sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,694

ImBruceWayne

0x009…4a1d@PM_ImBruceWayne
PnL 50k+PnL 10k+PoliticsSportCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$83.7kvol $1.58M
PnL 30d+$743gains $7,314 · losses $10.6k
PnL 7d−$4,672win rate 7d 40.9%
Win rate29.9%adj 30.8% · 30d 38.1%
Open value$44.6kcash n/a
Positions36 / 445open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.8%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 11h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$92.8kbelow peak −$13.7kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 29.9% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 36

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes13.0k72.8¢81.5¢$10.6k+$1,128+$297
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes6,30080¢81¢$5,103+$63$0
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes3,65385¢98.8¢$3,609+$504+$445
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No5,97942.7¢52.6¢$3,145+$593$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes5,00063¢62.5¢$3,125−$25−$79
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes7,55033.4¢41.1¢$3,099+$578$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes7,0609¢42.5¢$3,000+$2,365$0
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes3,14150.6¢51.5¢$1,618+$27$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes3,01146.2¢49.5¢$1,491+$100$0
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes2,40262.4¢61¢$1,465−$35−$8.97
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes5,30019¢22.5¢$1,193+$186−$59
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,49019.1¢18¢$985−$65$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes7,69213¢12.5¢$962−$38$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,72716.6¢15.1¢$862−$88$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No92654¢81.5¢$755+$255+$217
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,00051.9¢37.3¢$746−$292−$1.40
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes1,71435¢42.5¢$729+$129$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes69058¢84.5¢$583+$183+$708
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes55047.5¢48.4¢$266+$5.22$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes55454.2¢42.8¢$237−$63$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes62548¢37.5¢$234−$66$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No23082¢93.5¢$215+$26$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,06823.4¢14.9¢$159−$91$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,0429.6¢10.1¢$105+$4.69$0
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?Yes8005.8¢8.6¢$69+$23$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,62811.2¢2.4¢$63−$232−$4.27
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes10059¢62¢$62+$3.00$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes80612.4¢7.5¢$60−$40$0
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No11439¢28.5¢$32−$12$0
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Yes8607¢3.1¢$26−$34$0
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI26715¢4.2¢$11−$29$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes14.3k0.7¢0¢$0−$100−$4.96
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes4,34523¢0¢$0−$1,000−$1,015
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes4,13524.2¢0¢$0−$1,000−$137
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETUp7224¢0¢$0−$17−$0.57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETDown3422.6¢0¢$0−$7.74−$0.35

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?98.5¢1,641$1,61730%61
BUY YesWill Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?24.2¢4,135$1,00030%61
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?23¢4,345$1,00030%61
SELL YesWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?98.5¢1,765$1,73830%61
SELL YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?21.7¢6,014$1,30230%61
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?36.8¢3,147$1,15930%61
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?34.9¢2,867$1,00030%61
SELL NoGemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?0.9¢3,000$2830%61
BUY YesWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0.7¢14.3k$10030%61
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?16¢3,540$56630%61
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?17¢10.6k$1,80630%61
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?18¢10.8k$1,94930%61
SELL YesWill Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?15.4¢3,350$51530%61
SELL YesWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?4.3¢6,769$29130%61
SELL YesWill Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?8¢5,557$44530%61
BUY YesWill Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?14.9¢3,350$50030%61
BUY YesWill Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?9¢5,557$50030%61
BUY YesWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?7.4¢6,769$50030%61
BUY YesWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?80¢1,553$1,24330%61
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?50.4¢3,969$2,00030%61