sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,274

TradingWave

0xf49…9786@0xDHarvester
Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$179kvol $164M
PnL 30d−$10.5kgains $2,210 · losses $13.2k
PnL 7d−$4,166win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate28.7%adj 29.8% · 30d 5.9%
Open value$26.2kcash n/a
Positions43 / 426open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$177kbelow peak −$338kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 28.7% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 43

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes32.2k47.4¢31.8¢$10.2k−$5,048$0
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes38.4k11.2¢11.1¢$4,242−$48$0
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?Yes82.5k0.7¢4.7¢$3,879+$3,301+$30
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes14.7k3.6¢23.3¢$3,408+$2,885$0
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes4,49218¢22.5¢$1,011+$202$0
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes29.4k1.9¢2.5¢$720+$159+$18
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes17.0k1.6¢2¢$332+$57$0
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-10?No6,9438¢4.6¢$316−$240$0
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes206k0.2¢0.2¢$309−$103$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes10,0008.3¢2.6¢$255−$575$0
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC10.0k7¢2¢$196−$506$0
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes53020.4¢28.1¢$149+$41$0
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-10-10?Yes1,28411¢11.5¢$148+$6.42$0
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes1,1789.2¢11.1¢$131+$22$0
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No10.8k24.8¢1.1¢$119−$2,552$0
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes21.6k0.4¢0.5¢$119+$32$0
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes15.1k0.7¢0.8¢$114+$7.44$0
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes41.9k10.9¢0.3¢$105−$4,456+$341
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes9,8721¢1¢$94−$4.94+$6.29
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-10-10?Yes21.9k3.1¢0.4¢$88−$599$0
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes1,3564¢3.3¢$44−$10+$39
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes1,9373.2¢2.1¢$40−$22$0
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes9152.9¢3.2¢$29+$2.63$0
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes2,5000.5¢1.1¢$26+$14$0
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes10.0k0.5¢0.3¢$25−$25$0
Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?Yes1,1352.8¢1.5¢$17−$15$0
Will Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Yes5360.5¢3.1¢$16+$14$0
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes5,38911.3¢0.2¢$8.08−$600+$288
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes6203.2¢1.2¢$7.12−$13$0
Will Cole Palmer (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Yes2712.3¢1.8¢$4.75−$1.49$0
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes2614¢15¢$3.96+$0.26+$23
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes4863¢0.8¢$3.64−$11$0
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes6451.1¢0.5¢$2.90−$4.19$0
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes2620.7¢1.1¢$2.75+$0.92$0
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina1,1476¢0.1¢$0.57−$68$0
Spread: SC Paderborn 07 (-1.5)SC Paderborn 07307¢0.9¢$0.27−$1.83$0
Will Cody Gakpo (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Yes590.3¢0.3¢$0.18$0$0
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Yes50.8¢0.8¢$0.04$0$0
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?Yes9,9991.9¢0¢$0−$190$0
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes8,8702.7¢0¢$0−$236$0
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes1,9242.4¢0¢$0−$46$0
Spread: Arsenal FC (-3.5)Arsenal FC1,2108¢0¢$0−$97$0
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 1.5Under96511¢0¢$0−$106$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?0.2¢206k$41229%25
BUY YesWill Kristiansund BK win on 2026-10-10?3.8¢600$2329%25
BUY YesWill Kristiansund BK win on 2026-10-10?3.7¢600$2229%25
BUY YesWill Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?11.2¢30.8k$3,45229%25
BUY YesWill Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?11.2¢3,082$34529%25
BUY YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?55.9¢2,070$1,15729%25
BUY YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?56.1¢577$32429%25
BUY YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?56.1¢1,013$56829%25
BUY YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?55.7¢618$34429%25
BUY NoLAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?36.6¢273$10029%25
BUY YesWill Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open?0.8¢4,943$4029%25
BUY Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces10¢3,279$32829%25
BUY YesWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?20¢5$1.0029%25
SELL NoWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?18¢3,871$69729%25
SELL YesWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3.3¢630$2129%25
SELL YesWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3.3¢23.4k$77129%25
BUY YesWill Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3¢4,762$14329%25
BUY YesWill Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2.9¢13.3k$38629%25
BUY YesWill Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2.8¢1,538$4329%25
BUY YesWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?30¢11.7k$3,51329%25