sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,519

StudentMoney

0xfb5…742d@StudentM0ney
WhaleWR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,246vol $26.2M
PnL 30d+$53.2kgains $41.7k · losses $41.5k
PnL 7d+$31.6kwin rate 7d 78.4%
Win rate62.1%adj 61.6% · 30d 71.8%
Open value$365kcash n/a
Positions90 / 1,704open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 3m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$58.2kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 62.1% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 90

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes103k65.1¢87.3¢$89.9k+$22.8k+$8,861
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes96.7k67.4¢85.8¢$82.9k+$17.7k+$31.3k
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes94.5k33.9¢41.3¢$39.0k+$6,990+$3,393
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No31.9k83¢86.5¢$27.6k+$1,110−$282
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes106k22.1¢21.5¢$22.8k−$643−$432
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No17.6k70.7¢87.5¢$15.4k+$2,963+$2,863
Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?Yes12.7k95.4¢96.3¢$12.2k+$110$0
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?No9,62186.1¢94.5¢$9,087+$800$0
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Yes8,37891.5¢92.7¢$7,762+$98+$38
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No6,29595.8¢96.5¢$6,074+$43+$82
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?No5,20993.3¢96.8¢$5,039+$179+$195
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No5,12474.1¢90¢$4,611+$816+$691
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No4,46687.9¢90¢$4,019+$95+$7.37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No5,00068.6¢79.5¢$3,975+$546+$801
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?No3,71596.9¢98.7¢$3,667+$66$0
Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Yes3,32693.5¢96.9¢$3,221+$111+$3.37
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No3,70382.1¢84¢$3,111+$72$0
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Yes2,98968.1¢83.5¢$2,496+$461+$60
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No3,49167.2¢69¢$2,409+$62$0
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No2,04274¢73.5¢$1,501−$10$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1,50095.8¢96¢$1,440+$3.50$0
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes69.1k2.5¢2¢$1,348−$362−$112
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?No1,31180.7¢94.5¢$1,239+$181$0
Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes1,74862.7¢63¢$1,101+$4.90+$7.43
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No1,36771.5¢80.5¢$1,100+$123$0
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No5,15157.9¢20.5¢$1,056−$1,925+$31
Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026?No88889.7¢95.6¢$849+$52+$5.01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,29561.4¢62.5¢$809+$14+$32
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No1,06662.5¢66¢$704+$37+$5.11
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?No99269.4¢68.5¢$680−$8.50−$76
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes77967.3¢73.5¢$572+$48+$1.07
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No87363¢62.5¢$546−$4.36+$72
Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Yes58688.7¢92.3¢$541+$21$0
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?No54684¢92¢$502+$43$0
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes31.0k1.4¢1.6¢$481+$40−$0.32
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No51079.7¢89.7¢$458+$51$0
Will Raphaël Glucksmann finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?No43681.2¢93.5¢$408+$54+$34
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes59.9k1.3¢0.7¢$389−$385+$4,773
Will Les Républicains have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?No34099.3¢99.5¢$338+$0.70$0
Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes79843.4¢41¢$327−$19+$43
Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No31895.8¢98.7¢$313+$8.96$0
Will SER hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Yes32874.1¢91.5¢$300+$57$0
Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?Yes48051.4¢54¢$259+$13+$16
Will both Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No26385.7¢94¢$247+$22$0
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No55728.3¢44¢$245+$87$0
Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes46844.1¢46.5¢$217+$11$0
Will Masao Uchibori win the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial election?Yes21372.8¢98.1¢$208+$54+$2.88
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No20084¢95.1¢$190+$22$0
Will Ségolène Royal win the first round of the French Socialist primary?No19295¢95.1¢$182+$0.10+$11
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes64.0k0.7¢0.3¢$160−$303+$42
Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No13281.9¢99.7¢$131+$24$0
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No11472.5¢75.5¢$86+$3.45$0
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No16365¢49¢$80−$26+$0.40
Will Les Républicains hold 117-120 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No6589.9¢95.7¢$63+$3.77$0
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes1000¢54.5¢$55+$55$0
Will Les Républicains hold 121-124 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Yes6590.2¢82¢$54−$5.36$0
Will SER hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No5556.8¢93.5¢$51+$20−$1.20
Will Les Républicains hold 125-128 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Yes30526.8¢13.2¢$40−$41$0
Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Yes45582.6¢6¢$27−$348−$145
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No4035¢67.5¢$27+$13$0
Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?Yes6021.3¢37.5¢$23+$9.75+$2.07
Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?Yes14716¢8.5¢$12−$11+$0.15
Will Union Centriste have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Yes1463.2¢89.8¢$12+$3.65−$20
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,6079¢0.7¢$10−$135−$65
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Yes696¢97.2¢$5.83+$0.07$0
Will Tlangi Mogale be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes1403.7¢2.7¢$3.71−$1.49$0
Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Yes2010¢12¢$2.40+$0.40+$8.01
Will CNN fly with Trump by October 15?No289¢97.9¢$2.13+$0.19$0
Will Union Centriste hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Yes12393¢1.7¢$2.03−$112−$24
Will Jérôme Guedj win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Yes2800.6¢0.3¢$0.84−$0.84$0
Will Dipika Damerla win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes401.1¢2¢$0.80+$0.36$0
Will Les Républicains hold 117-120 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Yes105¢4.3¢$0.43−$0.07$0
Will Union Centriste hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?No570¢7.7¢$0.39−$3.12$0
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes10717¢0.4¢$0.37−$18−$253
Will the National Rally group hold 11 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Yes515¢0.9¢$0.04−$0.70$0
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes40.0k0.3¢0¢$0−$120$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes14.8k28.7¢0¢$0−$4,248−$616
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes7,03513¢0¢$0−$915$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3,2322.6¢0¢$0−$84$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No2,78771.1¢0¢$0−$1,982−$491
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,62854¢0¢$0−$878−$9.91
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,50011¢0¢$0−$165+$11
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak DjokovicAlexander Zverev50071¢0¢$0−$355−$5.15
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Yes49862.1¢0¢$0−$309−$4.65
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes44023.8¢0¢$0−$105$0
Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?Yes2420¢0¢$0$0$0
India vs. Brazil: Both Teams to ScoreYes20015¢0¢$0−$30$0
Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Terence AtmaneTerence Atmane18980¢0¢$0−$151−$1.07
Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes10039.1¢0¢$0−$39−$0.35
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur FilsArthur Fils4565¢0¢$0−$29$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?87¢4,332$3,77162%39
SELL NoMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?90¢1,451$1,30562%39
SELL NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?96.6¢1,984$1,91762%39
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?10¢262$2662%39
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢10.3k$8,75562%39
SELL YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?42.8¢422$18162%39
SELL NoWill the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?96.6¢1,539$1,48762%39
SELL YesWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?87.8¢9,635$8,46462%39
SELL NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?96.9¢3,200$3,10162%39
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?99.9¢2,109$2,10762%39
SELL NoMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?91¢709$64662%39
SELL NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?64¢376$24162%39
SELL NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?67¢228$15362%39
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?12¢168$2062%39
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.2¢853$71862%39
SELL NoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?89¢1,574$1,40162%39
BUY NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?96.2¢1,474$1,41862%39
SELL YesWill Argentina vs. Benin end in a draw?1.4¢124$1.7462%39
SELL YesWill Les Républicains hold 133-136 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?0.1¢72$0.0762%39
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?96¢6$5.7662%39