sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,696

Zzzz87

0x211…5c26
WhaleSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1.26Mvol $75.4M
PnL 30d+$311kgains $482k · losses $408k
PnL 7d+$4,235win rate 7d 42.4%
Win rate52.4%adj 52.3% · 30d 52.4%
Open value$116kcash n/a
Positions124 / 7,692open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 7m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$798kbelow peak −$1.09MOct 9

SharpScore inputs

29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 52.4% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?Yes37.9k60.4¢49.5¢$18.7k−$4,120−$16
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yes38.5k33.6¢42.5¢$16.4k+$3,435$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No11.6k68.8¢84.5¢$9,760+$1,818$0
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes9,92663.7¢90.5¢$8,983+$2,657$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No6,53079.4¢95¢$6,200+$1,014−$11.9k
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes5,00084.8¢96.1¢$4,805+$565$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes5,54156.7¢84.5¢$4,682+$1,543−$184
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?No5,17565.5¢83.5¢$4,321+$931$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No7,09747.2¢47.7¢$3,385+$35−$402
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3,27440.2¢85.7¢$2,804+$1,488+$52
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No3,40866¢70.5¢$2,403+$155−$43
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes3,46838.5¢62.5¢$2,168+$831+$635
KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte GiantsLG Twins2,98060¢71.5¢$2,131+$343$0
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsVitality2,20284¢84.5¢$1,861+$11$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No1,89696.4¢97.2¢$1,842+$14−$7,468
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes1,92081.5¢94.5¢$1,814+$250+$688
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-10-09?Yes2,82956¢55.5¢$1,570−$13$0
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes2,48954¢60.5¢$1,506+$162$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No1,49681.1¢82.1¢$1,227+$14−$152
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung LionsSamsung Lions2,41752¢46¢$1,112−$145−$78
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1,60458.1¢64.5¢$1,035+$103+$29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes4,46422.4¢19.9¢$886−$113+$177
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No19.1k11.2¢4.5¢$848−$1,289+$511
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,99039.4¢41.3¢$821+$36+$119
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Lakers1,18456¢68.5¢$811+$148$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes1,06375.8¢70.5¢$749−$57$0
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?Yes1,62744.6¢43¢$700−$27$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,73340.5¢39.9¢$691−$12$0
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia TigersKia Tigers1,27462¢48.9¢$624−$166−$49
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-10-09?No1,36845¢44.5¢$609−$7.37$0
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia TigersKia Tigers71169.9¢83.8¢$595+$98$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No68451¢86.5¢$592+$243$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?No53460¢96.2¢$514+$194−$1.75
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?No2,76429.1¢18.5¢$511−$294$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes6,5828.9¢7.1¢$467−$117−$108
Rockets vs. MavericksMavericks1,00052.3¢44.5¢$445−$78$0
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No54675¢80.5¢$440+$30$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes77945.4¢52.3¢$407+$53−$611
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No40526.9¢98.9¢$400+$291+$233
Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?No44288¢87.5¢$387−$2.21$0
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09?Yes54469.6¢69.5¢$378−$0.72$0
Will Juventus win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?No40387¢86.5¢$349−$2.01$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No40083.7¢85¢$340+$5.00+$96
LoL: Galions vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 1 WinnerGalions41482.2¢81.5¢$337−$2.80$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes70872.2¢42.5¢$301−$210$0
Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?No31886¢91¢$289+$16$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No1,14912.1¢23¢$264+$126+$161
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?No50227¢52¢$261+$126$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No30081.7¢82.2¢$246+$1.35$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,9006¢5.9¢$228−$5.85$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No1,55628.5¢14.4¢$223−$220−$39
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No40053.5¢51.6¢$206−$7.80$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,43344.4¢13.5¢$193−$442$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No32634.3¢58.5¢$191+$79$0
Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Yes1,37115.2¢12.5¢$171−$37$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes9,0007.8¢1.8¢$158−$544−$1,075
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No41936¢37.5¢$157+$6.29−$154
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,7169.5¢8.1¢$138−$25$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No84515¢15.5¢$131+$4.23+$639
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes1,88819.3¢6.5¢$122−$243$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,54410.9¢7.4¢$113−$55+$700
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes4,8707.1¢2.3¢$110−$235+$198
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5Over7666.7¢14.2¢$109+$58$0
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes86911.2¢11.1¢$96−$1.29−$132
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,6685.8¢5.1¢$84−$13+$1,247
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Yes31023¢26¢$81+$9.30$0
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes66114.5¢10.5¢$69−$27$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes43314¢12.5¢$54−$6.49$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Yes10539¢45.5¢$48+$6.83$0
Kings vs. LakersKings48522.6¢9.5¢$46−$63$0
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes1,0008.6¢4.3¢$43−$43$0
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Over39857.9¢6.5¢$26−$204$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No31023¢6.5¢$20−$51$0
Counter-Strike: Sissi State Punks vs Team LEISURE - Map 1 WinnerTeam LEISURE3859¢50.5¢$19−$3.26$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No3888.3¢42.2¢$16−$18$0
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes4719¢1.1¢$4.95−$37$0
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes24141¢0.9¢$2.05−$97−$96
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?Yes61.5k9.6¢0¢$0−$5,878−$253
Will Scotland win on 2026-10-06?Yes40.6k52.6¢0¢$0−$21.4k−$506
Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 5.5Over40.3k45.1¢0¢$0−$18.2k−$490
Will Belarus vs. Finland end in a draw?Yes27.9k30.5¢0¢$0−$8,504−$296
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming23.7k55¢0¢$0−$13.1k−$289
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-06?Yes17.0k40.2¢0¢$0−$6,850−$205
Will Mexico win on 2026-10-05?Yes16.3k62.6¢0¢$0−$10.2k−$139
Will Venezuela win on 2026-10-06?Yes11.9k24.8¢0¢$0−$2,944−$107
Will Colombia win on 2026-10-06?No10.8k30.1¢0¢$0−$3,248−$114
Will Scotland vs. Slovenia end in a draw?Yes8,54630¢0¢$0−$2,564−$90
Spread: Albania (-3.5)Albania3,99154.1¢0¢$0−$2,159−$50
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION3,48269¢0¢$0−$2,403−$37
Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 4.5Over3,20864.7¢0¢$0−$2,075−$36
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain2,14853¢0¢$0−$1,138−$27
United States vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreYes2,07163.4¢0¢$0−$1,312−$24
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over2,01346.9¢0¢$0−$945−$25
Lakers vs. WarriorsLakers1,83231¢0¢$0−$568−$20
Hawks vs. SpursSpurs1,77772.7¢0¢$0−$1,292−$18
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?Down1,77774.2¢0¢$0−$1,318−$8.86
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs100 Thieves1,70565¢0¢$0−$1,108−$19
Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsPaper Rex1,48554¢0¢$0−$802−$18
Will Albania vs. San Marino end in a draw?Yes1,3802.8¢0¢$0−$38−$1.86
Will India vs. Uruguay end in a draw?Yes1,3803.6¢0¢$0−$49−$2.38

