sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Gl4d

0x1e3…9e14
PnL 10k+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$25.4kvol $14.0M
PnL 30d−$11gains $55.0k · losses $56.2k
PnL 7d−$4,980win rate 7d 95.4%
Win rate51.1%adj 51.1% · 30d 51.1%
Open value$41.2kcash n/a
Positions497 / 2,482open / all-time
Max drawdown−36.4%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$26.4kbelow peak −$9,005Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 51.1% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity64

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No5,20079.4¢82.5¢$4,290+$162+$995
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No4,08896.8¢97.9¢$4,000+$45+$136
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo2,00091.6¢91.5¢$1,830−$2.00$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No1,70078.2¢93.5¢$1,589+$260+$172
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No1,64979.8¢90.5¢$1,493+$176+$237
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,70038.9¢86.1¢$1,463+$802+$79
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No1,38570.2¢85.5¢$1,184+$212$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No1,30087¢89¢$1,157+$26$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,60035¢65.6¢$1,049+$489+$328
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes2,20078.4¢44.6¢$980−$746−$85
Trump out as President before 2027?No1,00093¢96.4¢$964+$34+$30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1,17769¢68.5¢$806−$5.65$0
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1,00077.5¢80.5¢$805+$30$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No80083¢95.8¢$766+$102$0
Ravens vs. FalconsRavens75547¢100¢$755+$400$0
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No2,00051.4¢37.5¢$750−$278$0
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No76094.1¢96.9¢$736+$22$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No8000¢88.5¢$708+$708$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No70097.1¢98¢$686+$5.95$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No80073¢81.5¢$652+$68$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes64287¢98.3¢$631+$72−$38
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?Yes70086.7¢88.5¢$620+$13$0
Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?Yes1,17353.8¢49.5¢$580−$50$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes60086¢90.5¢$543+$27$0
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes60086¢86.5¢$519+$3.00$0
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?No50095.3¢98.7¢$493+$17$0
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?No50092.6¢97.7¢$489+$26+$22
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Yes1,18862.8¢39.5¢$469−$277$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No50081¢85.5¢$427+$22$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes2,9008.9¢14.5¢$421+$163+$16
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No45586¢89.5¢$407+$16$0
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes2,00020.4¢19.5¢$390−$18$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes80037.6¢48.4¢$388+$87$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes75951¢50.5¢$383−$3.97$0
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes5,68811.3¢6.2¢$353−$291+$67
Panthers vs. SabresPanthers71050¢49.5¢$351−$3.55$0
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsG2 Esports78839¢38.5¢$303−$3.94$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,26544.7¢23.5¢$297−$268$0
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes34576¢85.5¢$295+$33$0
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes2,00013¢14.5¢$290+$30$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k0.8¢1¢$285+$45$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No37066¢73.5¢$272+$28$0
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes26272.3¢99.2¢$260+$70+$22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes40062¢63.5¢$254+$6.00$0
Will Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Yes33873¢73.5¢$248+$1.69$0
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsJD Gaming75532¢32.5¢$245+$3.77$0
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes3,5007¢6.5¢$228−$18$0
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes50023.2¢43.5¢$217+$101+$89
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?No35063¢60.5¢$212−$8.75$0
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Casper RuudLearner Tien34459¢58.5¢$201−$1.72$0
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?Yes44541¢44¢$196+$13$0
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes1,71518.8¢11¢$189−$134$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes1,26524.6¢14.5¢$183−$128$0
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Misa Esports (BO5) - Monsters Reloaded Closed Qualifier PlayoffsMisa Esports87717¢20.5¢$180+$31$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes25565.3¢69.2¢$176+$9.77$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes1,50020.3¢11.5¢$172−$131$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No60040.1¢28.4¢$170−$70$0
