sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,062

Socialista

0xfa0…f0a7
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$8,299vol $2.89M
PnL 30d+$4,391gains $51.2k · losses $3,758
PnL 7d−$4,070win rate 7d 92.4%
Win rate92.2%adj 90.5% · 30d 92.2%
Open value$14.9kcash n/a
Positions419 / 7,395open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 19m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$278below peak −$7,687Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 92.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?No1,80062¢62.5¢$1,125+$9.00−$6.74
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos AlcarazCarlos Alcaraz1,20093¢92.5¢$1,110−$6.00$0
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1,30066.2¢79.5¢$1,034+$173+$162
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes2,50019¢22.5¢$563+$88$0
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No55094.7¢93.2¢$512−$8.27$0
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1,05354.9¢48.5¢$511−$67−$93
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes78136.8¢63.5¢$496+$209+$20
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No51293.5¢94.6¢$484+$5.39+$0.35
Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?No52592.4¢88.2¢$463−$22+$2.03
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No46585.5¢96.7¢$450+$52+$20
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?No60571¢73.5¢$445+$15$0
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No49682.2¢88.4¢$438+$31−$6.08
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No36490.5¢91.5¢$333+$3.62+$1.29
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Women's Champions League?Yes50060.4¢62.9¢$314+$12$0
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,07830.9¢27.5¢$296−$37+$27
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No40567.9¢70.5¢$285+$11−$26
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes27595¢96¢$264+$2.75$0
FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over30086¢86.5¢$260+$1.50$0
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No35564.1¢72.5¢$257+$30+$42
Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No26094.2¢97.3¢$253+$7.93+$1.01
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes25580.7¢97¢$247+$42+$7.74
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes25792.3¢93.4¢$240+$2.73$0
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Yes50047¢46.5¢$233−$2.50$0
Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No26672.6¢86.5¢$230+$37+$8.30
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?No1,35043.4¢15.5¢$209−$376$0
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes22187.1¢87¢$192−$0.21$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1,28120.7¢15¢$192−$73−$0.36
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No46241.3¢41.5¢$192+$0.87−$0.02
Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)Erick Visconde38247¢43¢$164−$15−$0.54
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes16187.6¢91.5¢$147+$6.26+$0.10
Villena: Pedro Martinez vs Laslo DjereLaslo Djere23162¢62¢$143$0$0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No15094¢93.4¢$140−$0.97+$1.50
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes14389.9¢96.5¢$138+$9.38$0
Will Cata Coll finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No15089¢91.5¢$137+$3.75−$1.00
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes20070¢68.5¢$137−$3.00$0
Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction?Yes69220.1¢16.9¢$117−$23$0
Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No1,5069.3¢7.6¢$114−$26$0
Will OL Lyonnes win the 2026-27 UEFA Women's Champions League?No13180.7¢82.7¢$108+$2.55+$0.97
Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?Yes11493.3¢93.7¢$107+$0.44$0
Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No10892¢98¢$106+$6.45+$6.36
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No11760.9¢82.5¢$97+$25+$5.35
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes16164.7¢55.5¢$89−$15$0
Will Conor McGregor fight Ian Garry next?No9081.7¢95.5¢$86+$12+$1.54
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes12075¢69¢$83−$7.20+$0.40
Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No8291¢97.3¢$80+$5.16+$0.70
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Yes17539.4¢45.5¢$80+$11−$447
Will Yui Hasegawa finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No8195¢91.5¢$74−$2.83$0
Will Conor McGregor fight Michael Chandler next?No8080.7¢85.5¢$68+$3.80$0
Will Conor McGregor fight Nate Diaz next?No7081.6¢90¢$63+$5.91−$4.49
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No9362¢64.5¢$60+$2.33+$1.32
Will Caroline Weir finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No6193.8¢96.3¢$59+$1.52$0
Will Tessa Wullaert finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No6093¢92¢$55−$0.60$0
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes20030¢27.5¢$55−$5.00$0
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No5594.8¢98.4¢$54+$1.97+$13
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No12557¢39.6¢$50−$22+$19
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No69816.5¢7¢$49−$66−$3.95
Will Vivianne Miedema finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No6085.3¢77¢$46−$5.00$0
Will Claudia Pina win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No4690¢98.5¢$46+$3.93+$0.25
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1,2696.9¢2.9¢$37−$51+$2.85
Will Barbra Banda finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No4089¢93.5¢$37+$1.80$0
Will Klara Buhl finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes8057.3¢42¢$34−$12$0
