sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,669

cosmicsteaks

0xf4f…5bf1
1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$9,688vol $4.34M
PnL 30d+$7,273gains $18.6k · losses $23.5k
PnL 7d−$2,455win rate 7d 40.2%
Win rate40.2%adj 40.6% · 30d 40.2%
Open value$26.3kcash n/a
Positions402 / 25,696open / all-time
Max drawdown−54.6%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 55m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$36.9kbelow peak −$7,673Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 40.2% · shrunk toward 50%2
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity45

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?No1,42389.3¢98.4¢$1,399+$129$0
Will Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?No1,64484.1¢85¢$1,398+$14$0
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No89957.7¢98¢$881+$362−$8.46
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes1,14876.8¢73.5¢$844−$38$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?No2,67241.8¢31.5¢$842−$275$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-47 House seat?Yes73088.4¢96.2¢$702+$57$0
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?No2,42028.8¢29¢$702+$3.69$0
Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?Yes82574.9¢79.5¢$656+$38$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?No74380.4¢83.5¢$620+$23$0
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?No1,92533.8¢31¢$597−$54$0
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes81451.1¢62.5¢$509+$93$0
Will Isaias peak at Category 1 or weaker?No49786¢95.4¢$474+$46$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?No64355¢71.5¢$460+$106$0
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?No92428.3¢47.5¢$439+$177$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Yes61755.9¢68.5¢$422+$78$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-04 House seat?No44193¢95.3¢$420+$10$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes1,61317.3¢25.5¢$411+$133$0
Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?No43588.9¢91.6¢$399+$12$0
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?No1,33931¢29.5¢$395−$20$0
Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?Yes53972.6¢72¢$388−$3.33$0
Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?Yes68645.9¢55.5¢$381+$66$0
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes39479.6¢91.4¢$360+$46$0
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?Yes33789.1¢98¢$330+$30$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?No53568.2¢58.5¢$313−$52$0
Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?Yes42164.1¢70.5¢$297+$27$0
Thunder vs. HawksHawks42412¢62.7¢$266+$215$0
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?Yes40839.7¢55.5¢$226+$64$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?No22594.6¢95.8¢$215+$2.61$0
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No28174.8¢75¢$211+$0.65$0
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?No20457.1¢98.6¢$201+$85+$7.86
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes24951.6¢79.5¢$198+$69+$7.05
Florida A&M vs. Alabama State: O/U 49.5Over43746¢44¢$192−$8.74$0
Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 1%?No20781¢84.5¢$175+$7.25$0
Will Simon Yu win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?No26960.9¢64¢$172+$8.45$0
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be 3,800,000 or more?No17386.2¢96.3¢$167+$17$0
Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?No52550.8¢31¢$163−$104$0
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?Yes20779.7¢77.8¢$161−$3.88$0
Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?No7729¢20.5¢$158+$89$0
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?No14795¢100¢$147+$7.31$0
Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes21060.9¢69.5¢$146+$18$0
Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?No27444.9¢53¢$145+$22$0
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 1%?No16979¢85.5¢$144+$11$0
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?No32452.8¢44.5¢$144−$27$0
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes25759.5¢55.5¢$143−$10$0
Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?Yes33427.9¢42.5¢$142+$49$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?No68027.7¢20.5¢$139−$49$0
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes16276¢85.5¢$139+$15$0
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17?No13943.1¢98.5¢$137+$77$0
Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?No17068.3¢78.5¢$133+$17$0
Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Yes17272.7¢77.5¢$133+$8.17$0
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17?Yes13731.4¢95.3¢$130+$87$0
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5Over9098¢14.2¢$130+$57$0
Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat?Yes17468¢73.5¢$128+$9.57$0
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi DragonsTokyo Yakult Swallows18251¢67.7¢$123+$30$0
Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?Yes13787¢87.5¢$120+$0.69$0
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No25546.1¢45.5¢$116−$1.60$0
Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?Yes12782.3¢91¢$115+$11$0
Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?No19769¢57.5¢$113−$23$0
