sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

WeJustBettin

0xf6c…7d80
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,427vol $580k
PnL 30d+$1,140gains $371 · losses $135
PnL 7d+$54win rate 7d 88.9%
Win rate86.4%adj 85.0% · 30d 93.3%
Open value$61.6kcash n/a
Positions161 / 883open / all-time
Max drawdown−18.8%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,022below peak −$118Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 86.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity81

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?Yes4,68796¢98.1¢$4,598+$98$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,70081.5¢90.5¢$2,443+$243$0
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,54759.9¢63.5¢$2,252+$127$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No1,89879.9¢97¢$1,840+$323$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes1,79374.4¢93.9¢$1,683+$349$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No1,66991.1¢97.8¢$1,631+$111$0
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Yes1,59793.3¢98.4¢$1,571+$81$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No1,63785.4¢93.5¢$1,530+$133$0
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No1,41590.1¢97.5¢$1,379+$104$0
US military draft authorized in 2026?No1,33290.7¢96.5¢$1,285+$77$0
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No1,33269.8¢96.2¢$1,280+$350$0
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes1,30296¢97.3¢$1,267+$17$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No1,32146.8¢94.5¢$1,248+$630+$352
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?Yes1,25097.1¢98.3¢$1,229+$15$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1,15691.3¢95.8¢$1,108+$53$0
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No97695.8¢98.3¢$959+$24$0
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No99288.8¢96¢$952+$72$0
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes99184.3¢88.5¢$877+$41$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No89688.8¢97.2¢$871+$76$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No86592¢96.6¢$835+$40$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No81398.4¢98.7¢$802+$2.14$0
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No79180.3¢95.5¢$756+$120$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?Yes76092.1¢97.1¢$738+$38$0
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?No72296.9¢98.7¢$713+$13$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No77980.3¢90.5¢$705+$80$0
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes99467.9¢67.5¢$671−$4.04$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes82080.7¢69.5¢$570−$92−$35
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No60562¢89.5¢$542+$167$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No60166.7¢89¢$535+$134−$31
Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?No54991¢96.7¢$531+$31$0
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?No55190.8¢96¢$529+$29$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No54591.7¢97¢$528+$28$0
New pandemic in 2026?No54392.2¢95¢$515+$15$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-09 House seat?Yes53892.3¢95.8¢$515+$19$0
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No53184.8¢95.8¢$508+$58$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes61278.1¢78.5¢$481+$2.22−$5.47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?No53786¢88.5¢$475+$14$0
GTA VI released by November 30?Yes44591¢95.5¢$425+$20$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No44789.5¢94¢$420+$20$0
Will Venezuela become 51st state?No40898¢98¢$400−$0.20$0
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No40898.1¢97.8¢$399−$1.36$0
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?No40093¢97.5¢$390+$18$0
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No42780.7¢90.5¢$387+$42$0
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No38495.3¢98.4¢$378+$12$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No40091.2¢93.9¢$376+$11−$5.58
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-06 House seat?Yes38990¢95.8¢$372+$22$0
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?No35895¢98.8¢$353+$13$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No35089¢97.2¢$340+$29$0
Will Alberta join the US? No33996¢98.9¢$335+$9.81$0
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes42282.6¢77.5¢$327−$22−$29
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes43580.5¢74.5¢$324−$26$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes55466.5¢58.5¢$324−$44−$23
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No34586.8¢91.5¢$316+$16$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes50543.2¢62.5¢$316+$97$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?Yes32385.1¢96.1¢$310+$36$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4,7518¢6.4¢$304−$75$0
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?No31296.3¢96.2¢$300−$0.34$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No32592.2¢90.5¢$294−$5.63$0
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?No31494.5¢93.5¢$293−$3.02$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No37073¢79¢$292+$22$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes32692¢87.5¢$285−$15$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia?Yes28793.9¢97¢$279+$8.86$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No45175.2¢61.5¢$278−$62$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No29485¢93.5¢$275+$25$0
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No27593¢97.9¢$269+$13$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No27591¢96.5¢$265+$15$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No25092.4¢97.7¢$244+$13$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes25488.6¢96¢$244+$19$0
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No24392.4¢97.1¢$236+$11$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No23384¢96.4¢$225+$29$0
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?No23091.5¢96.6¢$222+$12$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes30456¢72.5¢$220+$50$0
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No23983.5¢90¢$216+$16$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No21891.7¢96.7¢$211+$11$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No21792¢96.2¢$209+$9.02$0
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No21394¢97.7¢$208+$7.77$0
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No21991.4¢94.2¢$206+$5.98$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No20697.1¢99.4¢$205+$4.61$0
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?No21195¢96.7¢$203+$3.47$0
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No21195¢96.2¢$202+$2.48$0
Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?Yes20597.6¢98.4¢$202+$1.62$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes27480.4¢71.6¢$196−$24$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes23568.1¢82.5¢$194+$34$0
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No21786.5¢88.5¢$192+$4.32$0
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?Yes20386.2¢94.2¢$191+$16$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No20095.6¢95.6¢$191−$0.10$0
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No19490¢98¢$191+$16$0
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?No20793¢91.4¢$189−$3.42$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No18693.8¢96.1¢$179+$4.21$0
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?No18683.9¢96.3¢$179+$23$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No17685¢97¢$171+$21$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes21579.2¢79.6¢$171+$0.73$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No17984¢93.5¢$167+$17$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Yes19077.7¢88¢$167+$20$0
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No16696.2¢96.6¢$161+$0.52$0
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No16693.1¢95.1¢$158+$3.18$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No16292.5¢97.4¢$158+$7.97$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes27066.7¢58.5¢$158−$22$0
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?No16193¢97.9¢$158+$7.82$0
Will the Republican Party win the OK-02 House seat?Yes16094¢98¢$156+$6.38$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?67¢261$17586%63
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by October 31, 2026?39.3¢31$1286%63
BUY NoU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?92.2¢325$30086%63
BUY NoWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?96.6¢52$5086%63
BUY NoWill Core PCE YoY be 2.7% or less in September?98¢71$7086%63
BUY NoWill more than 650,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?99¢30$3086%63
BUY NoSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?98¢102$10086%63
BUY YesWill Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026?98¢20$2086%63
BUY NoWill Venezuela become 51st state?98¢408$40086%63
BUY NoWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?96.2¢52$5086%63
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia?93.9¢287$27086%63
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?93¢32$3086%63
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?36¢278$10086%63
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?81¢49$4086%63
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?68¢176$12086%63
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?61¢467$28586%63
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?93.8¢144$13586%63
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?73¢370$27086%63
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?75.9¢198$15086%63
SELL NoWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?32.2¢412$13386%63