| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | No | 4,850 | 26.9¢ | 24.5¢ | $1,188 | −$118 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4,000 | 29.5¢ | 28.4¢ | $1,134 | −$48 | +$73 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,500 | 50.4¢ | 43.2¢ | $1,079 | −$181 | −$52 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,500 | 65¢ | 64.5¢ | $968 | −$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 800 | 84¢ | 83.5¢ | $668 | −$4.00 | +$201 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 1,535 | 41.3¢ | 42.5¢ | $652 | +$18 | +$4.25 | |
| Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | Yes | 2,000 | 27¢ | 26.5¢ | $530 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15? | No | 600 | 84.3¢ | 83.5¢ | $501 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026? | Yes | 594 | 82.5¢ | 80.5¢ | $478 | −$12 | +$17 | |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15? | No | 488 | 77.4¢ | 94.5¢ | $461 | +$84 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | No | 865 | 49.2¢ | 49.5¢ | $428 | +$2.94 | +$12 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026? | Yes | 517 | 81¢ | 82¢ | $424 | +$5.17 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? | No | 500 | 85¢ | 83.5¢ | $418 | −$7.50 | $0 | |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | No | 901 | 55.4¢ | 45.5¢ | $410 | −$89 | −$74 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026? | No | 400 | 93.5¢ | 96.8¢ | $387 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | No | 484 | 79.7¢ | 79.5¢ | $385 | −$1.13 | +$11 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? | No | 450 | 62¢ | 84.5¢ | $380 | +$101 | +$33 | |
| Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 31? | No | 399 | 81¢ | 88¢ | $351 | +$28 | +$0.07 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 856 | 35.4¢ | 34.9¢ | $299 | −$4.44 | −$502 | |
| Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 400 | 76¢ | 72¢ | $288 | −$16 | +$18 | |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | No | 400 | 57¢ | 64.5¢ | $258 | +$30 | +$0.20 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? | No | 380 | 62¢ | 67.5¢ | $257 | +$21 | +$1.01 | |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31? | No | 529 | 61.1¢ | 40.5¢ | $214 | −$109 | $0 | |
| Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by October 31? | No | 274 | 76¢ | 75¢ | $205 | −$2.74 | +$2.76 | |
| Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 279 | 76.6¢ | 71.5¢ | $199 | −$14 | +$3.24 | |
| Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October? | Yes | 676 | 29¢ | 29.5¢ | $199 | +$3.38 | +$0.73 | |
| Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 340 | 37¢ | 48.5¢ | $165 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,400 | 10¢ | 10¢ | $140 | $0 | $0 | |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 108 | 90¢ | 90.5¢ | $98 | +$0.54 | +$2.92 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | No | 780 | 11¢ | 12.5¢ | $98 | +$12 | +$0.40 | |
| Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October? | No | 90 | 82¢ | 94.5¢ | $85 | +$11 | +$9.37 | |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 104 | 70¢ | 70.5¢ | $74 | +$0.52 | +$2.63 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | No | 66 | 66¢ | 96.1¢ | $64 | +$20 | −$3.73 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 74 | 70¢ | 73.5¢ | $54 | +$2.57 | +$470 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | Yes | 144 | 35¢ | 35.5¢ | $51 | +$0.72 | +$8.00 | |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | No | 166 | 29¢ | 28.5¢ | $47 | −$0.83 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | No | 31 | 61¢ | 76.5¢ | $24 | +$4.84 | $0 | |
| Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027? | No | 200 | 15¢ | 11.5¢ | $23 | −$7.00 | $0 | |
| Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31? | No | 39 | 63¢ | 57.5¢ | $22 | −$2.13 | +$0.06 | |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 6 | 63¢ | 92¢ | $5.49 | +$1.73 | $0 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 4 | 21¢ | 23¢ | $0.89 | +$0.08 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | No | 3 | 17¢ | 20¢ | $0.59 | +$0.09 | $0 | |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6,000 | 5.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$342 | $0 | |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5,000 | 5.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$290 | $0 | |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | No | 2,208 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$221 | $0 | |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference? | Yes | 2,088 | 12.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$260 | −$4.52 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? | No | 1,500 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$285 | $0 | |
| Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference? | No | 1,500 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$240 | $0 | |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | No | 1,500 | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$735 | $0 | |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | England | 1,500 | 55¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$825 | $0 | |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? | No | 1,400 | 51.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$717 | −$17 | |
| Martin Ødegaard: 1+ goals | Yes | 1,250 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance | Côte d'Ivoire | 1,100 | 37¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$407 | −$7.69 | |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | No | 1,100 | 18¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$198 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | Yes | 1,084 | 33.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$364 | −$7.15 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | No | 1,021 | 63¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$644 | +$48 | |
| Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | No | 1,000 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$300 | −$1.72 | |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Yes | 1,000 | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$440 | $0 | |
| Will Warsh say "Innovation" during July Press Conference? | Yes | 800 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$248 | $0 | |
| Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 778 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$187 | $0 | |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | United States | 750 | 50.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$379 | +$56 | |
| Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner? | No | 721 | 48.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$347 | +$2.24 | |
| Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? | Yes | 692 | 57¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$394 | +$82 | |
| Will Kenan Yıldız score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 668 | 36¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$240 | $0 | |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference? | No | 600 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | No | 600 | 56¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$336 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Steel" during Michigan remarks? | Yes | 499 | 74¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$370 | +$0.01 | |
| Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | No | 461 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$41 | +$0.40 | |
| Will Trump say "Hell" during remarks at the Pentagon? | Yes | 433 | 58.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$254 | −$4.20 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 400 | 67¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$268 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | Yes | 357 | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$182 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15? | No | 320 | 61¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$195 | +$3.21 | |
| Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 306 | 65.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$201 | +$58 | |
| Will Netanyahu say "Trump" 3+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | Yes | 300 | 68¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$204 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Department of War" during remarks at the Pentagon? | Yes | 280 | 76.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$215 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 272 | 13.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$36 | −$137 | |
| Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during White House Correspondents Dinner? | Yes | 256 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$49 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during remarks in Georgia? | Yes | 251 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$33 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Stock" or "Record" during remarks at the Pentagon? | Yes | 202 | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$89 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries? | Yes | 191 | 63¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$121 | +$0.38 | |
| Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during remarks at the Pentagon? | Yes | 171 | 46¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$79 | $0 | |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 30? | No | 168 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$39 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 167 | 76¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$127 | −$30 | |
| Will Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | Yes | 154 | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$41 | |
| Will Trump say "Tractor" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska? | No | 150 | 41¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$62 | −$1.45 | |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 140 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$56 | −$20 | |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks? | No | 122 | 33¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 114 | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$56 | +$4.05 | |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 113 | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match? | No | 104 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$55 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Afghanistan" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | Yes | 100 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Through The Roof" during remarks in New York? | Yes | 96 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45 | $0 | |
| Will the announcers say "Corner" 12+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match? | Yes | 85 | 72¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$61 | +$0.05 | |
| World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? | No | 79 | 72.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1? | Yes | 77 | 69¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$53 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Ronaldo" or "Messi" or "Pele" during June 24 Rally? | Yes | 69 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.49 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas? | No | 52 | 76¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | +$0.78 | |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 50 | 63¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match? | No | 50 | 21¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference? | No | 49 | 55¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | $0 | |