sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,757

rebotsliaf

0x206…8ec9
WhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$68.6kvol $23.3M
PnL 30d+$14.7kgains $72.6k · losses $7,522
PnL 7d+$7,871win rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate28.4%adj 29.2% · 30d 77.8%
Open value$185kcash n/a
Positions224 / 724open / all-time
Max drawdown−71.8%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$114kbelow peak −$109kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale69
Adjusted win rateraw 28.4% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable95
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity28

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes34.3k45.4¢62.5¢$21.4k+$5,866+$3,567
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No24.3k75.5¢83.5¢$20.3k+$1,936−$6,587
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No47.3k46.2¢42.2¢$19.9k−$1,912$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No22.2k32¢84.5¢$18.8k+$11.7k$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No25.8k65.5¢63.5¢$16.4k−$528$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes30.6k35.2¢52.3¢$16.0k+$5,251$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes10.8k43.8¢84.5¢$9,094+$4,381+$4,036
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes34.3k7.8¢18¢$6,148+$3,482$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No8,20356.3¢70.5¢$5,783+$1,164−$119
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes31.1k18.3¢18.5¢$5,755+$56$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes15.4k12.5¢29.6¢$4,536+$2,614$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo10.1k39.6¢37.5¢$3,772−$212+$410
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No18.9k16.9¢14.4¢$2,710−$490+$42
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes12.8k13.1¢17.8¢$2,282+$609−$97
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes5,5551.2¢39.8¢$2,211+$2,141+$2,708
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4,44450.2¢43.7¢$1,942−$289$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No2,39377.7¢80.2¢$1,918+$58−$833
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No3,33359¢57.5¢$1,916−$50$0
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,95058.4¢64.5¢$1,903+$181+$985
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes3,90354¢42.5¢$1,659−$447$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes18.9k2.8¢7.4¢$1,388+$868$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8,88815.3¢15.1¢$1,342−$18$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢8.1¢$1,163+$1,069$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes11.1k0.7¢10.2¢$1,128+$1,055+$358
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes8,28741.2¢13.5¢$1,119−$2,294+$347
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?No6,66627.5¢16¢$1,067−$767$0
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No10.9k21.8¢9.5¢$1,034−$1,341+$1.67
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes35.7k2.5¢2.8¢$980+$83$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,22254¢35.5¢$789−$411$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No1,11156¢70.5¢$783+$161$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢4.6¢$664+$570$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes3,33310¢19.5¢$650+$317$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes4,4940.6¢13.2¢$591+$563+$850
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?No10.2k6.7¢5.5¢$564−$123$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢3.1¢$441+$347$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No51489.6¢85¢$437−$24$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes3,33310¢12.8¢$427+$93$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢2.8¢$397+$303$0
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes2,22217.1¢15.6¢$347−$33$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢2.3¢$332+$238$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢2¢$289+$195$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes3,33310¢7.7¢$255−$78$0
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢1.8¢$253+$159$0
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢1.8¢$253+$159$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes11.1k1.2¢2.3¢$250+$111$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢1.7¢$238+$144$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No2,2955¢9.5¢$218+$103$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes2,7356¢7.5¢$204+$40+$80
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢1.4¢$195+$101$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢1.3¢$181+$87$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢1¢$137+$43$0
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢1¢$137+$43$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.9¢$130+$36$0
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes11.1k1.2¢1.1¢$117−$22$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes2347.2¢44.4¢$104+$87+$718
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.7¢$94−$0.15$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes3,33310¢2.6¢$87−$247$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes3,33310¢2.6¢$87−$247$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.5¢$79−$15$0
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.5¢$79−$15$0
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes3,33310¢2.3¢$75−$258$0
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.5¢$72−$22$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.5¢$72−$22$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes3,1555.9¢2.3¢$71−$114$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes3,33310¢2.1¢$68−$265$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes3,33310¢2.1¢$68−$265$0
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.5¢$65−$29$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.5¢$65−$29$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.4¢$51−$43$0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes11.1k1.2¢0.5¢$50−$89$0
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes11.1k1.2¢0.5¢$50−$89$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No5077¢80.5¢$40+$1.75$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes11.1k1.2¢0.4¢$39−$100$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes9072.4¢2.9¢$26+$4.08$0
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.2¢$22−$72$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.2¢$22−$72$0
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.2¢$22−$72$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.2¢$22−$72$0
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.2¢$22−$72$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.2¢$22−$72$0
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes1,4061¢1.4¢$19+$4.32$0
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes11.1k1.2¢0.2¢$17−$122$0
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes11.1k1.2¢0.2¢$17−$122$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes3,1555.9¢0.4¢$11−$174$0
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.1¢$7.22−$87$0
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.1¢$7.22−$87$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.1¢$7.22−$87$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.1¢$7.22−$87$0
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.1¢$7.22−$87$0
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.1¢$7.22−$87$0
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.1¢$7.22−$87$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.1¢$7.22−$87$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.1¢$7.22−$87$0
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.1¢$7.22−$87$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.1¢$7.22−$87$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.1¢$7.22−$87$0
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.1¢$7.22−$87$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.1¢$7.22−$87$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.1¢$7.22−$87$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14.4k0.7¢0.1¢$7.22−$87$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?27.2¢240$6528%49
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?27¢427$11528%49
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?1¢1,406$1528%49
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?27¢196$5328%49
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?18¢1,663$29928%49
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?73.1¢258$18828%49
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?71.6¢92$6628%49
BUY RaidersChiefs vs. Raiders26¢2,829$73628%49
BUY RaidersChiefs vs. Raiders37¢5,555$2,05528%49
BUY PatriotsPatriots vs. Bills40¢4,444$1,77828%49
BUY RamsRams vs. Eagles14¢5,555$77828%49
BUY PatriotsPatriots vs. Bills27¢11.1k$3,00028%49
BUY Penn StatePenn State vs. Northwestern35¢6,666$2,33328%49
BUY IslandersIslanders vs. Maple Leafs42¢2,736$1,14928%49
BUY IslandersIslanders vs. Maple Leafs46¢5,555$2,55528%49
BUY BlackhawksBlackhawks vs. Golden Knights30¢3,333$1,00028%49
BUY RavensRavens vs. Cowboys60¢1,906$1,14328%49
BUY RavensRavens vs. Cowboys63¢3,333$2,10028%49
BUY RavensRavens vs. Cowboys63¢3,333$2,10028%49
SELL RavensRavens vs. Cowboys74¢5,555$4,11128%49