sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

wagmiser

0xef6…0179@Dinky1369308
WR 60+1y+PoliticsCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$7,954vol $685k
PnL 30d−$448gains $15 · losses $540
PnL 7d−$433win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate63.9%adj 62.8% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$10.1kcash n/a
Positions31 / 260open / all-time
Max drawdown−89.9%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 19d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$7,719below peak −$6,934Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

34/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 63.9% · shrunk toward 50%57
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d35
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity10

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yesopen+$457Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yesclosed+$288Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks? · Noclosed+$284Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? · Yesclosed+$272Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Noclosed+$269

Worst markets

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · Noclosed−$3,045Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 13? · Downclosed−$1,768Will Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview? · Yesclosed−$1,002Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yesopen−$644Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yesclosed−$491

Open positions · 31

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes4,63387.2¢95.8¢$4,436+$395+$62
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,12660.1¢63.5¢$3,255+$175$0
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No83193¢93.5¢$777+$4.16$0
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes2,82542.3¢19.5¢$551−$643$0
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No42289.1¢91¢$384+$8.22$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No28484¢95.5¢$271+$33$0
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.5T in 2026?No22183¢77.5¢$171−$12−$2.11
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.75T in 2026?No16291.1¢84.5¢$137−$11−$3.25
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 4T in 2026?No12294¢95.7¢$116+$2.01−$2.24
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?No1,6498.9¢0¢$0−$147$0
Will Trump say "Fake News" during White House Correspondents Dinner?No8009¢0¢$0−$72$0
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes59211¢0¢$0−$65−$43
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?No54287.8¢0¢$0−$476−$4.07
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes4022.9¢0¢$0−$12+$33
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Michigan remarks?No38229¢0¢$0−$111$0
Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?No37632¢0¢$0−$120−$22
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes30476.3¢0¢$0−$232−$0.74
Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?No30048¢0¢$0−$144$0
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?No30067¢0¢$0−$201−$15
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?No30074¢0¢$0−$222$0
Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks?Yes20042¢0¢$0−$84$0
Will Trump say "Steel" during Michigan remarks?Yes14273¢0¢$0−$104−$8.72
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 27?No1003¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Yes7427¢0¢$0−$20−$0.44
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks?No7174¢0¢$0−$53$0
Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No6380¢0¢$0−$50−$0.40
Will Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes4864¢0¢$0−$31+$1.02
Will Trump say "Trump" 5+ times during Michigan remarks?No3925¢0¢$0−$9.73$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?Yes2254¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by August 31?Yes206¢0¢$0−$1.20$0
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?No125¢0¢$0−$0.33$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?93¢831$77364%34
BUY NoWill Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? 90¢222$20064%34
SELL NoEthereum all time high by September 30, 2026?99.8¢431$43064%34
BUY YesWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?39¢95$3764%34
BUY YesWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?42.9¢2,030$87064%34
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?61¢2,623$1,60064%34
SELL NoWill Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.75T in 2026?89¢150$13464%34
BUY YesWill Total Crypto Market Cap hit 2.75T in 2026?70.5¢42$2964%34
SELL NoWill Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.5T in 2026?82.2¢75$6264%34
SELL NoWill Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.75T in 2026?92.7¢305$28364%34
SELL NoWill Total Crypto Market Cap hit 4T in 2026?93.8¢227$21364%34
SELL YesFed rate hike in 2026?48¢2,606$1,25164%34
SELL YesFed rate hike in 2026?52¢869$45264%34
BUY YesWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?85.9¢233$20064%34
SELL NoYabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?1.2¢500$6.1164%34
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET38¢100$3864%34
SELL NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?96.1¢1,140$1,09664%34
SELL YesWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?7¢900$6364%34
SELL YesWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?6¢700$4264%34
SELL YesWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?4¢983$3964%34