sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

alijbee

0x187…594f
WR 60+CryptoOtherSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,354vol $97.4k
PnL 30d−$353gains $1,127 · losses $1,033
PnL 7d−$464win rate 7d 80.0%
Win rate63.4%adj 62.1% · 30d 63.8%
Open value$14.3kcash n/a
Positions247 / 434open / all-time
Max drawdown−63.2%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,741below peak −$2,734Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 63.4% · shrunk toward 50%55
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity37

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No1,80074.2¢76.5¢$1,377+$41$0
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?No1,06194.1¢82.1¢$870−$128$0
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No2,41622¢23¢$556+$24$0
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No48588.4¢95.2¢$462+$33$0
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?No38985.4¢89.6¢$348+$16$0
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?No34690.3¢97.7¢$338+$26$0
Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?No37386.9¢85¢$317−$7.06$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No30594¢96.5¢$294+$7.63$0
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes42763¢66.5¢$284+$15$0
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?No27787.9¢96.7¢$268+$24$0
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No26576¢91¢$241+$40$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No24993¢95.8¢$239+$6.74$0
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?No23638.2¢96.8¢$228+$138$0
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No25860.9¢88.5¢$228+$71$0
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?No24087.7¢94.7¢$227+$17$0
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes22392¢99.3¢$221+$16$0
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?No22190.6¢97¢$214+$14$0
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?No50332.2¢37¢$186+$24$0
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes27679.3¢63¢$174−$45$0
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No18489.9¢92¢$169+$3.93$0
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No15990.1¢95.7¢$152+$8.74$0
Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?Yes26868¢56¢$150−$32$0
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes22160¢62¢$137+$4.42$0
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No91415.9¢14.5¢$133−$13$0
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?No44033.5¢29.5¢$130−$17$0
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?No13591.5¢93.7¢$126+$2.90$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes12785.8¢98.4¢$125+$16$0
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No2,05624.4¢6¢$123−$379$0
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No12971.1¢94.1¢$122+$30$0
US recession by end of 2026?No12686¢93.5¢$118+$9.46$0
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?No12687.9¢93.6¢$118+$7.08$0
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No12590¢92.3¢$116+$2.82$0
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?No12988¢88.5¢$114+$0.65$0
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?No12192.7¢92.4¢$112−$0.38$0
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No12978.6¢84.9¢$110+$8.11$0
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No1,00710¢10.5¢$106+$5.03$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes12153.9¢86.7¢$105+$40$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No11578.7¢90.5¢$104+$14$0
Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch?No11289¢92.5¢$103+$3.91$0
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No13568.9¢72.5¢$98+$4.88$0
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?No9990¢95.4¢$94+$5.35$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?Yes16253¢57.5¢$93+$7.36$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes13362.7¢69.8¢$93+$9.38$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?Yes11970¢77.5¢$93+$8.95−$0.07
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?No10086.5¢90.4¢$90+$3.90$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes12359.9¢71.7¢$88+$14$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?No12360¢70.5¢$87+$13$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes13041.1¢66.3¢$86+$33$0
Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch?No10777.1¢79¢$85+$2.06$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No11050¢76.5¢$84+$29$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?No13029¢64.5¢$84+$46$0
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes14258.8¢58.5¢$83−$0.50$0
Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes53519.1¢15¢$80−$22$0
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?No9682.2¢83.5¢$80+$1.26$0
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No9084¢88.5¢$80+$4.05$0
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes28840.1¢27.5¢$79−$36$0
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes13462¢58.5¢$79−$4.70$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?No13052.5¢60¢$78+$9.70$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No14255¢53.5¢$76−$2.17$0
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No8786.2¢86.7¢$75+$0.47$0
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?No9750¢74.5¢$72+$24$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?No10053¢71.6¢$72+$19$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes9177¢78.9¢$71+$1.68+$0.50
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?No10067¢69.5¢$70+$2.50$0
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?No7959¢86.5¢$68+$22$0
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No7583¢88.5¢$66+$4.13$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?Yes17043.3¢38.5¢$65−$8.15$0
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?No12549.1¢52.3¢$65+$3.95$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?No8036¢78.5¢$62+$34$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes36139.5¢16.5¢$60−$83$0
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No33639.6¢17.5¢$59−$74$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No10035¢58.5¢$59+$24$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No10068¢58.5¢$59−$9.50$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?No9419¢61.5¢$58+$40$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes13542¢41.5¢$56−$0.67$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?No13054¢42.5¢$55−$15$0
Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch?Yes26220¢21¢$55+$2.62$0
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes10043¢54.5¢$55+$12$0
Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?No12133.3¢44¢$53+$13$0
Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?No5552¢93¢$51+$22$0
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes4359¢11.5¢$50+$11$0
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?No10955.8¢45.5¢$49−$11$0
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?No6278¢79.5¢$49+$0.93$0
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No5085¢93.5¢$47+$4.25$0
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?No1009¢46.5¢$47+$38$0
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?No6081¢77¢$46−$2.40$0
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?No5060¢91¢$46+$16$0
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?No4586¢98.4¢$45+$5.62$0
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?No8127¢53¢$43+$21$0
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?No4884¢89.5¢$43+$2.61$0
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?No4480.4¢97.2¢$42+$7.34$0
Databricks IPO before 2027?No4088¢97.9¢$39+$3.94$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?Yes11065¢35.5¢$39−$32$0
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No6758.2¢56¢$38−$1.49$0
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?No5418.7¢68.5¢$37+$27$0
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No3890.8¢95.3¢$36+$1.71$0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in October?Yes6562¢55.5¢$36−$4.21$0
Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?Yes16130¢21.5¢$35−$14$0
APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch?No9528.6¢36¢$34+$6.99$0
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?No3682.8¢93.5¢$34+$3.91$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesFelix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?16¢11$1.7763%58
BUY YesWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?77¢91$7063%58
BUY NoVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?10¢108$1163%58
BUY NoVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?10¢131$1363%58
BUY NoVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?10¢130$1363%58
BUY NoVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?10¢130$1363%58
BUY NoVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?10¢130$1363%58
BUY NoVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?10¢130$1363%58
BUY NoVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?10¢115$1263%58
BUY NoVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?10¢131$1363%58
BUY YesWill Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?4.8¢136$6.5463%58
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?62¢85$5363%58
BUY NoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?51.8¢142$7363%58
BUY NoWill GitLab be acquired before 2027?85.7¢4$3.4463%58
BUY NoWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?10¢81$8.1063%58
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?12¢100$1263%58
BUY YesVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?62¢134$8363%58
BUY YesWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?27.6¢120$3363%58
BUY NoWill Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?7¢95$6.6663%58
BUY NoVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?22¢584$12863%58