| Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 10.8k | 93.2¢ | 99.2¢ | $10.7k | +$644 | +$0.47 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 7,448 | 88¢ | 93.5¢ | $6,964 | +$412 | +$331 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 7,000 | 78.5¢ | 85.8¢ | $6,002 | +$509 | +$1,869 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 4,673 | 91.2¢ | 92.5¢ | $4,322 | +$60 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas? | Yes | 2,299 | 95.5¢ | 96¢ | $2,205 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul? | Yes | 2,200 | 97.9¢ | 98.6¢ | $2,169 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 2,433 | 84.1¢ | 87¢ | $2,117 | +$71 | +$17 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? | Yes | 1,868 | 96.1¢ | 98.2¢ | $1,833 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo? | Yes | 1,836 | 94.1¢ | 97.2¢ | $1,784 | +$56 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | 3,039 | 73.9¢ | 57¢ | $1,732 | −$513 | +$9.68 | |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | Yes | 3,191 | 44.8¢ | 51.7¢ | $1,651 | +$223 | +$12 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima? | Yes | 1,600 | 98.2¢ | 99.7¢ | $1,595 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? | Yes | 1,571 | 90.3¢ | 97.6¢ | $1,533 | +$114 | $0 | |
| Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026? | No | 1,396 | 96.2¢ | 97.7¢ | $1,364 | +$21 | +$8.06 | |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | No | 1,488 | 75.4¢ | 80.2¢ | $1,193 | +$70 | +$14 | |
| Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026? | No | 1,215 | 96.9¢ | 97.7¢ | $1,187 | +$9.51 | +$9.15 | |
| Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? | No | 1,209 | 97¢ | 97.1¢ | $1,174 | +$0.71 | +$72 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte? | Yes | 1,210 | 96.1¢ | 92.5¢ | $1,119 | −$44 | $0 | |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | Yes | 5,389 | 28.1¢ | 19.6¢ | $1,053 | −$462 | −$9.69 | |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%? | No | 1,056 | 90.5¢ | 97¢ | $1,024 | +$69 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 1,000 | 90.7¢ | 95¢ | $950 | +$43 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia? | Yes | 928 | 97.2¢ | 99.7¢ | $925 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will Truist fail by end of 2026? | No | 870 | 95.9¢ | 97.1¢ | $845 | +$10 | +$18 | |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | No | 1,056 | 86¢ | 78.5¢ | $829 | −$79 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? | Yes | 847 | 96.8¢ | 92.9¢ | $787 | −$33 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba? | Yes | 796 | 98.5¢ | 96.4¢ | $767 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe? | Yes | 691 | 96.2¢ | 96.2¢ | $665 | +$0.19 | $0 | |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | No | 679 | 94.6¢ | 96.1¢ | $652 | +$10 | +$21 | |
| Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? | No | 700 | 87.2¢ | 88¢ | $616 | +$5.30 | $0 | |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 700 | 77.4¢ | 81.5¢ | $571 | +$29 | +$58 | |
| Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? | No | 574 | 96.5¢ | 97.7¢ | $561 | +$6.64 | +$43 | |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 800 | 66.3¢ | 66.5¢ | $532 | +$1.96 | −$18 | |
| Will Santander fail by end of 2026? | No | 543 | 96.5¢ | 97.6¢ | $530 | +$6.16 | +$19 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão? | Yes | 548 | 98.5¢ | 94.8¢ | $520 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will BMO fail by end of 2026? | No | 526 | 97.6¢ | 98.2¢ | $517 | +$2.65 | +$4.01 | |
| Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026? | No | 527 | 97.1¢ | 97.6¢ | $515 | +$2.83 | +$20 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? | No | 520 | 96.7¢ | 97.6¢ | $507 | +$4.26 | +$0.50 | |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027? | No | 500 | 89.3¢ | 90.5¢ | $453 | +$6.12 | −$8.29 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí? | Yes | 440 | 98.8¢ | 97.7¢ | $430 | −$4.95 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | Yes | 438 | 86¢ | 90.5¢ | $397 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | No | 395 | 95.1¢ | 98.5¢ | $389 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia? | Yes | 390 | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | $386 | +$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? | Yes | 754 | 31.3¢ | 48.6¢ | $366 | +$130 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso? | Yes | 300 | 98.6¢ | 98.2¢ | $294 | −$1.26 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Acre? | Yes | 300 | 99¢ | 97.8¢ | $293 | −$3.75 | $0 | |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? | No | 286 | 96¢ | 98.3¢ | $281 | +$6.44 | $0 | |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 500 | 53.5¢ | 55¢ | $275 | +$7.68 | +$38 | |
| Will Trump endorse Romeu Zema for President of Brazil? | No | 240 | 99¢ | 99.4¢ | $239 | +$0.87 | $0 | |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | No | 215 | 92.7¢ | 99.7¢ | $214 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 216 | 90.5¢ | 95.2¢ | $205 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | Yes | 379 | 54.4¢ | 51¢ | $194 | −$13 | +$42 | |
| Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026? | No | 200 | 95.5¢ | 96.1¢ | $192 | +$1.20 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Ceará? | Yes | 186 | 97¢ | 97.1¢ | $181 | +$0.09 | $0 | |
| Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026? | No | 184 | 98¢ | 97¢ | $179 | −$1.89 | +$0.69 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? | No | 184 | 87¢ | 94¢ | $173 | +$13 | −$0.06 | |
| Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026? | No | 170 | 98.3¢ | 97.7¢ | $166 | −$0.98 | +$16 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco? | Yes | 170 | 97.7¢ | 97¢ | $165 | −$1.20 | $0 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.? | No | 179 | 91.8¢ | 92¢ | $165 | +$0.41 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás? | Yes | 162 | 98¢ | 99.7¢ | $161 | +$2.75 | $0 | |
| Will Trump endorse Ronaldo Caiado for President of Brazil? | No | 152 | 99¢ | 99.5¢ | $151 | +$0.71 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | No | 155 | 60¢ | 79¢ | $123 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Trump endorse Augusto Cury for President of Brazil? | No | 120 | 98.9¢ | 99.3¢ | $119 | +$0.45 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? | No | 120 | 96.2¢ | 96.9¢ | $116 | +$0.87 | $0 | |
| Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A? | Yes | 347 | 47.7¢ | 33.5¢ | $116 | −$49 | +$0.74 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? | No | 128 | 88¢ | 89.5¢ | $114 | +$1.92 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | No | 105 | 95¢ | 97.2¢ | $102 | +$2.32 | +$18 | |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? | No | 101 | 97.1¢ | 97.4¢ | $98 | +$0.25 | +$0.02 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? | No | 100 | 88.8¢ | 92¢ | $92 | +$3.20 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | Yes | 99 | 96¢ | 92.4¢ | $91 | −$3.56 | +$0.01 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? | No | 96 | 93.2¢ | 93.7¢ | $90 | +$0.49 | $0 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.? | No | 98 | 85¢ | 91¢ | $89 | +$5.88 | $0 | |
| Will BNY fail by end of 2026? | No | 89 | 96.9¢ | 97.4¢ | $86 | +$0.45 | +$17 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in SpaceX? | No | 89 | 91¢ | 95¢ | $85 | +$3.56 | $0 | |
| Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026? | No | 79 | 96.6¢ | 98.1¢ | $78 | +$1.16 | +$1.74 | |
| Will Trump endorse Lula da Silva for President of Brazil? | No | 50 | 98¢ | 99.7¢ | $50 | +$0.82 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul? | Yes | 50 | 98¢ | 99.2¢ | $50 | +$0.60 | $0 | |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | No | 100 | 51¢ | 49¢ | $49 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná? | Yes | 49 | 98¢ | 99.7¢ | $49 | +$0.83 | $0 | |
| Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 697 | 7.3¢ | 6.5¢ | $45 | −$5.31 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina? | Yes | 27 | 98¢ | 99.1¢ | $26 | +$0.28 | $0 | |
| Will RBC fail by end of 2026? | No | 26 | 97.6¢ | 97.5¢ | $26 | −$0.03 | +$1.20 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC? | No | 25 | 85¢ | 89.5¢ | $22 | +$1.11 | $0 | |
| Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2028? | No | 25 | 80¢ | 83¢ | $20 | +$0.73 | $0 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | No | 21 | 95.5¢ | 96.2¢ | $20 | +$0.13 | −$0.21 | |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 9,277 | 81.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $19 | −$7,561 | −$999 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? | No | 16 | 85¢ | 87¢ | $14 | +$0.31 | $0 | |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? | Yes | 729 | 25.5¢ | 1.8¢ | $13 | −$173 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? | No | 5 | 96¢ | 98.4¢ | $4.93 | +$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company? | No | 3 | 89¢ | 93.7¢ | $2.96 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation? | No | 2 | 88¢ | 89.5¢ | $1.99 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026? | Yes | 32 | 0.3¢ | 2.2¢ | $0.69 | +$0.59 | +$0.42 | |
| Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? | Yes | 93 | 0.2¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.56 | +$0.37 | $0 | |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 250k | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,962 | −$248 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20.0k | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$156 | −$37 | |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4,426 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$42 | −$0.95 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 4,239 | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$274 | −$683 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1,234 | 37.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$462 | −$9.80 | |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in August? | Yes | 498 | 12.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$63 | −$2.25 | |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August? | Yes | 300 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45 | −$0.06 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$53 | $0 | |