Will Caroline Graham Hansen finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes4075¢69¢$28−$2.40$0
Will Temwa Chawinga finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No4061.5¢62.5¢$25+$0.40−$0.24
Will Patri Guijarro finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No5068¢49¢$25−$9.50+$0.09
Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No2594¢95.5¢$24+$0.36+$0.38
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes3060.4¢76¢$23+$4.66$0
Will Patri Guijarro finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No4038¢51¢$20+$5.20+$2.66
Will Ilia Topuria be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?No2099.2¢99.1¢$20−$0.03$0
Will Caroline Weir finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No2085.5¢94.4¢$19+$1.77−$0.18
Will Selma Bacha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No2092¢92.5¢$18+$0.09$0
Will Temwa Chawinga finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No2090¢91¢$18+$0.20$0
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Yes2470¢73.5¢$17+$0.83$0
Will Yui Hasegawa finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No4938.8¢34.5¢$17−$2.11+$0.80
Will Melchie Dumornay finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No28515.9¢5¢$14−$31$0
Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes36513¢3.4¢$12−$35−$0.35
Will Pernille Harder finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes2092¢57¢$11−$7.00$0
Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes10311¢10¢$10−$1.06$0
Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next?Yes1945.9¢53.5¢$10+$1.41−$0.94
Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes24013.2¢4¢$9.60−$22$0
Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next?No2057¢46.5¢$9.30−$2.10+$4.00
Will Pernille Harder finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No2014¢43¢$8.60+$5.80$0
Will Barcelona score the most goals in the UCL league phase?Yes1843¢42¢$7.67−$0.18$0
Will Khadija Shaw finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No6118.2¢9.5¢$5.79−$5.32$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No591¢94¢$4.90+$0.16+$1.43
Will Ilia Topuria fight Arman Tsarukyan next?Yes259.6¢19.5¢$4.88+$2.46−$0.05
Will Claudia Pina finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes2054.5¢22.5¢$4.50−$6.40+$0.50
Will Mariona Caldentey finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes4017¢10.5¢$4.20−$2.60$0
Will OL Lyonnes win the 2026-27 UEFA Women's Champions League?Yes2017.3¢17.3¢$3.47+$0.01$0
Will Melchie Dumornay finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No4125.5¢7¢$2.87−$7.58$0
Will Claudia Pina win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes1548.1¢1.5¢$2.31−$10$0
Will Klara Buhl finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes307¢7¢$2.10$0$0
Will Claudia Pina finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes2010¢9¢$1.80−$0.20$0
Will Momoko Tanikawa finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes208¢8¢$1.60$0$0
Will Melvine Malard finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes2015¢7.5¢$1.50−$1.50$0
Will Kerstin Casparij finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes106¢15¢$1.49+$0.90$0
Will Vinícius Júnior finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes703¢2.1¢$1.44−$0.67$0
Will Pernille Harder finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes2038¢7.2¢$1.43−$6.17$0
Will Manaka Matsukubo finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes197¢6¢$1.14−$0.19+$0.01
Will Joshua Van fight Manel Kape next?No1516¢6.5¢$0.95−$1.41−$2.20
Will Klara Buhl finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?No188¢93¢$0.93+$0.05$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill FC Porto win on 2026-10-10?76¢300$22892%46
BUY OverCS Marítimo vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.577¢200$15492%46
BUY UnderFC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: FC Barcelona O/U 5.589¢300$26792%46
BUY UnderFC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: Getafe CF O/U 1.589¢164$14692%46
BUY UnderFC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 6.590¢74$6692%46
BUY OverFK Bodø/Glimt vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.564¢300$19292%46
BUY Over1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.563¢300$18992%46
BUY Laslo DjereVillena: Pedro Martinez vs Laslo Djere62¢400$24892%46
SELL Carlos AlcarazShanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz99.9¢1,200$1,19992%46
BUY Carlos AlcarazShanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz93¢1,200$1,11692%46
BUY Laslo DjereVillena: Pedro Martinez vs Laslo Djere62¢231$14392%46
BUY OverFC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.586¢300$25892%46
BUY NoWill Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?31¢143$4492%46
BUY Jan-Lennard StruffShanghai Rolex Masters: Martin Landaluce vs Jan-Lennard Struff53¢600$31892%46
BUY Jaume MunarShanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Jenson Brooksby63¢600$37892%46
BUY Mariano NavoneShanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta56¢800$44892%46
BUY Coco GauffChina Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens23¢3,000$69092%46
BUY Nell ArianoDana White's Contender Series: Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)81¢500$40592%46
BUY Nell ArianoDana White's Contender Series: Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)81¢500$40592%46
BUY Mateus SoaresDana White's Contender Series: Mateus Soares vs. Ryuho Miyaguchi (Bantamweight, Main Card)84¢800$67292%46