sharpside
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NicoleAndrews4608

0xf92…9134
PoliticsOtherCultureSportWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$358vol $371k
PnL 30d+$173gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$45win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate51.2%adj 51.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$7,292cash n/a
Positions43 / 377open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,021below peak −$959Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

34/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale36
Adjusted win rateraw 51.2% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Bruno Sangregório as Levi Ackerman (Attack on Titan: THE LAST ATTACK) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Brazilian Portuguese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? · Yesclosed+$552AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins · Milwaukee Admiralsopen+$448Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$438Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19? · Yesclosed+$433Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20? · Yesclosed+$413

Worst markets

Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5 · Underopen−$523Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000? · Noopen−$476Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5 · Overopen−$461Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce · Fenerbahceclosed−$370Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31? · Noclosed−$357

Open positions · 43

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No1,05880¢96.6¢$1,022+$176$0
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No87099.9¢100¢$870+$0.87$0
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?No73683¢100¢$736+$125$0
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids GriffinsMilwaukee Admirals72338.1¢100¢$723+$448$0
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)EC Juventude1,22150¢50¢$611$0$0
Central Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama LionsCentral Arkansas Bears58652.2¢100¢$586+$280$0
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No60618.8¢91.1¢$552+$438$0
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic49766¢95.5¢$475+$147$0
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar CardinalsLamar Cardinals39189.7¢100¢$391+$40$0
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?Yes79381.5¢49.3¢$391−$255+$143
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?No56618.5¢50.7¢$287+$182$0
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?No27467¢100¢$274+$90−$73
Anduril IPO before 2027?No16384¢97.6¢$159+$22−$1.12
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?Yes32528¢29.5¢$96+$4.88$0
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No6977¢96.4¢$67+$13$0
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?Yes44914¢7.5¢$34−$29+$39
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes8137.5¢12.4¢$10−$20+$188
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?Yes551¢100¢$5.00+$2.45$0
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?Yes2034¢15¢$3.00−$3.80+$46
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes23.7¢52.8¢$1.06+$0.98+$0.03
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No162¢78.5¢$0.79+$0.17−$50
Deel IPO before 2027?Yes1958¢0.5¢$0.09−$11−$6.75
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI1,18515¢0¢$0−$178$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?No1,09043.6¢0¢$0−$476$0
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar CardinalsEast Texas A&M Lions84412.6¢0¢$0−$107$0
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5Under58889¢0¢$0−$523$0
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over58279.1¢0¢$0−$461$0
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over54322¢0¢$0−$119$0
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State GamecocksMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders45910.1¢0¢$0−$46$0
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 10PM ETUp41151¢0¢$0−$210$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be greater than 2,300,000?No40118¢0¢$0−$72$0
Partizan vs. BC DubaiBC Dubai30263¢0¢$0−$190$0
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 6AM ETUp26750¢0¢$0−$134$0
Macarthur FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5Under26449¢0¢$0−$129$0
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club25826.8¢0¢$0−$69$0
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 2AM ETDown10849¢0¢$0−$53$0
Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes1060.6¢0¢$0−$0.64$0
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?Yes10513¢0¢$0−$14+$35
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?Yes8413¢0¢$0−$11$0
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?Yes814.1¢0¢$0−$3.32$0
Will "Sentimental Value" win in the Non-English Language Film category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?No4616¢0¢$0−$7.29−$50
The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)Yes201.2¢0¢$0−$0.24−$1.39
Will Trump say "California" during the State of the Union address?No1034¢0¢$0−$3.40$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?26¢321$8351%34
SELL NoWill Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?88¢777$68451%34
BUY NoWill Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?87¢777$67651%34
BUY NoWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?27¢321$8751%34
SELL NoAnduril IPO before 2027?89¢297$26451%34
SELL NoWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?80¢930$74451%34
SELL NoWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?90¢687$61851%34
BUY UnderGimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.589¢588$52351%34
BUY NoWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?82¢930$76351%34
BUY NoWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?87¢687$59851%34
SELL NoWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?74¢513$38051%34
SELL YesWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?8¢66$5.2851%34
SELL NoWill Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?58¢815$47351%34
SELL NoWill Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?32¢522$16751%34
SELL NoGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?35¢54$1951%34
SELL NoGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?34¢63$2151%34
SELL NoWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?88¢250$22051%34
BUY NoWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?88¢250$22051%34
BUY NoWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?74¢513$38051%34
BUY NoWill Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?67¢1,089$73051%34