sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #4,610

0x000…bcf3

0x000…bcf3
Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$299kvol $21.3M
PnL 30d+$7,188gains $0 · losses $36.4k
PnL 7d+$9,874win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate20.3%adj 21.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$29.7kcash n/a
Positions43 / 447open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$237kbelow peak −$480kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 20.3% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$148kWill France win on 2026-07-09? · Yesclosed+$60.8kWill Spain win on 2026-07-14? · Yesclosed+$48.7kExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yesclosed+$46.5kWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15? · Yesclosed+$45.9k

Worst markets

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$86.0kWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$61.5kWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yesclosed−$61.3kWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$60.4kWill France win on 2026-07-14? · Yesclosed−$56.4k

Open positions · 43

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No11.6k98.7¢99¢$11.5k+$25−$43.3k
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes25.7k38.3¢26.3¢$6,746−$3,103−$207
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?No4,00594.8¢90.1¢$3,611−$185−$2,619
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes2,35156.3¢96.6¢$2,271+$947+$38
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?No1,40997.6¢94.2¢$1,327−$49−$15.5k
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yes2,24029.2¢42.5¢$952+$299−$14
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes2,75910.5¢23.8¢$657+$365−$4.14
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes38.6k1.4¢1.7¢$637+$114$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,31420.1¢19.9¢$459−$5.73−$10
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes115k3.1¢0.4¢$402−$3,207−$14.2k
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes54340.6¢48.4¢$263+$42−$1.99
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes1,32322¢16.5¢$218−$73$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes42231.1¢41.3¢$174+$43$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes48220.7¢16.5¢$79−$20−$16
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes6586.9¢98.9¢$64+$7.77$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No20721.5¢28.7¢$59+$15$0
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1,11936.7¢4.1¢$46−$365−$15.8k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes52811.9¢8.1¢$43−$20−$0.85
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes17031.2¢15.5¢$26−$27$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes17862¢13.5¢$24−$86$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes14919.9¢15.1¢$22−$7.19$0
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes17716¢12.5¢$22−$6.19$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes89513.1¢1.8¢$16−$102$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes4,3114.6¢0.3¢$11−$189+$55
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No20620.6¢4.5¢$9.15−$33+$4.02
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes946.2¢7.9¢$7.37+$1.55+$59
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes4024.3¢18.3¢$7.32−$2.42$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4826.9¢15.1¢$7.19−$5.66$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3614.4¢18¢$6.49+$1.28$0
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,5430.7¢0.2¢$5.31−$19$0
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes716¢6.5¢$4.60+$0.35$0
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes23412.1¢1.7¢$3.98−$24$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes7113¢5.5¢$3.89−$5.31$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1413¢25.5¢$3.65+$1.79$0
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes3997.6¢0.8¢$2.99−$27+$1,737
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2294.3¢1.2¢$2.63−$7.20$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?Yes5961¢0.4¢$2.09−$3.67$0
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes1,3261.3¢0.2¢$1.99−$16$0
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes14119.6¢0.9¢$1.20−$26$0
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes1583.8¢0.8¢$1.19−$4.82$0
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes9811.2¢0.5¢$0.54−$10$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes3331.8¢1.1¢$0.36−$10$0
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes992¢0.3¢$0.25−$1.73$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?2.5¢223$5.5620%25
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?34.6¢32$1120%25
SELL YesWill the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?17.6¢53$9.3720%25
BUY YesWill the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?9.5¢107$1020%25
BUY NoWill the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?92.6¢180$16620%25
BUY NoWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?8¢10$0.8020%25
BUY YesWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?7.9¢134$1120%25
SELL YesWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?90.4¢164$14820%25
BUY YesWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?31.5¢931$29320%25
BUY YesWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?5.5¢893$4920%25
SELL YesWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?63.7¢862$54920%25
SELL YesWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?63.9¢6,010$3,84020%25
SELL YesWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?64.4¢9,355$6,02520%25
SELL YesWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?64.6¢927$59920%25
SELL YesWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?64.6¢2,175$1,40520%25
BUY YesExact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?12¢382$4620%25
BUY YesWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?39.4¢184$7220%25
BUY YesExact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?15¢310$4720%25
BUY YesExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?13¢354$4620%25
BUY ArgentinaSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance41.5¢631$26220%25