| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 121k | 3.1¢ | 85.8¢ | $104k | +$99.8k | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 100k | 99.5¢ | 99.6¢ | $99.5k | +$50 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 75.0k | 92¢ | 91.5¢ | $68.6k | −$375 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 50.0k | 99¢ | 99.2¢ | $49.6k | +$75 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 6,765 | 67.7¢ | 89.5¢ | $6,054 | +$1,477 | $0 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 10.0k | 34.6¢ | 58.5¢ | $5,869 | +$2,401 | +$248 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,176 | 39¢ | 98.9¢ | $1,162 | +$704 | +$14 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 1,000 | 80.5¢ | 98.4¢ | $983 | +$178 | $0 | |
| Blue wave in 2026? | Yes | 688 | 77.8¢ | 85.5¢ | $588 | +$53 | +$7.00 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 20.0k | 4.2¢ | 2.4¢ | $470 | −$361 | −$501 | |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | Yes | 4,432 | 24¢ | 6.5¢ | $288 | −$776 | +$186 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 411 | 39.1¢ | 35.5¢ | $146 | −$15 | −$1.10 | |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 709 | 51¢ | 17.5¢ | $124 | −$238 | +$97 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 370 | 24.2¢ | 11.5¢ | $43 | −$47 | +$46 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1,512 | 26¢ | 2.8¢ | $42 | −$352 | +$1,264 | |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? | No | 10 | 63.1¢ | 96¢ | $9.72 | +$3.33 | −$3.53 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 191 | 10.8¢ | 2.5¢ | $4.77 | −$16 | −$130 | |
| Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? | Yes | 2 | 50¢ | 74.5¢ | $1.19 | +$0.39 | $0 | |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 121k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 | $0 | |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 121k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 | $0 | |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 121k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 | $0 | |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 121k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 | $0 | |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 121k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 | $0 | |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 121k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 | $0 | |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 121k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 | $0 | |
| Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 121k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 | $0 | |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 121k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 | $0 | |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 121k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 | $0 | |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 121k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 | $0 | |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 121k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 | $0 | |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 121k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 | $0 | |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 121k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 | $0 | |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 121k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 | $0 | |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 121k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,776 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 30.0k | 58.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17.5k | +$185 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 18.6k | 10.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,018 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | No | 10.6k | 56.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,960 | +$21 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 5,000 | 71¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,550 | $0 | |
| Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 5,000 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | No | 4,210 | 79.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,359 | −$222 | |
| Will Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw? | Yes | 3,826 | 95.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,638 | −$1.57 | |
| Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 3,000 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? | No | 2,302 | 34.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$785 | −$15 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 8.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$162 | $0 | |
| Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | No | 2,000 | 74¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,480 | +$1,465 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | Yes | 2,000 | 95.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,908 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | Yes | 1,500 | 22.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$333 | +$73 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$80 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$80 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$80 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$80 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$80 | $0 | |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 69.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$349 | $0 | |
| Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election? | Yes | 500 | 7.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? | No | 291 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$145 | −$2.18 | |
| Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 250 | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 250 | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 250 | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 250 | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 250 | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 250 | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 250 | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 250 | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 250 | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Yes | 190 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | Yes | 54 | 16.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.00 | −$175 | |
| Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? | No | 15 | 29¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.35 | −$0.09 | |
| Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 9 | 94¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.15 | −$8.57 | |
| Will John Stevens win the Clacton by-election? | Yes | 9 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.16 | $0 | |
| Will William Clouston win the Clacton by-election? | Yes | 9 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.16 | $0 | |
| Will Pamela Walford win the Clacton by-election? | Yes | 9 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.16 | $0 | |
| Will Matthew Bensilum win the Clacton by-election? | Yes | 3 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.07 | $0 | |
| Will Giles Watling win the Clacton by-election? | Yes | 3 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.07 | −$0.09 | |
