PnL all-time−$5,173vol $259k
PnL 30d−$1,440gains $2,092 · losses $5,282
PnL 7d+$58win rate 7d 88.9%
Win rate81.0%adj 78.4% · 30d 84.6%
Open value$1,915cash n/a
Positions4 / 223open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 16h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$5,044below peak −$5,619Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 81.0% · shrunk toward 50%96
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$385US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$353Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29? · Noclosed+$276Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$265Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13? · Noclosed+$259
Worst markets
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$2,189Iran successfully targets shipping on August 13, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,890Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$1,795US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? · Yesclosed−$1,239Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026? · Noclosed−$760
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9? | Yes | 1,743 | 97¢ | 99.8¢ | $1,740 | +$49 | $0 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 116 | 79.8¢ | 89.5¢ | $103 | +$11 | $0 | |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | Yes | 100 | 43¢ | 41.5¢ | $42 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 200 | 38¢ | 15¢ | $30 | −$46 | $0 |
Recent trades
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