| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 38.7k | 66.1¢ | 70.5¢ | $27.3k | +$1,695 | +$7.67 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 23.8k | 84.9¢ | 95.8¢ | $22.8k | +$2,586 | +$201 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 21.7k | 83.9¢ | 94.5¢ | $20.5k | +$2,308 | +$145 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 16.1k | 74.6¢ | 94.5¢ | $15.2k | +$3,199 | +$1,660 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 11.3k | 80.8¢ | 84.5¢ | $9,542 | +$421 | +$2,172 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 5,889 | 80.7¢ | 96.9¢ | $5,706 | +$953 | +$10 | |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 4,866 | 81.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $4,861 | +$913 | +$30 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 2,672 | 91.6¢ | 96.5¢ | $2,579 | +$131 | +$49 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 2,580 | 82.7¢ | 96.2¢ | $2,482 | +$347 | +$26 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 2,546 | 66.9¢ | 83¢ | $2,113 | +$410 | +$17 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1,941 | 53.1¢ | 86.5¢ | $1,679 | +$648 | $0 | |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 1,653 | 72.2¢ | 96.3¢ | $1,592 | +$398 | +$81 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 2,026 | 65¢ | 72.5¢ | $1,469 | +$153 | $0 | |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 1,287 | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | $1,287 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 1,277 | 85¢ | 97¢ | $1,238 | +$153 | +$423 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1,187 | 84¢ | 96¢ | $1,139 | +$141 | +$4.00 | |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 911 | 87.2¢ | 97.2¢ | $886 | +$91 | $0 | |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | No | 715 | 67.2¢ | 95¢ | $679 | +$199 | $0 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 559 | 86.3¢ | 96¢ | $536 | +$54 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 89.3¢ | 96.7¢ | $484 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? | Yes | 310 | 92¢ | 90.5¢ | $281 | −$4.65 | $0 | |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 230 | 81¢ | 75¢ | $173 | −$14 | $0 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 180 | 80.3¢ | 93.5¢ | $168 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 600 | 66¢ | 25.5¢ | $153 | −$243 | $0 | |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 150 | 83¢ | 89.5¢ | $134 | +$9.75 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 160 | 44.1¢ | 62.5¢ | $100 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 94 | 86.3¢ | 89.1¢ | $83 | +$2.61 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 60 | 81¢ | 90.5¢ | $54 | +$5.70 | $0 | |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 40 | 94.7¢ | 98.9¢ | $40 | +$1.68 | $0 | |
| Will Trump resign before 2027? | No | 33 | 93¢ | 97.5¢ | $33 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 20 | 75¢ | 94¢ | $19 | +$3.80 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 20 | 53¢ | 36.5¢ | $7.30 | −$3.30 | $0 | |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 3 | 86¢ | 97.8¢ | $2.79 | +$0.34 | $0 | |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | No | 1 | 90¢ | 96.4¢ | $1.36 | +$0.09 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1 | 91¢ | 97.7¢ | $1.05 | +$0.07 | +$199 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 155k | 86.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$134k | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 130k | 58.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$76.8k | −$5,568 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | 47.8k | 63.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30.2k | +$8.00 | |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 45.6k | 98.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45.1k | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | No | 22.5k | 76.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17.1k | −$80 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | Yes | 11.3k | 73¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,232 | $0 | |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 8,001 | 89.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,181 | $0 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? | Yes | 7,707 | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$303 | −$0.03 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | Yes | 7,507 | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$295 | +$46 | |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | No | 6,995 | 65.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,557 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 5,802 | 83.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,866 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 5,320 | 54.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,922 | −$402 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,967 | 24.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,221 | $0 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 3,311 | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$130 | +$2,071 | |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | No | 3,046 | 83.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,555 | $0 | |
| Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5? | Yes | 2,886 | 10.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$305 | +$241 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 2,310 | 62.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,442 | −$248 | |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | Yes | 2,013 | 58.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,176 | $0 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | Yes | 1,951 | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$77 | +$2,697 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 1,917 | 66.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,267 | $0 | |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | 1,861 | 62.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,168 | +$1,994 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 1,660 | 52.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$878 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 1,460 | 70.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,026 | $0 | |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | Yes | 1,100 | 70.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$780 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | No | 1,077 | 30.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$329 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | No | 920 | 91.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$840 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | No | 846 | 72.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$612 | $0 | |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m? | No | 800 | 89.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$719 | $0 | |
| Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | No | 582 | 72¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$419 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 563 | 28.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$162 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Yes | 540 | 20.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$112 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 500 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$55 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 94.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$474 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | 480 | 55.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$265 | $0 | |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 479 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 414 | 75.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$314 | $0 | |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 360 | 85.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$307 | −$0.04 | |
| Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026? | No | 340 | 74.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$253 | $0 | |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 334 | 86.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$289 | $0 | |
| Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28? | No | 300 | 22.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$67 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 300 | 41.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$125 | $0 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 200 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$106 | $0 | |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 178 | 73.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$131 | $0 | |
| Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? | No | 162 | 54.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$88 | $0 | |
| Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | No | 158 | 89.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$141 | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026? | Yes | 113 | 41.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$47 | $0 | |
| GPT ads by March 31? | No | 111 | 80.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$90 | $0 | |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 100 | 93¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$93 | $0 | |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | Yes | 80 | 83.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$67 | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | Yes | 60 | 56.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$34 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 40 | 91.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 40 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.20 | $0 | |
| Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election? | No | 40 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.40 | $0 | |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 20 | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.32 | $0 | |
| Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28? | Yes | 19 | 19.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.69 | $0 | |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30? | No | 12 | 64¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.64 | $0 | |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | Yes | 5 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.15 | $0 | |