sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,011

onekey02

0xfaf…f4c4
WhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$36.0kvol $13.0M
PnL 30d+$53.8kgains $6,160 · losses $176
PnL 7d−$793win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate96.3%adj 94.2% · 30d 97.1%
Open value$1.76Mcash n/a
Positions13 / 446open / all-time
Max drawdown−89.1%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$145kbelow peak −$11.7kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 96.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity11

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 14

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No1.04M90.2¢96.7¢$1.00M+$67.1k−$4.02
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No334k92¢97.4¢$325k+$17.9k$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No242k88.8¢96¢$232k+$17.3k−$0.38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No113k93.2¢97.8¢$110k+$5,174$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No65.8k78.6¢78¢$51.3k−$387$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No23.4k91.6¢95.5¢$22.4k+$917$0
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No15.0k99.9¢99.9¢$15.0k−$7.49$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No8,30099.9¢99.2¢$8,229−$62$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No8,00099.8¢99.8¢$7,980−$3.99$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No3,00099.9¢100¢$2,999+$1.50$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No50071¢73.5¢$368+$13$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No10051¢96.2¢$96+$45$0
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No40091.8¢0¢$0−$367$0
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes10092¢0¢$0−$92−$0.22

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.9¢15.0k$15.0k96%63Whale
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.8¢7,170$7,15696%63
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.9¢4,051$4,04796%63
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?89.3¢10$8.9496%63
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?99.5¢756$75296%63
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?99.7¢4,395$4,38296%63
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?99.8¢2,498$2,49396%63
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?99.9¢2,949$2,94696%63
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?99.9¢16.4k$16.3k96%63Whale
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?96¢3,925$3,76896%63
BUY YesWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?99.8¢2,000$1,99696%63
BUY NoChina x Japan military clash before 2027?95¢3,399$3,22996%63
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?99.9¢217$21696%63
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?99.9¢9,199$9,19096%63
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?99.9¢1,546$1,54596%63
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?99.8¢1,883$1,87996%63
BUY YesWill Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?99.9¢78$7896%63
BUY YesWill Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?99.8¢824$82296%63
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?99.9¢996$99596%63
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?99.6¢500$49896%63