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No45825.3¢24.5¢$112−$3.67$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No77212¢14.4¢$111+$18$0
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?No11137.1¢99¢$110+$69$0
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung LionsKT Wiz13519.9¢81.8¢$110+$83$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes77948¢13.5¢$105−$269$0
California voter ID referendum passes?Yes19724.9¢52.5¢$104+$55$0
Will Republicans sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?No12876.9¢80¢$102+$3.99$0
Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?No21468.8¢45.8¢$98−$49$0
Will SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026?Yes11192.6¢88¢$98−$5.10$0
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes43415¢22.5¢$98+$33$0
Will the Republican Party win the MO-07 House seat?Yes9978.6¢96.4¢$95+$18$0
Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?Yes23258.5¢38.5¢$89−$46$0
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No23732.6¢37.5¢$89+$12$0
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?No74017.4¢12¢$89−$40$0
Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?No20144.9¢43.5¢$87−$2.89$0
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?No9388.1¢89.4¢$83+$1.15$0
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?No20446.1¢39.5¢$81−$13$0
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes25026.1¢30.5¢$76+$11$0
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?No5239.3¢14.5¢$76+$27$0
Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No18339.6¢40.5¢$74+$1.61$0
Will Michelle Romero win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election?No4467.2¢16.5¢$74+$41$0
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Yes8749¢83.5¢$73+$30$0
Will Democrats win exactly 13 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?No8781¢83¢$72+$1.74$0
Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Yes29524.2¢23.5¢$69−$2.15$0
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?No8179.6¢85¢$69+$4.40$0
Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 1%?No7487¢90¢$67+$2.22$0
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?No40040.7¢16.5¢$66−$97$0
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Yes14232.3¢46.5¢$66+$20$0
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes8782¢72.5¢$63−$8.29$0
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?No7876.8¢77.5¢$60+$0.54$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No6189¢98.3¢$60+$5.64$0
Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Yes36313.4¢16.5¢$60+$11$0
Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Yes8744¢68.5¢$60+$21$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No22417¢26.3¢$59+$21$0
Will Chloe Foster win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?No10943.3¢51.5¢$56+$9.02$0
Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?Yes9855¢56.5¢$55+$1.47$0
Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?No15430.4¢33.5¢$52+$4.73$0
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?Yes5776.5¢88.5¢$50+$6.82$0
Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No7165¢69.5¢$49+$3.19$0
Will Serbia call its presidential election by October 31, 2026?No8044¢61.5¢$49+$14$0
Will Kansas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No5091.6¢96.7¢$49+$2.56$0
Will voters pick the 1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver "Peacemaker" (.45 Colt) as the state gun of Idaho?No5779¢86¢$49+$3.97$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY The AudacityCounter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs The Audacity - Map 1 Winner1¢1,718$1840%51
BUY The AudacityCounter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs The Audacity - Map 1 Winner1¢413$4.1340%51
BUY BahrainT20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier A: Bahrain vs Kuwait57¢75$4340%51
BUY KuwaitT20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier A: Bahrain vs Kuwait77.8¢65$5140%51
BUY YesWill it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 8?2¢56$1.1240%51
BUY BuccaneersSpread: Buccaneers (-7.5)57.4¢549$31540%51
BUY Reign AboveCounter-Strike: Villainous vs Reign Above - Map 2 Winner47¢18$8.4640%51
BUY OverBuccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 41.569¢40$2840%51
BUY UnderBuccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.547¢1$0.2440%51
BUY VillainousCounter-Strike: Villainous vs Reign Above - Map 2 Winner44¢20$8.8040%51
BUY OverFlorida A&M vs. Alabama State: O/U 49.546¢437$20140%51
BUY NoWill CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-08?34.6¢48$1640%51
BUY OverSantos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.540¢19$7.6340%51
BUY UnderSantos FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.568¢14$9.6640%51
BUY NoWill Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?85¢52$4440%51
BUY NoWill Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?85¢94$8040%51
BUY NoWill Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?85¢6$5.5240%51
BUY NoWill Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?85¢105$8940%51
BUY NoWill Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?85¢6$5.5240%51
BUY NoWill Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?85¢117$9940%51