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes17865¢95¢$169+$53$0
Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?Yes20096¢79.1¢$158−$34$0
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?No15790¢96.9¢$152+$11$0
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Yes18078¢80¢$144+$3.60$0
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No16151.1¢89¢$143+$61+$60
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes20036¢67.5¢$135+$63+$50
Will Werder Bremen be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?Yes90014.6¢14¢$126−$5.00$0
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsTeam Vitality95512¢12.5¢$119+$4.78$0
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes50025¢21.5¢$108−$18$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes50018.3¢19.7¢$98+$6.75$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Yes1,5005¢6.5¢$97+$22+$20
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes2,7500.6¢3.1¢$84+$68+$20
Will FIFA Sell Equity in the World Cup in 2026?No8596.1¢98.9¢$84+$2.37$0
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,1116.1¢7.2¢$79+$12$0
Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?Yes8072¢95.4¢$76+$19$0
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No7549.7¢82.6¢$62+$25−$15
Will Porto win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes10,0000.4¢0.6¢$60+$20$0
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes4,0007¢1.1¢$44−$236$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes30066¢11¢$33−$165−$70
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes44410¢6.5¢$29−$16$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes80013¢3.6¢$29−$75$0
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes50012¢5¢$25−$35$0
Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Yes44442¢5¢$22−$164$0
UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)Chad Anheliger4052¢52.5¢$21+$0.20$0
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes4,0001.8¢0.4¢$14−$59$0
Will Serhou Guirassy (Dortmund) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Yes1788.3¢6¢$11−$4.12$0
Exact Score: Torino FC 3 - 3 Udinese Calcio?Yes1,0090.9¢1¢$9.59+$0.50$0
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes7646.5¢1¢$7.26−$42+$44
Set Handicap: Janice Tjen (-1.5) vs Aoi Ito (+1.5)Aoi Ito1048¢48.5¢$4.97+$0.05$0
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes1,8550.7¢0.3¢$4.64−$8.35−$34
Exact Score: Pumas de la UNAM 0 - 4 CF Cruz Azul?Yes1,2221.4¢0.1¢$0.61−$16$0
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes6005.3¢0.1¢$0.60−$31−$10
Will Braga win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?Yes911.1¢0.6¢$0.54−$0.45+$0.28
Will Famalicão win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?Yes3240.6¢0.1¢$0.16−$1.78$0
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes692k0.2¢0¢$0−$1,055−$141
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes169k0.5¢0¢$0−$846+$1,131
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes40.0k2.2¢0¢$0−$887+$315
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes10.0k0.4¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Cody Gakpo stay at Liverpool?No9,6670.3¢0¢$0−$33−$1.23
Will Cody Gakpo join Manchester City?Yes7,1501.2¢0¢$0−$86$0
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Spain?Yes3,9993.9¢0¢$0−$156−$3.55
Exact Score: Malta 0 - 2 Andorra?Yes3,5551.7¢0¢$0−$60$0
Exact Score: Sumsel United 1 - 2 Persiku Kudus?Yes3,2771.5¢0¢$0−$49$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY Stony BrookStony Brook vs. Towson61.7¢445$27551%60
BUY 1winDota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner10¢245$2451%60
BUY Turma do PagodeMap Handicap: TdP (-1.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+1.5)64¢72$4651%60
BUY UnderBotafogo FR vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Botafogo FR O/U 3.5 Corners29¢0$0.0151%60
BUY YesWill Argentina win on 2026-10-06?96.8¢195$18951%60
BUY YesWill Argentina win on 2026-10-06?96.8¢5$4.8451%60
BUY YesWill Argentina win on 2026-10-06?97.2¢92$9051%60
BUY NoWill Uruguay win on 2026-10-06?4¢5$0.2051%60
BUY ButterflyCounter-Strike: Butterfly vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Group Stage66¢100$6651%60
BUY Natus VincereCounter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage46¢48$2251%60
BUY YesExact Score: CA Platense 2 - 0 Estudiantes de La Plata?3¢5$0.1551%60
BUY Team SpiritDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B87¢60$5351%60
BUY YesExact Score: Georgia 0 - 2 Ukraine?6¢10$0.6051%60
BUY GamerLegionCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs53¢8$4.4451%60
BUY YesExact Score: England 2 - 0 Spain?3.9¢1,896$7451%60
BUY Turma do PagodeCounter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs48¢156$7551%60
BUY 6666Map Handicap: 6666 (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)35¢139$4851%60
BUY YesWill SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?45.3¢192$8751%60
BUY YesExact Score: Bogota FC 0 - 2 Barranquilla FC?2.9¢42$1.2251%60
BUY YesWill SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?99.7¢11$1151%60