sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

AntonDor

0xfd8…342b
WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,893vol $1.18M
PnL 30d+$25gains $228 · losses $170
PnL 7d−$98win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate63.9%adj 62.6% · 30d 85.7%
Open value$3,708cash n/a
Positions82 / 275open / all-time
Max drawdown−50.7%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 5d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,855below peak −$299Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 63.9% · shrunk toward 50%57
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d83
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity49

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 82

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,15981.4¢82.5¢$956+$12+$283
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No24092.4¢94.5¢$227+$5.10$0
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes90015.7¢22.5¢$202+$62+$0.83
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes1,00019¢19.5¢$195+$5.00$0
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No20093.8¢96.1¢$192+$4.60$0
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?No20083.5¢95.9¢$192+$25$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,88911.1¢9¢$171−$39$0
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes1,7099.4¢8.5¢$145−$15+$53
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes25039.1¢52.8¢$132+$34$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes50024.3¢25.5¢$128+$6.00$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes22065.6¢56.5¢$124−$20$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7505.5¢13.1¢$98+$56+$58
Iran Nuke before 2027?No10092.4¢96.8¢$97+$4.35$0
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81No10088¢96.5¢$96+$8.45$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,0002.6¢3.1¢$93+$16$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No10087¢89.5¢$90+$2.50$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No10070¢75.5¢$76+$5.50$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No7577¢95.5¢$72+$14$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No5092.7¢97.8¢$49+$2.52$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes5088¢90.5¢$45+$1.25$0
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes1,0005¢4.5¢$45−$5.00$0
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes5,0000.8¢0.8¢$37−$2.50$0
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No3889¢97.3¢$37+$3.14+$0.37
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes27862.7¢11¢$31−$144$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes70013.7¢4¢$28−$68$0
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,2001.3¢2.3¢$28+$11$0
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes1,5001.6¢1.8¢$26+$2.25$0
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Yes20021¢12.5¢$25−$17$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes4,4991¢0.5¢$25−$20+$1.00
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes5004¢3.3¢$16−$3.75$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes10022¢14¢$14−$8.00$0
Will Elon register any party before 2027?No1083.1¢95¢$9.31+$1.16$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Yes15013¢3.6¢$5.32−$14$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes5,0000.6¢0.1¢$2.50−$27$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes618¢5.5¢$0.31−$0.69$0
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes107k0.1¢0¢$0−$144+$65
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes75.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes62.5k0.1¢0¢$0−$62+$38
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes46.0k0.3¢0¢$0−$146−$0.18
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes20.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$25+$411
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes10.0k0.6¢0¢$0−$60−$1.04
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes3,5581.3¢0¢$0−$48+$23
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes3,0001.7¢0¢$0−$52$0
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes2,7558.7¢0¢$0−$239+$23
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,0001.8¢0¢$0−$36+$51
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,5005.6¢0¢$0−$85+$3.85
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,4004.7¢0¢$0−$66$0
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0101.5¢0¢$0−$15+$99
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes71017.2¢0¢$0−$122+$43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes5003.2¢0¢$0−$16$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes5009¢0¢$0−$45$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes5005¢0¢$0−$25$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes5009.2¢0¢$0−$46$0
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes45048.1¢0¢$0−$216+$561
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes44820.7¢0¢$0−$93−$7.48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes4003¢0¢$0−$12$0
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes31614.3¢0¢$0−$45$0
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?Yes3009¢0¢$0−$27−$1.23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes30015¢0¢$0−$45$0
Spurs vs. ThunderThunder27821.6¢0¢$0−$60+$8.27
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes25021¢0¢$0−$53$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes25014.3¢0¢$0−$36$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Yes2443.7¢0¢$0−$9.03$0
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes2253.7¢0¢$0−$8.35$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes20011¢0¢$0−$22$0
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No20049.5¢0¢$0−$99$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes20033.2¢0¢$0−$66−$31
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance15059.6¢0¢$0−$89−$0.60
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No15015¢0¢$0−$23$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes1007¢0¢$0−$7.00+$2.50
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)No10025¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9?Yes1001.6¢0¢$0−$1.60$0
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No10064¢0¢$0−$64$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Yes10020¢0¢$0−$20$0
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes10037¢0¢$0−$37$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes10017¢0¢$0−$17$0
Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs9231¢0¢$0−$29$0
Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?Yes836¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.23
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes504.5¢0¢$0−$2.25$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes4443¢0¢$0−$19$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes403.2¢0¢$0−$1.28$0
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes1017¢0¢$0−$1.70$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?13¢510$6664%59
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?77¢100$7764%59
SELL NoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?88¢75$6664%59
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢100$8464%59
BUY YesWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?8.5¢439$3764%59
BUY YesWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?8¢50$4.0064%59
BUY NoTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?94¢100$9464%59
BUY YesNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?25¢150$3864%59
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?86¢400$34464%59
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢300$25264%59
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?96.2¢260$25064%59
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?87¢300$26164%59
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?96.1¢200$19264%59
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?88¢600$52864%59
BUY YesNATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?98.7¢101$10064%59
BUY YesWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?63¢50$3264%59
BUY NoWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?58.5¢60$3564%59
BUY NoWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?58.5¢85$5064%59
SELL NoTrump goes to space in 2026?98.3¢64$6364%59
BUY YesWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?64¢78$5064%59