sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,604

siick

0xf9b…60a4
SharpPnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$98.1kvol $10.8M
PnL 30d+$10.9kgains $15.7k · losses $2,273
PnL 7d+$124win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate82.7%adj 81.4% · 30d 95.3%
Open value$51.2kcash n/a
Positions480 / 1,874open / all-time
Max drawdown−22.6%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$106kbelow peak −$922Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

82/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale71
Adjusted win rateraw 82.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity77

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No16.2k37¢51.2¢$8,324+$2,310$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No11.8k45¢49.5¢$5,854+$528$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No5,26877.3¢85.5¢$4,504+$434$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No6,32452.4¢62.5¢$3,953+$641$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes135k2.1¢2.8¢$3,724+$875+$237
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?No2,50091¢96.4¢$2,409+$134−$25
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?No2,29174.6¢77.5¢$1,776+$67+$16
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes23.4k4.3¢7.5¢$1,742+$726$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes61.9k1.1¢2.3¢$1,423+$742+$690
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes29.2k3.6¢4.6¢$1,344+$301$0
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?No1,35887¢93.3¢$1,267+$86$0
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Yes5,25927¢23.5¢$1,236−$184+$155
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No1,20582¢91.5¢$1,103+$115+$2,634
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes2,88346¢34.5¢$995−$332+$579
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes5,06823¢19.5¢$988−$178+$872
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No3,50025¢23¢$805−$70−$175
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No80192.4¢96.7¢$774+$34+$137
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1,14050.8¢64.5¢$735+$156+$138
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No64764¢91.5¢$592+$178$0
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?No84963.6¢67.6¢$574+$34−$327
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No58575.1¢87.3¢$510+$71$0
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?No45579.1¢98¢$446+$86+$77
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No46976¢93.5¢$438+$82$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No44883¢96.9¢$434+$62+$1,429
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No43790.6¢94¢$411+$15$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No41788¢96.3¢$402+$34$0
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?No40079¢96.5¢$386+$70$0
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes2,27812.6¢13.3¢$303+$16$0
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No53045¢52.5¢$278+$40$0
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?Yes2,28138.1¢10.5¢$239−$630+$218
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes27754¢85.4¢$236+$87$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,54223.8¢15.2¢$234−$134+$1,269
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes2,00082¢11¢$220−$1,420$0
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?No18791¢95.5¢$178+$8.41$0
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?No34956.4¢48.5¢$169−$27+$8.95
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No15785¢97.3¢$152+$19+$1.56
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?No15973.7¢94.5¢$150+$33−$68
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes100.0k0.7¢0.2¢$150−$510$0
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?No46842.3¢29.4¢$137−$60+$167
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Yes22731.1¢51.5¢$117+$46+$24
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes74.6k0.3¢0.2¢$112−$112$0
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes37446.9¢28.5¢$107−$69−$27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes2,52623¢4.2¢$105−$476−$177
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?No11691¢90¢$104−$1.14$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027?No10082¢95.5¢$96+$14$0
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?No9856.9¢89.5¢$87+$32$0
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes8765¢94.1¢$82+$25$0
Will Trump deport 200-300k people?No8182.9¢97.7¢$80+$12$0
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No6693.3¢95.1¢$62+$1.17$0
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes37014¢16.5¢$61+$9.24$0
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes39222¢15.5¢$61−$25$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes10056.4¢56¢$56−$0.40+$548
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No5493.5¢97¢$53+$1.86+$140
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No35053.6¢14.6¢$51−$137$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Yes22043.4¢23¢$51−$45$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?No22218¢22.5¢$50+$9.97$0
Will Trump deport 200-300k people?Yes1,65615¢2.3¢$38−$211−$31
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No13292.4¢28.7¢$38−$84$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No2778¢97.8¢$27+$5.38+$51
Will Sean O'Malley become UFC champion in 2026?Yes10814.6¢18.9¢$20+$4.62$0
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?No2168.4¢96.4¢$20+$5.87+$1,468
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Yes47278.3¢4¢$19−$351$0
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Yes12954¢14¢$18−$52+$107
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes1564¢90.9¢$14+$4.01$0
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No1550.3¢83.5¢$13+$4.97$0
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?No1485¢87.8¢$12+$0.39$0
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,7591¢0.5¢$9.68−$7.92$0
Will Volkan Oezdemir be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No995.8¢99.5¢$9.17+$0.34$0
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?Yes1942.5¢49¢$9.12+$1.20$0
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes6992.2¢1.3¢$8.74−$6.56+$338
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Yes502.7¢10¢$4.96+$3.62$0
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?Yes4061.2¢1.1¢$4.27−$0.61$0
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes547¢80.5¢$4.27+$1.78$0
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Yes1564.1¢2.5¢$3.91−$2.43$0
Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026?Yes505¢7.7¢$3.83+$1.32$0
Will Trump deport 500-600k people?Yes297.5¢12.2¢$3.55+$1.37$0
Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes47413¢0.5¢$2.37−$59$0
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes2611¢8.5¢$2.20−$0.65$0
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Yes1362¢12.5¢$1.65−$6.51$0
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes94930¢0.2¢$1.42−$283$0
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?No257¢51¢$1.19−$0.14$0
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?Yes8730¢1.3¢$1.09−$25$0
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026?Yes325¢4.8¢$0.16−$0.70$0
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes12.5¢0.4¢$0−$0.02+$464
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?No50.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$50$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No38.4k14.5¢0¢$0−$5,577+$1,431
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?No22.9k4.3¢0¢$0−$973−$232
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes16.3k14.8¢0¢$0−$2,400−$152
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Yes14.3k13.8¢0¢$0−$1,977−$638
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes13.7k8.2¢0¢$0−$1,119−$1,550
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Yes13.1k6.5¢0¢$0−$858−$86
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?Yes10.1k1.2¢0¢$0−$121$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No10.0k1.6¢0¢$0−$160$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No10,00033.5¢0¢$0−$3,350+$1,413
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Yes9,42516¢0¢$0−$1,505−$981
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?Yes9,2302.1¢0¢$0−$197$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes8,78035.2¢0¢$0−$3,088−$152
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes8,5002.9¢0¢$0−$244−$14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?Yes8,10210.3¢0¢$0−$836−$6.29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes7,80210.1¢0¢$0−$786−$323

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?20¢2,059$41283%82Sharp
SELL Natalia SilvaUFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)95¢69$6683%82Sharp
SELL Natalia SilvaUFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)89¢32$2983%82Sharp
BUY Natalia SilvaUFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)80¢59$4883%82Sharp
BUY YesFight to Go the Distance?41¢2,744$1,12583%82Sharp
BUY Ailin PerezUFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)61¢1,000$61083%82Sharp
BUY Ailin PerezUFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)61¢700$42783%82Sharp
BUY YesWill the US strike 10 countries in 2026?2.7¢50$1.3483%82Sharp
SELL YesWill Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?30.5¢936$28583%82Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?35.2¢500$17683%82Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?35¢3,290$1,15283%82Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?34.5¢1,575$54383%82Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?36.6¢551$20283%82Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?36.5¢604$22083%82Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?61¢574$35083%82Sharp
BUY Joshua VanUFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)59¢1,100$64983%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Arman Tsarukyan win by KO or TKO?77¢250$19383%82Sharp
BUY YesFight to Go the Distance?16¢1,000$16083%82Sharp
BUY YesWill Alonzo Menifield win by KO or TKO?15¢251$3883%82Sharp
BUY Charles JourdainUFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)63.2¢1,000$63283%82Sharp