sharpside
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Traders/Rank #14,222

Tomas7777

0xf9c…62b2@PrzeczekT
WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$226vol $628k
PnL 30d+$145gains $195 · losses $933
PnL 7d+$6.03win rate 7d 54.5%
Win rate70.8%adj 70.0% · 30d 64.5%
Open value$2,284cash n/a
Positions31 / 1,079open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$185below peak −$1,781Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 70.8% · shrunk toward 50%75
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 31

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No30099¢98.9¢$297−$0.45$0
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?No30098.6¢98.6¢$296−$0.15$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes30086.5¢86.5¢$259−$0.07+$0.93
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No20099.5¢99.6¢$199+$0.10$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No20097.2¢97.3¢$195+$0.10+$4.40
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?No20097.2¢97.2¢$194−$0.10$0
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No20093¢90.5¢$181−$5.00$0
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?No20083¢81.5¢$163−$3.00$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes14036¢54¢$76+$25$0
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No5092¢97.9¢$49+$2.92$0
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No5093¢97.8¢$49+$2.40$0
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No5093¢97.8¢$49+$2.38$0
Will FK Livyi Bereh win on 2026-08-02?Yes18336.9¢23.5¢$43−$24$0
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?Yes4057.5¢96.7¢$39+$16$0
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?No4093.4¢92.1¢$37−$0.54$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?No10022¢32.5¢$32+$10$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes5078¢62.5¢$31−$7.75$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes5042¢42.5¢$21+$0.25$0
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-08-02?Yes3544.8¢51¢$18+$2.21$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes3047.3¢46.3¢$14−$0.32$0
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FK Livyi Bereh end in a draw?Yes2518.6¢46.5¢$12+$6.97$0
SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 4.5Under102¢90¢$9.00+$8.80$0
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?Yes98.7¢61¢$5.75+$4.93$0
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No7626¢6.5¢$4.95−$15$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes10074¢4.3¢$4.25−$70$0
Will SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?Yes103¢25.4¢$2.54+$2.23$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes968¢23.5¢$2.07−$3.93$0
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-08-16?No114¢84¢$1.00+$0.83$0
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-08-16?Yes54¢16¢$0.80+$0.60$0
SlingshotDAO FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes23¢30.5¢$0.62+$0.56$0
LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 2 WinnerRED Canids2027¢0¢$0−$5.40$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?97.2¢200$19471%44
SELL NoWill there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?95.9¢200$19271%44
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?79¢5$3.9571%44
BUY NoWill there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?96.2¢150$14471%44
BUY NoWill there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?95.9¢50$4871%44
BUY NoXi Jinping out before 2027?97.2¢200$19471%44
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?97.8¢200$19671%44
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?86.9¢150$13071%44
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?99¢300$29771%44
BUY YesKimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?39¢20$7.8071%44
SELL YesPlague case in US by December 31?13¢20$2.6071%44
SELL Team LiquidLoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner99.9¢50$5071%44
BUY LYONLoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner50¢10$5.0071%44
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?98.6¢300$29671%44
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?96.2¢390$37571%44
SELL YesWill Argentina vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?6¢100$6.0071%44
BUY NoWill Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?92¢50$4671%44
BUY NoWill Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?93¢50$4771%44
BUY NoWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?93¢50$4771%44
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?78¢0$0.3671%44