PnL all-time+$11.4kvol $2.65M
PnL 30d+$1,842gains $386 · losses $55
PnL 7d−$249win rate 7d 77.8%
Win rate93.7%adj 91.7% · 30d 93.5%
Open value$62.2kcash n/a
Positions8 / 436open / all-time
Max drawdown−60.9%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 9d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$13.2kbelow peak −$6,216Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 93.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d67
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity39
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Xi Jinping out in 2025? · Noclosed+$4,378Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Noclosed+$1,467Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$1,457Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Noclosed+$1,150Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Noclosed+$946
Worst markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · Noopen−$10.2kWill edgeX launch a token in 2025? · Yesclosed−$2,341Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yesclosed−$1,697Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? · Yesclosed−$1,652Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale? · Yesclosed−$1,048
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 38.7k | 96.3¢ | 97.2¢ | $37.5k | +$343 | +$581 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 9,993 | 91.1¢ | 98¢ | $9,788 | +$689 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 7,000 | 96.2¢ | 97.9¢ | $6,850 | +$118 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5,011 | 82.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $4,535 | +$399 | +$37 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 3,302 | 83.7¢ | 93.5¢ | $3,088 | +$323 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 400 | 89.7¢ | 93¢ | $372 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 10.9k | 93.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.2k | $0 | |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 200 | 79.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$159 | $0 |
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