sharpside
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bingkuai10

0xf9a…7a4b
<14d old<30d oldWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$725vol $34.1k
PnL 30d+$739gains $1,671 · losses $652
PnL 7d+$649win rate 7d 36.2%
Win rate33.5%adj 35.1% · 30d 33.5%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions44 / 226open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.6%of equity peak
Account age13dlast trade 11h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$738below peak $0Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale41
Adjusted win rateraw 33.5% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 44

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on October 10?Yes4800.2¢0¢$0−$0.96−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 11?Yes3331.2¢0¢$0−$4.07−$12
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 11?No27235.3¢0¢$0−$96+$2.63
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 13?No21119.1¢0¢$0−$40−$0.92
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 12?Yes2000.5¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 1?Yes2000.7¢0¢$0−$1.40−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on October 13?Yes1615.4¢0¢$0−$8.73−$7.64
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on October 13?Yes1500.5¢0¢$0−$0.75−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 13?Yes1265.4¢0¢$0−$6.86+$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 12?Yes12113.3¢0¢$0−$16−$1.81
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 8?Yes1101¢0¢$0−$1.10$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 13?Yes1030.9¢0¢$0−$0.92−$1.21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 12?Yes1001.5¢0¢$0−$1.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 8?Yes1002.1¢0¢$0−$2.10−$2.98
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 8?Yes1001¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 8?Yes1001¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 13?Yes1005¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 12?Yes9517.8¢0¢$0−$17−$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 12?Yes957.8¢0¢$0−$7.39+$5.79
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 10?Yes891.5¢0¢$0−$1.35−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 12?Yes831.9¢0¢$0−$1.60−$2.39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C or below on October 12?Yes803.4¢0¢$0−$2.76−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 8?Yes7929.3¢0¢$0−$23−$0.42
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 13?No7618.3¢0¢$0−$14−$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on October 13?Yes762.6¢0¢$0−$1.95−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 12?Yes742.8¢0¢$0−$2.10−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 13?Yes702.8¢0¢$0−$1.93−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 8?Yes6215¢0¢$0−$9.29−$5.62
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 7?No6229.6¢0¢$0−$18−$0.62
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 13?Yes614.3¢0¢$0−$2.64−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 12?Yes5513.3¢0¢$0−$7.34−$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 8?Yes531.3¢0¢$0−$0.69−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 1?Yes5129.9¢0¢$0−$15−$1.76
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 8?No502¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 6?Yes5012¢0¢$0−$6.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 9?Yes480.4¢0¢$0−$0.19−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 8?Yes4515.3¢0¢$0−$6.87−$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 12?Yes382.5¢0¢$0−$0.95−$5.53
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 8?No309¢0¢$0−$2.70$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 11?Yes234.4¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 8?Yes2012.2¢0¢$0−$2.44−$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 11?Yes1510¢0¢$0−$1.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 8?Yes1021¢0¢$0−$2.10−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 10?Yes100.4¢0¢$0−$0.04$0

Recent trades

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TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 13?0.1¢99$0.1034%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 13?2.9¢68$1.9734%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 13?2¢68$1.3434%54
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 13?99.9¢95$9534%54
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on October 13?1.2¢20$0.2434%54
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 13?1.7¢7$0.1234%54
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 13?2.6¢55$1.4634%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 13?14¢40$5.6034%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 13?18.2¢35$6.4034%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 13?16¢20$3.2034%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 13?18.3¢76$1434%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 13?13¢55$7.2134%54
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 13?7.3¢7$0.5034%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 13?11¢20$2.2034%54
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 13?2.2¢99$2.1334%54
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 13?2.8¢70$1.9334%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 13?34¢5$1.7034%54
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 13?3.4¢65$2.2534%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 13?59¢10$5.9034%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 13?58¢10$5.8034%54