Traders/Rank #830

tunatyler

0xf1f…1245

SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+Politics

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$245kvol $14.1M

PnL 30d+$55.3kgains $58.4k · losses $7,486

PnL 7d+$20.4kwin rate 7d 70.0%

Win rate53.7%adj 53.6% · 30d 61.5%

Open value$109kcash n/a

Positions54 / 2,215open / all-time

Max drawdown−8.5%of equity peak

Account age2.3ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$263kbelow peak −$625Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77

Adjusted win rateraw 53.7% · shrunk toward 50%34

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$13.6k Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed+$13.3k Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$11.7k Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Yesclosed+$11.3k US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · Yesclosed+$10.2k

Worst markets

US forces enter Iran by December 31? · Noclosed−$5,527 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? · Yesclosed−$4,822 Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$4,342 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yesclosed−$3,972 Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? · Noclosed−$3,967

Open positions · 54

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	20.0k	46.4¢	63.5¢	$12.7k	+$3,425	+$164	26d 2h
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	16.0k	53¢	66.5¢	$10.6k	+$2,154	$0	16d 2h
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	49.2k	8.6¢	15.1¢	$7,409	+$3,149	$0	25mo
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	8,761	51.1¢	73.5¢	$6,440	+$1,961	$0	26d 2h
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	11.0k	51.8¢	55.5¢	$6,092	+$409	$0	26d 2h
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	8,290	63.4¢	70.5¢	$5,844	+$586	$0	26d 2h
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	7,500	64¢	71.5¢	$5,362	+$563	$0	26d 2h
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	181k	3¢	2.8¢	$4,969	−$428	$0	25mo
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?	Yes	5,438	88¢	89¢	$4,840	+$54	−$0.26	ended
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	7,500	55¢	62.5¢	$4,687	+$563	$0	26d 2h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	6,500	70.2¢	63.5¢	$4,127	−$437	$0	19d 2h
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	6,452	40.1¢	63.5¢	$4,097	+$1,512	$0	26d 2h
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	30.0k	15¢	13.5¢	$4,050	−$450	$0	ended
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	4,000	83¢	89¢	$3,560	+$240	$0	26d 2h
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.5k	2.7¢	10.1¢	$2,878	+$2,097	$0	25mo
Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?	No	4,827	53¢	56.5¢	$2,727	+$169	$0	26d 2h
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	2,823	74¢	86.5¢	$2,442	+$353	$0	26d 2h
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	4,000	58¢	48.5¢	$1,940	−$380	$0	19d 2h
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	4,000	59¢	47.5¢	$1,900	−$460	$0	19d 2h
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?	Yes	4,529	32.1¢	33.5¢	$1,517	+$62	$0	26d 2h
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	7,000	17¢	21.5¢	$1,505	+$315	$0	26d 2h
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	1,937	65¢	70.5¢	$1,365	+$107	$0	26d 2h
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	5,570	9¢	24.1¢	$1,342	+$838	$0	22d 2h
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	26.1k	6¢	5.1¢	$1,320	−$245	$0	25mo
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	34.7k	1.6¢	2.6¢	$884	+$345	+$1.18	25mo
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	1,045	53¢	68.5¢	$716	+$162	$0	26d 2h
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	17.9k	2.4¢	2.1¢	$367	−$70	$0	25mo
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	532	48¢	59.5¢	$317	+$61	$0	16d 2h
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	25.0k	0.8¢	1.3¢	$313	+$113	+$95	25mo
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	444	58¢	69.5¢	$309	+$51	$0	16d 2h
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	32.3k	2¢	0.9¢	$291	−$371	$0	25mo
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	40.0k	0.9¢	0.7¢	$260	−$100	$0	25mo
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	361	53¢	67.5¢	$243	+$52	$0	26d 2h
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	425	36.7¢	54.5¢	$232	+$75	$0	26d 2h
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?	Yes	434	45.7¢	48.5¢	$210	+$12	$0	26d 2h
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	106k	0.9¢	0.2¢	$159	−$755	$0	25mo
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?	No	430	32.9¢	34.5¢	$148	+$6.84	$0	26d 2h
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	209	42¢	64.5¢	$135	+$47	$0	26d 2h
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	No	174	52¢	53.5¢	$93	+$2.61	$0	26d 2h
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	113k	0.8¢	0.1¢	$57	−$810	$0	25mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	50	12¢	16.5¢	$8.25	+$2.25	$0	26d 2h
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	Yes	15	26¢	11¢	$1.65	−$2.25	$0	3mo
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	45.0k	1.2¢	0¢	$0	−$540	−$21	ended
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	7,500	2.7¢	0¢	$0	−$202	−$0.21	ended
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	6,200	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$0.27	ended
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	4,000	11¢	0¢	$0	−$440	$0	ended
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3,814	13.1¢	0¢	$0	−$500	−$0.63	ended
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	2,705	18.8¢	0¢	$0	−$510	−$4.46	ended
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	2,500	18¢	0¢	$0	−$450	−$1.30	ended
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	2,300	28¢	0¢	$0	−$644	−$6.81	ended
Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	1,586	36¢	0¢	$0	−$571	$0	ended
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?	Under	750	46¢	0¢	$0	−$345	$0	ended
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by October 31?	No	632	10¢	0¢	$0	−$63	−$41	23d 2h
Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Yes	99	30¢	0¢	$0	−$30	$0	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%?	12¢	50	$6.00	54%	70	Sharp
1d ago	BUY No	Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	52¢	174	$91	54%	70	Sharp
1d ago	SELL No	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	40.9¢	3,088	$1,263	54%	70	Sharp
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	42¢	11.5k	$4,830	54%	70	Sharp
4d ago	BUY No	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	85¢	1,591	$1,353	54%	70	Sharp
4d ago	BUY Yes	Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	0.3¢	1,200	$3.60	54%	70	Sharp
4d ago	BUY Yes	Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	0.2¢	1,529	$3.06	54%	70	Sharp
4d ago	SELL Yes	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	43¢	526	$226	54%	70	Sharp
5d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	52¢	2,223	$1,156	54%	70	Sharp
6d ago	BUY Yes	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	28.1¢	473	$133	54%	70	Sharp
6d ago	BUY Yes	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	11¢	161	$18	54%	70	Sharp
6d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	42¢	5,000	$2,100	54%	70	Sharp
8d ago	BUY Yes	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	25¢	3,000	$750	54%	70	Sharp
13d ago	BUY Falcons	Falcons vs. Packers	31¢	6,452	$2,000	54%	70	Sharp
15d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	17¢	7,000	$1,190	54%	70	Sharp
15d ago	BUY Yes	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	41¢	716	$294	54%	70	Sharp
15d ago	SELL No	CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by October 31?	10¢	7,539	$754	54%	70	Sharp
16d ago	BUY No	CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	21¢	848	$178	54%	70	Sharp
16d ago	BUY Yes	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	48¢	6	$2.88	54%	70	Sharp
16d ago	BUY No	CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	33.7¢	300	$101	54%	70	Sharp