sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,949

iHaveBeenPwned

0x18a…b904
<14d old<30d oldOtherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,374vol $106k
PnL 30d+$1,893gains $2,213 · losses $172
PnL 7d+$1,936win rate 7d 80.0%
Win rate83.3%adj 57.7% · 30d 83.3%
Open value$58.2kcash n/a
Positions73 / 79open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age9dlast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

34/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 83.3% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 73

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Yes6,38056.3¢99.9¢$6,373+$2,782$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No6,27384.5¢80.5¢$5,049−$248$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes4,90074.8¢77.5¢$3,798+$130$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No3,45695.3¢97¢$3,353+$59$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No3,39593¢97.6¢$3,312+$154$0
No one announced as next James Bond?No2,96974.8¢82.2¢$2,439+$218$0
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes2,12083¢84¢$1,781+$21$0
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes1,38198.7¢97.2¢$1,342−$21$0
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?No1,39391¢93¢$1,296+$28$0
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $60 in 2026?No1,17797¢96¢$1,130−$12$0
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?No1,36877¢82.5¢$1,129+$75$0
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?No1,10798.2¢98.3¢$1,088+$1.11$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?No1,33873¢76.5¢$1,024+$47$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No1,05694¢93.5¢$987−$5.28$0
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes1,16784¢83.5¢$974−$5.83$0
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $55 in 2026?No1,00090¢96.1¢$961+$61$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes1,19179¢80.5¢$959+$18$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes2,01837¢46¢$928+$182$0
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Yes4,63114¢20¢$926+$278$0
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?No88188¢100¢$880+$105$0
Will Trump and Putin not meet?No1,02784¢84.5¢$868+$5.14$0
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $50 in 2026?No88598.1¢97.1¢$859−$9.29$0
Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $20 in 2026?No86199.1¢96.4¢$829−$24$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No83298.4¢98.8¢$821+$2.91$0
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Yes2,01049¢38.5¢$774−$211$0
Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31?No90990.1¢80¢$727−$92$0
Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or above $15 in 2026?No59198.9¢96.6¢$571−$14$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?No1,22922.3¢45.5¢$559+$285+$429
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?No59694¢93.5¢$557−$2.98$0
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?No56093.9¢93.1¢$521−$4.48$0
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $30 by June 30, 2027?No53498¢95.7¢$511−$13$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No53792¢94.8¢$509+$15$0
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026?No86489¢57¢$493−$276$0
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?No56092¢88¢$492−$22$0
Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes6,19510.8¢7.5¢$462−$208$0
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?No45799.4¢99.9¢$456+$2.28−$36
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Yes1,60630¢27.5¢$442−$40$0
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes68664¢63¢$432−$6.86$0
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?No49088¢82¢$402−$29$0
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes1,40823¢28.5¢$401+$77$0
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Yes49281¢80.5¢$396−$2.46$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?Yes58160¢68¢$395+$46$0
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $75 in 2026?No42095¢90¢$378−$21$0
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?No53382.8¢69¢$367−$74$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Yes1,31232¢26.5¢$348−$72$0
Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?No34590¢98.5¢$340+$29$0
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No35990.6¢87.6¢$314−$11$0
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $30 in 2026?No43085¢69¢$297−$69$0
Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or above $20 in 2026?No30198.9¢94.6¢$284−$13$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?No50028¢56¢$280+$140$0
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes2,09614.6¢13.3¢$279−$27$0
Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $15 in 2026?No36060¢72.5¢$261+$45$0
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?No29048.1¢86.5¢$251+$111$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?No56246¢42¢$236−$22$0
Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?Yes41050¢55¢$225+$20$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No22298.2¢99.8¢$221+$3.44$0
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?No20096.7¢99.4¢$199+$5.40$0
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $70 in 2026?No22098.9¢87.1¢$192−$26$0
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes75026.3¢24.9¢$187−$11$0
Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany?No20084.3¢92.9¢$186+$17$0
GTA VI released by November 30?Yes19297.4¢96.4¢$185−$2.02$0
Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $25 in 2026?No23780¢76¢$180−$9.48$0
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Yes28770¢54.5¢$156−$44$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?Yes39751¢34.5¢$137−$66$0
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?No12290¢90¢$110$0$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes63616¢17¢$108+$5.93$0
Critical Discord Incident by October 31?No10046¢96.8¢$97+$51$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes47620¢14.5¢$69−$26$0
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes8807.9¢5.2¢$46−$24$0
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes1,7275¢2.3¢$40−$47$0
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?No3772¢89.5¢$33+$6.40$0
Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $8 in 2026?Yes8533¢27.5¢$23−$4.67$0
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Yes5,15964.9¢0.1¢$5.16−$3,343−$60

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?41.4¢955$39583%34
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?37.4¢1,271$47583%34
BUY NoWill CNN fly with Trump by October 31?91¢84$7683%34
BUY YesChristine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?96¢116$11183%34
BUY YesChristine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?91¢200$18283%34
BUY YesPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?60¢505$30383%34
BUY NoPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?46¢562$25883%34
SELL NoWill Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?33¢529$17583%34
SELL NoWill Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?34¢25$8.5083%34
BUY YesWill the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?94¢333$31383%34
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?51¢397$20383%34
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?65.1¢1,101$71783%34
BUY NoWill Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?82.8¢533$44183%34
BUY YesWill the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?60.3¢1,235$74583%34
SELL NoWill Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?21¢966$20383%34
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?19¢3,691$70183%34
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?84.8¢1,063$90283%34
BUY YesWill the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?76¢147$11283%34
BUY YesWill the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?72.2¢315$22783%34
BUY NoWill the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?98.1¢100$9883%34