sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,520

Seutervoinen

0xfaf…cc47
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$128kvol $6.60M
PnL 30d+$84.6kgains $142k · losses $38.9k
PnL 7d+$336win rate 7d 36.1%
Win rate83.4%adj 82.0% · 30d 64.5%
Open value$205kcash n/a
Positions103 / 586open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$127kbelow peak −$5,834Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

83/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 83.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity81

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes32.2k93.6¢96¢$30.9k+$767$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No25.0k95¢96.5¢$24.2k+$385$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?No21.4k96.3¢99.1¢$21.2k+$599+$91
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes13.1k84¢89¢$11.7k+$661+$39
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No11.1k91¢90.5¢$10.1k−$56$0
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?Yes8,09589.6¢89.5¢$7,245−$8.25+$6.03
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes7,42975.6¢80.5¢$5,980+$366+$188
Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?No4,04089.6¢98.3¢$3,971+$349$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?Yes3,33393¢97¢$3,231+$132$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat?Yes3,35291.2¢96.4¢$3,230+$172$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes3,60389.3¢87.5¢$3,153−$64+$0.09
Will the Republican Party win the CA-21 House seat?No3,18095¢96.8¢$3,076+$56$0
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No3,33387¢90.5¢$3,016+$117$0
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No3,47988.1¢84.5¢$2,940−$127$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?Yes3,32485.5¢88¢$2,925+$84$0
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No3,31389¢86.5¢$2,866−$83+$0.20
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No3,33394.3¢84.1¢$2,803−$340$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes17.5k66¢15.5¢$2,709−$8,825$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-45 House seat?Yes2,81891.5¢93.5¢$2,635+$56$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No3,32079¢74.5¢$2,473−$149$0
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?Yes2,46189.4¢91.5¢$2,252+$52$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?Yes2,52886.7¢86.5¢$2,187−$4.84+$123
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No2,20697.5¢99.1¢$2,185+$34−$815
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes12.4k9.1¢17.5¢$2,165+$1,040$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat?No2,23686.8¢87.5¢$1,956+$16+$101
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?Yes2,02584.4¢93¢$1,883+$174$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No2,43063.9¢70.5¢$1,713+$161+$522
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes12.4k9.1¢13¢$1,608+$484$0
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?No2,01380¢78.5¢$1,580−$30$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?Yes1,58793.9¢98¢$1,554+$64+$23
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes12.4k9.1¢12¢$1,484+$360$0
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?Yes1,53893.8¢94.9¢$1,460+$18$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?No1,47293¢98.7¢$1,453+$84$0
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-07 House seat?Yes1,50193¢95¢$1,426+$30$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes1,66779¢81.5¢$1,358+$42+$17
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic1,37495¢96.1¢$1,320+$14+$7.60
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-26 House seat?No1,07391¢98.5¢$1,056+$80$0
Will the Republican Party win the NM-01 House seat?No1,02395¢98.2¢$1,004+$32$0
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?No1,11189¢88¢$978−$11$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo1,03786¢91.5¢$948+$57$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes12.4k9.1¢7.5¢$928−$197$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes2,3779.2¢38.5¢$915+$697$0
Republican Senate odds hit 55% by October 31?No92589.6¢98.7¢$912+$84$0
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes1,12985¢78.5¢$886−$73$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?Yes1,04281¢85¢$886+$42$0
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?No93082.9¢92.5¢$860+$88$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes1,15578.2¢73.7¢$851−$52$0
Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat?No83393¢98.5¢$820+$45$0
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?No1,00685¢77.5¢$779−$75$0
Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat?No80190¢96.6¢$774+$52$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?Yes69093¢97.9¢$676+$34$0
Republican Senate odds hit 60% by October 31?No65993¢98.7¢$650+$37$0
Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?No66695¢94.5¢$630−$3.33$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes67991¢91.5¢$621+$3.39$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-21 House seat?Yes63294.4¢95.3¢$602+$5.62$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?Yes94683¢62.5¢$591−$194$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?Yes56395¢98.7¢$555+$21$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat?No56391¢97.4¢$548+$36+$52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes2,51833.5¢20.5¢$516−$327+$68
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-19 House seat?Yes51093.3¢98.8¢$504+$28+$84
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes51192¢95.8¢$489+$19$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No49779¢94.5¢$469+$77$0
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No51983¢89¢$462+$31$0
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No41099.2¢99.4¢$407+$0.82−$666
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?Yes42093.7¢95.9¢$402+$9.10$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat?Yes36491¢96¢$350+$18$0
Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat?Yes33396¢95.5¢$318−$1.67$0
Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?Yes35689.7¢89¢$317−$2.55$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?No47884¢63.5¢$303−$98$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes73037¢41.3¢$301+$31$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-09 House seat?Yes29995¢97.9¢$293+$8.67$0
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No31490.5¢92.3¢$290+$5.44$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No46354¢61.5¢$285+$35$0
Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No1,00033¢28.5¢$285−$45$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes36094¢77.5¢$279−$59$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-41 House seat?Yes28795¢95.1¢$273+$0.29$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-47 House seat?Yes27995¢96.2¢$268+$3.20$0
Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?No26582.5¢86¢$228+$9.31$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No23991¢95¢$227+$9.57$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?Yes22690.4¢94.5¢$213+$9.15$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-33 House seat?Yes20595¢95.5¢$196+$1.02$0
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes1,00055¢19.5¢$195−$355$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes33159¢56¢$185−$9.93$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes21177¢82¢$173+$11$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-26 House seat?Yes17995¢95.5¢$171+$0.90$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Yes17772¢86¢$152+$25$0
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?No26167¢57.5¢$150−$25$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes2,8069.1¢5.3¢$147−$107+$278
Will the Republican Party win the ID-01 House seat?Yes14195.5¢95.8¢$135+$0.29$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes22234.5¢57.9¢$128+$52$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes3,3289.1¢3.8¢$125−$178−$279
Will the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat?Yes10089¢93.1¢$93+$4.05$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes8087¢85.5¢$68−$1.20$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes10154¢62.5¢$63+$8.61$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes2,2359.1¢2.6¢$57−$146−$469
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No3694¢95.6¢$34+$0.58$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-01 House seat?Yes2095¢96.1¢$19+$0.21$0
Will the Democratic Party win the ID-01 House seat?No1395.5¢96.9¢$13+$0.18$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes1192¢96.8¢$11+$0.55$0
Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No688¢63¢$3.46−$1.38$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?73.1¢34$2583%83Sharp
BUY NoWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?67¢261$17583%83Sharp
BUY NoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?99¢3,011$2,98183%83Sharp
BUY NoRepublican House odds hit 15% by October 31?95¢666$63383%83Sharp
BUY NoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?90¢2,236$2,01283%83Sharp
BUY UnderIndiana vs. Rutgers: 1Q O/U 10.599¢16.2k$16.1k83%83WhaleSharp
BUY JaguarsSpread: Jaguars (-1.5)40¢500$20083%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?5¢315$1683%83Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?95.1¢37$3583%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?24¢2,091$50283%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?94.6¢728$68983%83Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the CA-21 House seat?95¢445$42383%83Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the CA-21 House seat?95¢3,180$3,02183%83Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the NM-01 House seat?95¢1,023$97283%83Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?95¢463$44083%83Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?93.7¢420$39383%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?8¢2,422$19483%83Sharp
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the ID-01 House seat?95.5¢13$1283%83Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the ID-01 House seat?95.5¢141$13583%83Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the NJ-01 House seat?95¢20$1983%83Sharp