| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 150 | 90¢ | 91.5¢ | $138 | +$2.27 | $0 | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 136 | 74¢ | 89¢ | $121 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election? | Yes | 117 | 86¢ | 95.9¢ | $112 | +$12 | $0 | |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026? | No | 113 | 93.2¢ | 98.5¢ | $112 | +$6.02 | $0 | |
| Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 114 | 92.4¢ | 97.5¢ | $111 | +$5.79 | $0 | |
| Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by October 31, 2026? | No | 113 | 83.8¢ | 96.9¢ | $110 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 117 | 85.2¢ | 93.5¢ | $110 | +$9.79 | −$1.18 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 120 | 86.8¢ | 90.5¢ | $109 | +$4.47 | $0 | |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | No | 112 | 94.1¢ | 97.1¢ | $108 | +$3.33 | +$0.03 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 111 | 92¢ | 97.8¢ | $108 | +$6.32 | +$0.03 | |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | No | 112 | 94.1¢ | 96.2¢ | $107 | +$2.39 | $0 | |
| Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? | No | 110 | 91.2¢ | 98¢ | $107 | +$7.35 | $0 | |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 120 | 92¢ | 89.5¢ | $107 | −$2.99 | $0 | |
| Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 111 | 95¢ | 96.4¢ | $107 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | No | 113 | 88.8¢ | 95¢ | $107 | +$6.96 | −$0.70 | |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 109 | 91.9¢ | 97.5¢ | $106 | +$6.02 | $0 | |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 111 | 95¢ | 95.5¢ | $106 | +$0.56 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 110 | 80.1¢ | 96.6¢ | $106 | +$18 | +$4.14 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 115 | 86.9¢ | 92.2¢ | $106 | +$6.04 | $0 | |
| Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 110 | 91¢ | 96.5¢ | $106 | +$5.99 | $0 | |
| Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026? | No | 117 | 86¢ | 90.5¢ | $106 | +$5.26 | $0 | |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | Yes | 144 | 70¢ | 73.5¢ | $106 | +$5.04 | $0 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 113 | 93.2¢ | 93.7¢ | $106 | +$0.56 | $0 | |
| Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 109 | 97¢ | 97.1¢ | $106 | +$0.05 | $0 | |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? | No | 111 | 90.2¢ | 95¢ | $105 | +$5.27 | $0 | |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | No | 108 | 91.8¢ | 97.6¢ | $105 | +$6.15 | −$0.49 | |
| Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election? | Yes | 112 | 89¢ | 93.5¢ | $105 | +$5.06 | $0 | |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 110 | 91¢ | 95¢ | $105 | +$4.42 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 107 | 93.5¢ | 97.9¢ | $105 | +$4.65 | $0 | |
| Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 111 | 94¢ | 94.5¢ | $105 | +$0.56 | $0 | |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | No | 109 | 92¢ | 95.5¢ | $104 | +$3.79 | $0 | |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 107 | 93.1¢ | 96.6¢ | $104 | +$3.76 | $0 | |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 136 | 81.2¢ | 76.5¢ | $104 | −$6.32 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | No | 147 | 72¢ | 70.5¢ | $104 | −$2.20 | $0 | |
| Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 107 | 93.7¢ | 96.9¢ | $103 | +$3.36 | $0 | |
| Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 114 | 93¢ | 90.9¢ | $103 | −$2.38 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | Yes | 110 | 91¢ | 93.5¢ | $103 | +$2.71 | −$0.40 | |
| Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election? | No | 120 | 83¢ | 85.5¢ | $103 | +$3.01 | $0 | |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 115 | 87.6¢ | 89.5¢ | $103 | +$2.22 | $0 | |
| Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026? | No | 108 | 93¢ | 95¢ | $103 | +$2.16 | $0 | |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 108 | 93¢ | 95¢ | $103 | +$2.16 | $0 | |
| Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | No | 114 | 88¢ | 89.5¢ | $102 | +$1.71 | $0 | |
| Will Otti Alex Chioma win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 114 | 88¢ | 89.5¢ | $102 | +$1.71 | $0 | |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 143 | 70¢ | 71.5¢ | $102 | +$2.14 | $0 | |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | No | 106 | 94¢ | 96.1¢ | $102 | +$2.24 | $0 | |
| Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? | Yes | 113 | 89¢ | 90¢ | $102 | +$1.13 | $0 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 105 | 86.2¢ | 96.4¢ | $102 | +$11 | +$2.59 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 112 | 81¢ | 90.5¢ | $102 | +$11 | +$0.94 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 104 | 84.8¢ | 97.2¢ | $102 | +$13 | −$2.60 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 104 | 89.6¢ | 97.2¢ | $101 | +$7.83 | +$1.05 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 111 | 90.9¢ | 91.5¢ | $101 | +$0.64 | $0 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 116 | 87¢ | 87.5¢ | $101 | +$0.58 | $0 | |
| Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? | No | 112 | 87.8¢ | 90.5¢ | $101 | +$3.05 | −$0.86 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 104 | 90.8¢ | 97.4¢ | $101 | +$6.75 | +$5.39 | |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 106 | 81.1¢ | 95.2¢ | $101 | +$15 | +$1.46 | |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 104 | 95¢ | 97.5¢ | $101 | +$2.54 | −$3.74 | |
| Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? | No | 106 | 91.6¢ | 95¢ | $101 | +$3.60 | +$0.04 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 108 | 84.3¢ | 93.5¢ | $101 | +$9.88 | +$1.70 | |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | No | 113 | 76¢ | 89.5¢ | $101 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 107 | 94¢ | 94.2¢ | $101 | +$0.21 | $0 | |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? | No | 112 | 86¢ | 90¢ | $101 | +$4.48 | −$0.34 | |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | No | 106 | 89.6¢ | 95¢ | $101 | +$5.67 | +$0.14 | |
| Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 107 | 93.5¢ | 94¢ | $101 | +$0.53 | $0 | |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 106 | 92¢ | 95¢ | $101 | +$3.17 | −$0.37 | |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 110 | 80.1¢ | 91.5¢ | $100 | +$13 | +$1.51 | |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 105 | 94.9¢ | 95¢ | $100 | +$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election? | Yes | 112 | 90¢ | 89.5¢ | $100 | −$0.56 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 103 | 92.3¢ | 97.2¢ | $100 | +$4.99 | +$0.73 | |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? | No | 106 | 89¢ | 94.5¢ | $100 | +$5.76 | +$0.27 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 110 | 91.1¢ | 90.5¢ | $100 | −$0.72 | +$0.10 | |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | No | 103 | 92.9¢ | 96.6¢ | $99 | +$3.85 | −$0.83 | |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election? | No | 124 | 81¢ | 80¢ | $99 | −$1.24 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 111 | 82.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $99 | +$7.80 | +$0.84 | |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 105 | 95¢ | 93.9¢ | $99 | −$1.21 | $0 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 106 | 85.8¢ | 93.5¢ | $99 | +$8.13 | +$0.68 | |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 105 | 95.2¢ | 93.9¢ | $99 | −$1.42 | $0 | |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | 104 | 88.2¢ | 95.2¢ | $99 | +$7.20 | +$0.75 | |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 110 | 67.9¢ | 89.5¢ | $98 | +$24 | +$2.94 | |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 109 | 92¢ | 90.5¢ | $98 | −$1.63 | $0 | |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 110 | 85.2¢ | 89¢ | $98 | +$4.14 | −$1.15 | |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 102 | 84.3¢ | 95.5¢ | $98 | +$11 | −$0.62 | |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 104 | 92¢ | 93.5¢ | $98 | +$1.57 | +$0.11 | |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 101 | 88.7¢ | 96.1¢ | $98 | +$7.46 | +$0.18 | |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? | No | 104 | 93.3¢ | 93.3¢ | $97 | −$0.04 | $0 | |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 101 | 91.7¢ | 96.4¢ | $97 | +$4.71 | −$1.19 | |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 107 | 94¢ | 90.5¢ | $97 | −$3.74 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 102 | 77¢ | 94.5¢ | $97 | +$18 | +$0.99 | |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 103 | 88.5¢ | 94¢ | $96 | +$5.64 | $0 | |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election? | Yes | 106 | 92¢ | 90.5¢ | $96 | −$1.60 | $0 | |
| Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town? | Yes | 109 | 92¢ | 88¢ | $96 | −$4.37 | $0 | |
| Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 121 | 83¢ | 79¢ | $96 | −$4.85 | $0 | |
| Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 100 | 94.3¢ | 95.8¢ | $96 | +$1.45 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 114 | 69.9¢ | 83.5¢ | $95 | +$16 | +$6.14 | |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 100 | 79.6¢ | 95¢ | $95 | +$15 | −$0.54 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 109 | 92.1¢ | 87¢ | $94 | −$5.61 | $0 | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 110 | 91.3¢ | 86¢ | $94 | −$5.81 | $0 | |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? | No | 97 | 88¢ | 96.6¢ | $94 | +$8.31 | $0 | |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 110 | 91.1¢ | 85.2¢ | $94 | −$6.48 | $0 | |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 98 | 86¢ | 95.5¢ | $93 | +$9.28 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 155 | 70.9¢ | 60.1¢ | $93 | −$17 | $0 | |