sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,648

F00Fi

0x12c…928f
SharpWR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,699vol $170k
PnL 30d+$1,178gains $1,331 · losses $448
PnL 7d+$130win rate 7d 60.0%
Win rate74.9%adj 73.1% · 30d 83.0%
Open value$13.0kcash n/a
Positions34 / 290open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.4%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 22h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$4,331below peak −$38Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

76/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 74.9% · shrunk toward 50%83
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Noopen+$1,071Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$423Spain to win the second half? · Yesclosed+$243Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yesclosed+$207Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · Yesclosed+$189

Worst markets

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yesclosed−$313Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$282Trump renames AI by September 30? · Noclosed−$253Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$214France vs. England: O/U 4.5 · Underclosed−$152

Open positions · 34

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No6,20082.6¢82.5¢$5,115−$5.42+$65
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No2,95077.2¢86.5¢$2,552+$275+$796
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No63487¢93.5¢$593+$41+$20
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No69573.2¢75.5¢$524+$16+$38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes85164.3¢54¢$459−$88+$13
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No51187.8¢85.5¢$437−$12+$199
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No48081.2¢87.5¢$420+$30+$83
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes50078.6¢83.5¢$417+$24+$3.50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No39077.4¢86.5¢$337+$35+$3.02
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?No27086.4¢94.5¢$255+$22$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No30081.4¢82.5¢$248+$3.15+$53
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?No22080¢94¢$207+$31+$12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No20087.6¢89¢$178+$2.71+$97
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes20079.2¢86.2¢$172+$14$0
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No22977¢75¢$172−$4.68+$2.67
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes15183.6¢85.5¢$129+$2.79$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?No15069¢68¢$102−$1.50$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes12082.2¢80.5¢$97−$2.10$0
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No11667.4¢78.5¢$91+$13$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No10078.2¢87.5¢$88+$9.30+$3.15
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No33614.4¢22.5¢$76+$27+$13
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes10081.9¢71.5¢$71−$10$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No10629.5¢47¢$50+$19+$25
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?Yes11540.7¢42.5¢$49+$2.03$0
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?No6071.7¢77.5¢$47+$3.50$0
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?No5076.8¢77.6¢$39+$0.42$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No4090.5¢84.5¢$34−$2.40$0
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes5051¢55¢$28+$2.00$0
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?No3090¢87¢$26−$0.90+$14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes3057¢42.5¢$13−$4.35+$20
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No2068.9¢56.9¢$11−$2.41$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No589¢96.3¢$4.44+$0.33$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2060¢13.5¢$2.70−$9.30$0
Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026?No386¢91¢$2.37+$0.13$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?83¢100$8375%76Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?57¢16$9.1275%76Sharp
BUY NoPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?77¢20$1575%76Sharp
SELL NoWill Trump say "Ammunition" this week?68.6¢192$13275%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump say "Ammunition" this week?71.1¢23$1675%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump say "Ammunition" this week?72¢150$10875%76Sharp
SELL NoWill no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?42¢70$2975%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.8¢100$8575%76Sharp
BUY NoWill a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?84¢20$1775%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢50$4375%76Sharp
BUY NoWill a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?90¢30$2775%76Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?60¢20$1275%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?91¢20$1875%76Sharp
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?77¢20$1575%76Sharp
SELL NoUS strike on Cuba by December 31?90¢100$9075%76Sharp
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?83¢50$4275%76Sharp
BUY NoIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?85¢10$8.5075%76Sharp
BUY NoIsraeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?82¢79$6575%76Sharp
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?83¢100$8375%76Sharp
BUY NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)75¢36$2775%76Sharp