sharpside
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Traders/Rank #16,450

Jopol

0xfde…676c
WR 60+1y+SportWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$297vol $267k
PnL 30d−$798gains $1,269 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$751win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate62.2%adj 61.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$4,543cash n/a
Positions67 / 361open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 9d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$848below peak −$5,792Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 62.2% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d68
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 67

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3,91543.3¢31.1¢$1,217−$479$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes1,00014.9¢98¢$980+$831$0
Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes76063.4¢93.9¢$713+$232$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1,40442.4¢37.3¢$524−$72$0
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes50069.8¢99.3¢$496+$147$0
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes50683.8¢94¢$476+$51$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,7434.2¢2.9¢$78−$38$0
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1,0006.3¢3.1¢$31−$33$0
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?Yes40026¢2.1¢$8.20−$96$0
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes1,91745.3¢0.4¢$6.71−$861$0
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes1,7979¢0.3¢$4.49−$157$0
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes532¢66¢$3.30+$1.70$0
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes519¢32.5¢$1.63+$0.68$0
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes12718.9¢1.2¢$1.52−$22$0
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes5555.3¢0.3¢$1.39−$28$0
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes6437.6¢0.2¢$0.96−$48$0
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?No3,88645.6¢0¢$0−$1,771$0
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?Yes2,6383.6¢0¢$0−$94$0
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?Yes2,29115.8¢0¢$0−$363$0
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?Yes2,20121.2¢0¢$0−$467−$7.23
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?Yes2,0005.5¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Yes1,95216.9¢0¢$0−$329$0
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?Yes1,79929.9¢0¢$0−$538$0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes1,71244¢0¢$0−$753$0
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?Yes1,50010.3¢0¢$0−$155$0
Will OL Lyonnes win on 2026-05-23?Yes1,25212¢0¢$0−$150−$3.97
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Racing Club?Yes1,1754¢0¢$0−$47$0
Laver Cup (Doubles): Cobolli/Mensik vs Minaur/FritzMinaur/Fritz1,08465.1¢0¢$0−$706−$0.89
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes1,05862.9¢0¢$0−$665$0
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes1,03335.1¢0¢$0−$362$0
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?Yes1,01011¢0¢$0−$111$0
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?Yes90056.7¢0¢$0−$511$0
Will UConn win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?Yes86866¢0¢$0−$573$0
Italy/Australia vs. SpainItaly/Australia82228.3¢0¢$0−$232−$5.82
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes8095.6¢0¢$0−$45−$1.27
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No80744¢0¢$0−$355$0
Will Spain win on 2026-09-27?Yes73828.8¢0¢$0−$213−$6.42
Will Duke advance to the Final Four?Yes64060.1¢0¢$0−$385$0
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Yes60654.1¢0¢$0−$328−$558
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02?Yes50855¢0¢$0−$279−$3.77
BC Dubai vs. BarcelonaBarcelona4557¢0¢$0−$32−$1.48
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes42417.4¢0¢$0−$74$0
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?No41736¢0¢$0−$150−$4.80
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes27525.2¢0¢$0−$69−$2.58
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?Yes26420.6¢0¢$0−$54$0
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-19?Yes20281¢0¢$0−$164−$1.55
Malta vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5Under20024¢0¢$0−$48−$1.82
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-09-12?Yes17442¢0¢$0−$73−$2.12
49ers vs. RamsRams15465¢0¢$0−$100−$1.75
Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce?Yes14213.7¢0¢$0−$19−$0.41
Basquet Girona vs. ManresaBasquet Girona13966.6¢0¢$0−$93−$0.92
Will Rafael Leao join Chelsea?Yes12013.2¢0¢$0−$16−$0.69
Will Didier Deschamps be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?Yes1117¢0¢$0−$7.86−$0.22
Mali vs. SpainSpain10089.6¢0¢$0−$90$0
La Velada del Año 6: Clersss vs Natalia MXClersss8152.7¢0¢$0−$43−$1.01
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?Yes7571¢0¢$0−$53−$0.77
Will Blinky win the GeoGuessr World Championship 2026?Yes5161.1¢0¢$0−$31−$0.61
Will La Laguna Tenerife win Liga Endesa?Yes498.7¢0¢$0−$4.27−$0.12
Will Jack Grealish join Sunderland AFC?Yes383¢0¢$0−$1.13$0
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes3013¢0¢$0−$3.86$0
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas WingsIndiana Fever2569¢0¢$0−$17−$0.16
Spain vs. PortugalSpain2581¢0¢$0−$20−$0.19
La Velada del Año 6: Viruzz vs Gero AriasViruzz2236¢0¢$0−$7.78−$0.25
Will OL Lyonnes win the 2025-26 UEFA Women's Champions League?Yes196¢0¢$0−$1.13$0
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?No1946¢0¢$0−$8.55$0
Will UCAM Murcia win Liga Endesa?Yes165¢0¢$0−$0.82−$0.02
Will Folarin Balogun stay at AS Monaco?No797¢0¢$0−$6.95−$0.01

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY UnderMalta vs. Andorra: O/U 1.559¢100$5962%37
BUY UnderMalta vs. Andorra: O/U 0.524¢200$4862%37
BUY YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?57.3¢136$7862%37
BUY YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?54¢500$27062%37
BUY YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?51.9¢800$41562%37
BUY BarcelonaBC Dubai vs. Barcelona7¢455$3262%37
BUY YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?45¢800$36062%37
BUY YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?44.8¢558$25062%37
BUY BillsChargers vs. Bills52¢100$5262%37
BUY BillsChargers vs. Bills52¢150$7862%37
BUY YesWill Spain win on 2026-09-27?29¢624$18162%37
BUY Alexander ZverevLaver Cup: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tien71¢399$28362%37
BUY Minaur/FritzLaver Cup (Doubles): Cobolli/Mensik vs Minaur/Fritz67.6¢81$5562%37
BUY NoWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?36¢417$15062%37
BUY YesWill Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?67.7¢36$2462%37
BUY YesWill Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?66.5¢37$2562%37
BUY ValenciaBesiktas vs. Valencia48¢208$10062%37
BUY ValenciaBesiktas vs. Valencia46¢10$4.6062%37
BUY Brose BambergSC RASTA Vechta vs. Brose Bamberg35¢31$1162%37
BUY Brose BambergSC RASTA Vechta vs. Brose Bamberg34.5¢56$1962%37