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY T1Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner38.7¢900$34952%29
BUY YesWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?15.5¢300$4752%29
BUY YesWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?7.4¢1,651$12352%29
BUY MavericksRockets vs. Mavericks47.1¢1,003$47252%29
BUY RocketsRockets vs. Mavericks55.5¢546$30352%29
BUY Paper RexMap Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)37.9¢949$35952%29
BUY YesWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?5.2¢335$1852%29
BUY NoWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?94.6¢452$42852%29
BUY YesWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?5.1¢2,451$12552%29
BUY Paper RexValorant: T1 vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner62.9¢596$37552%29
BUY Paper RexValorant: T1 vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner62.7¢379$23752%29
BUY YesWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?6¢3,900$23452%29
BUY VitalityCounter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs84¢1,765$1,48352%29
BUY VitalityCounter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs84¢437$36752%29
BUY LakersSpread: Lakers (-9.5)56¢1,184$66352%29
BUY OverKings vs. Lakers: O/U 229.557.9¢398$23052%29
BUY GalionsLoL: Galions vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 1 Winner82.2¢414$34052%29
BUY NoWill NEOM SC win on 2026-10-09?45.1¢700$31652%29
BUY KingsKings vs. Lakers22.6¢485$10952%29
BUY HeatSpread: Heat (-7.5)48¢376$18052%29