sharpside
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Traders/Rank #18,892

Yiren

0xf3e…3039
1y+SportCryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,154vol $102k
PnL 30d+$362gains $526 · losses $1.04
PnL 7d+$276win rate 7d 93.8%
Win rate58.4%adj 58.1% · 30d 95.2%
Open value$2,498cash n/a
Positions31 / 613open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$935below peak −$1,874Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 58.4% · shrunk toward 50%45
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier · T1closed+$481Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yesclosed+$346Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Spainclosed+$334Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring? · Yesclosed+$325Mavericks vs. Rockets · Mavericksclosed+$226

Worst markets

China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Noopen−$1,220Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yesopen−$615Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yesopen−$504Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yesclosed−$383Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yesclosed−$295

Open positions · 31

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No1,41787¢89.5¢$1,269+$36+$34
Trump out as President before 2027?No77992.7¢96.2¢$749+$27+$46
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 1 WinnerFlyQuest12695¢97.5¢$123+$3.16$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes13660.3¢80.5¢$110+$28+$12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No8788.1¢97.9¢$85+$8.50+$149
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?No5473.7¢80.5¢$44+$3.66$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?No3977¢72.5¢$28−$1.75$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?Yes4370¢52.5¢$23−$7.50$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?No2484¢86.5¢$21+$0.60$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes6844.4¢30.4¢$21−$9.47$0
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes3586¢46.5¢$16−$14$0
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Yes1380¢87¢$11+$0.88$0
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes860¢2.7¢$0.22−$4.78$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No1,38388.2¢0¢$0−$1,220$0
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes1,17950.9¢0¢$0−$600−$15
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes86258¢0¢$0−$500−$4.20
France vs. England: Team to WinFrance29468¢0¢$0−$200−$3.20
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes24536.7¢0¢$0−$90−$1.71
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes23846.2¢0¢$0−$110−$1.78
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes16959¢0¢$0−$100−$1.64
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes12735.4¢0¢$0−$45−$1.17
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Yes6929¢0¢$0−$20−$0.57
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?Yes3628¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp3241.9¢0¢$0−$13−$0.47
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Yes3149¢0¢$0−$15−$0.31
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?Yes2322¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETUp2051.3¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 21?Yes1051.2¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETDown812¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.06
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupT1663¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETUp362¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.05

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET93¢29$2758%37
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET77¢39$3058%37
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET42¢24$1058%37
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET35¢14$5.0058%37
BUY FlyQuestLoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner95¢126$12058%37
SELL NoNBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?98.9¢112$11158%37
BUY YesWill there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?80¢13$1058%37
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET62¢3$2.0058%37
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET57¢18$1058%37
BUY NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?84¢24$2058%37
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET96¢5$5.0058%37
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET75¢7$5.0058%37
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET63¢8$5.0058%37
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?84¢24$2058%37
BUY NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?77¢39$3058%37
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?90¢556$50058%37
BUY MavericksMavericks vs. Rockets94¢21$2058%37
BUY MavericksMavericks vs. Rockets58.5¢513$30058%37
SELL NoNBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?98.5¢335$33058%37
BUY MavericksMavericks vs. Rockets67¢30$2058%37