sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,831

Outsid3rTrading

0xf1e…8cd6
WhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$65.1kvol $15.1M
PnL 30d−$122kgains $386k · losses $22.7k
PnL 7d−$26.0kwin rate 7d 88.5%
Win rate72.5%adj 71.6% · 30d 93.0%
Open value$340kcash n/a
Positions221 / 2,107open / all-time
Max drawdown−96.0%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 18h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$66.4kbelow peak −$91.4kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale69
Adjusted win rateraw 72.5% · shrunk toward 50%79
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity4

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No40.0k90.5¢95.5¢$38.2k+$2,000$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No40.0k81.4¢84.5¢$33.8k+$1,256−$256
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No30.0k86¢90.5¢$27.2k+$1,350+$80
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes30.0k82.7¢90.5¢$27.1k+$2,350$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No20.0k50¢81¢$16.2k+$6,190$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes18.1k48.4¢88.4¢$16.0k+$7,249$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No12.0k93.8¢96.4¢$11.6k+$308$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo10.0k92¢91.5¢$9,150−$50$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes18.0k58.2¢50.1¢$9,009−$1,473−$66
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No9,00088.4¢94.5¢$8,505+$550+$12
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes9,99974¢77.5¢$7,749+$350$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes10,00079.9¢73.5¢$7,350−$644$0
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No7,49697.2¢97.7¢$7,323+$38+$0.01
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes7,90381.9¢87.8¢$6,939+$465+$28
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Yandex8,00060¢79.5¢$6,360+$1,560$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No7,00079¢88.5¢$6,195+$665+$84
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin VacherotValentin Vacherot8,00076¢73.5¢$5,880−$200$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k49.5¢19.1¢$5,715−$9,129+$2,685
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No6,00078¢86.5¢$5,190+$510$0
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?No8,00052¢61¢$4,880+$720$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes5,00091¢95.5¢$4,775+$225$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes7,58043¢61.5¢$4,662+$1,402$0
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes4,57994.5¢97.1¢$4,444+$118$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No5,00076¢88.5¢$4,425+$625$0
Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11?No8,00054¢54.5¢$4,360+$40$0
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?Yes8,00054¢53.5¢$4,280−$40$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes15.0k27.3¢25¢$3,750−$350$0
Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?Yes8,00045.5¢45.5¢$3,640$0$0
No one announced as next James Bond?No5,00078¢69.7¢$3,483−$418$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No7,84931¢41.5¢$3,257+$824$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No4,00069¢75¢$3,000+$240$0
FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Under6,00049¢47.5¢$2,850−$90$0
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,91877¢96.4¢$2,812+$565$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes3,33678.5¢83¢$2,769+$150$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes50.0k17.4¢4.9¢$2,450−$6,270+$4,994
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,00044.1¢48.4¢$2,423+$218$0
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-10?Yes6,00038¢39.5¢$2,370+$90$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes18.0k57.1¢11.5¢$2,070−$8,203−$495
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes8,00045¢24.5¢$1,960−$1,640$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes5,00049.3¢32.7¢$1,632−$831$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No1,94540¢82¢$1,595+$817$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes9,00034¢14.5¢$1,305−$1,755$0
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes40.0k0¢3.1¢$1,219+$1,219$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Yes1,40773¢77¢$1,083+$56$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes6,00056.9¢17.5¢$1,050−$2,361−$2,139
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes3,00041¢31.5¢$945−$285$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes30.0k7¢2.9¢$855−$1,245+$4,300
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes10.0k16.9¢8.5¢$850−$843$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes10,00015¢8.5¢$850−$650$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes9,54517.1¢8.6¢$826−$807+$182
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes5,00033¢13.5¢$675−$975$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes6,00025.5¢10.5¢$630−$900$0
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10?Yes2,76622¢22.5¢$622+$14$0
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes2,50058¢16¢$400−$1,050$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes3,00060¢11¢$330−$1,470$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No7,00011¢4.5¢$311−$458$0
