −$25 | −$22 | |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 277 | 53¢ | 20.5¢ | $57 | −$90 | −$155 | |
| Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026? | No | 109 | 62¢ | 52¢ | $57 | −$11 | −$1.26 | |
| Will Flamengo win the 2027 Copa Libertadores? | No | 74 | 88¢ | 75.5¢ | $56 | −$9.25 | $0 | |
| Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027? | Yes | 154 | 47¢ | 35.5¢ | $55 | −$18 | −$1.89 | |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 139 | 39¢ | 38¢ | $53 | −$1.39 | +$133 | |
| Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | No | 67 | 92.3¢ | 77¢ | $52 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31? | Yes | 60 | 92¢ | 79.5¢ | $48 | −$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 185 | 26¢ | 25.5¢ | $47 | −$0.93 | −$627 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 68 | 74¢ | 67¢ | $46 | −$4.76 | −$448 | |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | No | 85 | 71¢ | 52¢ | $44 | −$16 | −$8.84 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 77 | 57¢ | 55.5¢ | $43 | −$1.16 | −$192 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000? | No | 160 | 74¢ | 26.5¢ | $42 | −$76 | +$2.08 | |
| Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania? | No | 65 | 85.9¢ | 64.8¢ | $42 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points? | No | 60 | 81¢ | 70¢ | $42 | −$6.60 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 45 | 93.3¢ | 93.1¢ | $42 | −$0.09 | $0 | |
| Will brawk have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026? | No | 65 | 84¢ | 60.5¢ | $39 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | No | 71 | 65¢ | 55.5¢ | $39 | −$6.72 | −$0.44 | |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? | Yes | 72 | 79¢ | 54.5¢ | $39 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by October 31? | Yes | 122 | 71¢ | 32¢ | $39 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 79 | 48.5¢ | 48.4¢ | $38 | −$0.04 | +$175 | |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | Yes | 163 | 32¢ | 23¢ | $37 | −$15 | +$14 | |
| Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? | Yes | 83 | 61¢ | 43.5¢ | $36 | −$15 | −$0.44 | |
| Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire? | Yes | 395 | 17¢ | 9¢ | $36 | −$32 | +$36 | |
| Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec? | No | 61 | 77¢ | 55.5¢ | $34 | −$13 | −$5.00 | |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 48 | 85¢ | 68.5¢ | $33 | −$7.98 | −$8.54 | |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of November 2026? | No | 54 | 70¢ | 60.5¢ | $33 | −$5.13 | −$4.45 | |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 84 | 42.3¢ | 36.5¢ | $31 | −$4.87 | +$36 | |
| Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31? | Yes | 87 | 53¢ | 34.5¢ | $30 | −$16 | −$0.42 | |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | No | 154 | 23¢ | 19¢ | $29 | −$6.16 | +$343 | |
| Will Paul Franklin (steel guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 53 | 68¢ | 52.5¢ | $28 | −$8.23 | −$3.26 | |
| Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? | No | 97 | 29¢ | 28.5¢ | $28 | −$0.48 | +$27 | |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | No | 43 | 75¢ | 63.5¢ | $27 | −$4.95 | −$10 | |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? | Yes | 82 | 39¢ | 33¢ | $27 | −$4.92 | +$39 | |
| Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? | Yes | 54 | 77.6¢ | 50¢ | $27 | −$15 | −$114 | |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 58 | 63¢ | 46.5¢ | $27 | −$9.54 | −$16 | |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October? | No | 49 | 79¢ | 54.5¢ | $27 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will mada have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026? | No | 51 | 61¢ | 51.5¢ | $26 | −$4.84 | −$2.94 | |
| Will edgeX reach $1.00 before 2027? | Yes | 77 | 48¢ | 30.5¢ | $23 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 55¢ | 46.5¢ | $23 | −$4.25 | −$20 | |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 37 | 70¢ | 62.5¢ | $23 | −$2.77 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026? | No | 44 | 62¢ | 50.5¢ | $22 | −$5.06 | $0 | |
| Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | Yes | 62 | 45.8¢ | 35.4¢ | $22 | −$6.48 | +$193 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000? | No | 30 | 76¢ | 73¢ | $22 | −$0.90 | −$5.55 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%? | No | 30 | 84¢ | 72.5¢ | $22 | −$3.47 | −$14 | |
| Will Meta's Watermelon model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | Yes | 31 | 81¢ | 68.5¢ | $21 | −$3.88 | $0 | |
| Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | No | 55 | 78¢ | 38.5¢ | $21 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? | No | 51 | 55¢ | 40.5¢ | $21 | −$7.39 | −$12 | |
| Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next? | Yes | 26 | 87.3¢ | 78.5¢ | $20 | −$2.29 | −$2.32 | |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? | No | 57 | 54.9¢ | 33.8¢ | $19 | −$12 | −$1.07 | |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31? | No | 60 | 45¢ | 32¢ | $19 | −$7.80 | +$0.92 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) record the most assists in the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 40 | 59.8¢ | 47.4¢ | $19 | −$4.94 | −$2.03 | |
| Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | No | 67 | 54¢ | 27.5¢ | $18 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? | No | 72 | 40¢ | 25.5¢ | $18 | −$10 | +$281 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? | Yes | 56 | 43.5¢ | 31.5¢ | $18 | −$6.71 | −$0.20 | |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | No | 77 | 41¢ | 22.5¢ | $17 | −$14 | −$8.27 | |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 14, 2026? | No | 20 | 90.2¢ | 86¢ | $17 | −$0.84 | $0 | |
| Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | No | 44 | 76¢ | 39¢ | $17 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? | No | 25 | 80¢ | 68.5¢ | $17 | −$2.88 | $0 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | No | 41 | 51.3¢ | 39.5¢ | $16 | −$4.87 | −$0.61 | |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30? | Yes | 29 | 71¢ | 55.5¢ | $16 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | No | 49 | 38¢ | 31.5¢ | $16 | −$3.21 | +$13 | |
| Will trent have the most kills for G2 Esports at VALORANT Champions 2026? | No | 23 | 76.7¢ | 65.5¢ | $15 | −$2.59 | $0 | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1,433 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | $15 | −$1.05 | +$602 | |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 35 | 61¢ | 42.5¢ | $15 | −$6.47 | $0 | |
| Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m? | Yes | 68 | 30¢ | 21.5¢ | $15 | −$5.80 | −$0.85 | |
| Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? | No | 23 | 80¢ | 63.5¢ | $15 | −$3.79 | −$1.76 | |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September? | No | 21 | 80¢ | 66.5¢ | $14 | −$2.83 | $0 | |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 30-49 Premier League points? | Yes | 129 | 28.1¢ | 10.7¢ | $14 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | No | 74 | 19¢ | 18.5¢ | $14 | −$0.37 | +$1,286 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 18 | 71.9¢ | 71.9¢ | $13 | $0 | −$1,835 | |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 92¢ | 65¢ | $13 | −$5.40 | −$43 | |
| Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 21 | 63¢ | 61.5¢ | $13 | −$0.32 | $0 | |