PnL all-time−$2,466vol $80.5k
PnL 30d+$13gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.29win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate83.3%adj 62.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$985cash n/a
Positions11 / 23open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 4mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2,371below peak −$2,617Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
13/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 83.3% · shrunk toward 50%56
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable45
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? · Noclosed+$79Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Noopen+$36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$24No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$23No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$22
Worst markets
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 265 | 87¢ | 97.8¢ | $259 | +$28 | +$7.42 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 118 | 85¢ | 95.4¢ | $112 | +$12 | $0 | |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 115 | 87¢ | 93¢ | $107 | +$6.90 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 109 | 92¢ | 97.2¢ | $106 | +$5.60 | $0 | |
| Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? | No | 106 | 94¢ | 98.4¢ | $105 | +$4.68 | $0 | |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 105 | 95¢ | 97.5¢ | $103 | +$2.58 | $0 | |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 100 | 95¢ | 97.6¢ | $98 | +$2.60 | $0 | |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 100 | 87¢ | 96.2¢ | $96 | +$9.20 | $0 | |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 67.1k | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,489 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 130 | 77¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 100 | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$49 | $0 |
Recent trades
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