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes1,75631.3¢16.5¢$290−$260$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes21677¢80.5¢$174+$7.55$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes2,00055¢7¢$140−$960$0
Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsNRG9,99956¢1¢$95−$5,504$0
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes11384¢83.5¢$94−$0.57$0
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?No20.0k40¢0¢$0−$8,000−$240
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?No20.0k34¢0¢$0−$6,799$0
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?No12.0k39¢0¢$0−$4,680−$143
Texans vs. ColtsTexans10.0k53¢0¢$0−$5,300−$240
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12?Yes10,00015¢0¢$0−$1,500−$35
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)XLG Gaming9,99942¢0¢$0−$4,200$0
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)Bengals9,99946¢0¢$0−$4,600$0
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5Under9,99949¢0¢$0−$4,900$0
Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+1.5)Procyon Gaming9,99952¢0¢$0−$5,199$0
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs SAW (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group BSAW9,99947¢0¢$0−$4,700$0
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageSpirit9,99963¢0¢$0−$6,299$0
Counter-Strike: BBL vs Sangal (BO1) - ROG Journey Group BBBL9,99951¢0¢$0−$5,099$0
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Group Stageex-Zero Tenacity9,99955¢0¢$0−$5,499$0
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs GLITCH (BO1) - ROG Journey Group DGLITCH9,70042¢0¢$0−$4,074$0
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBET-M 339,70032¢0¢$0−$3,104$0
Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 39.5Under8,00049¢0¢$0−$3,920+$80
Spread: Baylor (-19.5)Baylor8,00051¢0¢$0−$4,080$0
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Under8,00050¢0¢$0−$4,000$0
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B3DMAX8,00050¢0¢$0−$4,000$0
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group ASangal8,00023¢0¢$0−$1,840$0
Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 PlayoffsGamerLegion8,00049¢0¢$0−$3,920$0
Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group CTYLOO8,00020¢0¢$0−$1,600$0
James Madison vs. San Diego State: O/U 46.5Over8,00050¢0¢$0−$4,000$0
Liberty vs. Coastal CarolinaCoastal Carolina8,00044¢0¢$0−$3,520$0
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect PlayoffsLuminosity8,00058¢0¢$0−$4,640$0
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-07?No8,00057¢0¢$0−$4,560−$98
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BBL (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group BVirtus.pro8,00060¢0¢$0−$4,800−$96
Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5Under8,00049¢0¢$0−$3,920$0
Cardinals vs. Giants: O/U 44.5Under8,00052¢0¢$0−$4,160$0
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-08?No8,00072¢0¢$0−$5,760−$72
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group DNongshim RedForce8,00048¢0¢$0−$3,840$0
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)Dolphins8,00053¢0¢$0−$4,240$0
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over8,00039¢0¢$0−$3,120$0
Türkiye vs. France: O/U 3.5Over8,00052¢0¢$0−$4,160$0
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML PlayoffsM808,00042¢0¢$0−$3,360$0
Oklahoma vs. GeorgiaOklahoma8,00018¢0¢$0−$1,440$0
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsInvictus Gaming8,00050¢0¢$0−$4,000$0
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Liquid (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group BLiquid8,00060¢0¢$0−$4,800$0
Spread: LSU (-8.5)Texas A&M8,00050¢0¢$0−$4,000$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill SS Lazio win on 2026-10-11?42¢2,055$86373%58
BUY FC Bayern MünchenSpread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)52¢8,000$4,16073%58
BUY YesWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10?22¢2,095$46173%58
BUY YesWill Brentford FC win on 2026-10-10?38¢6,000$2,28073%58
BUY YesWill Club León FC win on 2026-10-09?39¢1,191$46473%58
BUY NoWill Everton FC win on 2026-10-11?54¢8,000$4,32073%58
BUY YesWill Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?96.4¢446$43073%58
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.8¢118$10173%58
BUY NetsSpread: 76ers (-8.5)48¢6,000$2,88073%58
BUY SpiritCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs56¢8,000$4,48073%58
BUY PRIVATECounter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs48¢8,000$3,84073%58
BUY Ohio StateSpread: Ohio State (-14.5)50¢1,923$96273%58
BUY PackersPackers vs. Buccaneers60¢6,286$3,77273%58
BUY PARIVISIONCounter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage55¢52$2973%58
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?20¢30$5.9473%58
BUY NoWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?96.9¢2,412$2,33673%58
BUY NoWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?97.4¢1,446$1,40873%58
BUY YesWill Slovenia win on 2026-09-29?68¢20$1473%58
BUY NoWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?97.4¢1,790$1,74373%58
BUY BearsSpread: Eagles (-3.5)52¢8,000$4,16073%58