sharpside
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Traders/Rank #472

flawfence

0x23d…0288
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$426kvol $28.3M
PnL 30d+$31.2kgains $440k · losses $35.7k
PnL 7d+$165kwin rate 7d 61.5%
Win rate78.2%adj 77.0% · 30d 67.0%
Open value$651kcash n/a
Positions373 / 817open / all-time
Max drawdown−63.2%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 53m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$515kbelow peak −$74.1kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

71/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale80
Adjusted win rateraw 78.2% · shrunk toward 50%93
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity37

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes119k37¢84.8¢$101k+$56.7k+$39.1k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No66.9k82¢90.5¢$60.6k+$5,689$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No87.6k69¢64.5¢$56.5k−$3,984+$3,038
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes73.0k50.8¢55.5¢$40.5k+$3,398$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No78.0k41.8¢42.1¢$32.8k+$175−$18.8k
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes63.5k46.4¢42.5¢$27.0k−$2,498−$5,755
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes42.0k35.4¢63.5¢$26.7k+$11.8k+$1,115
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes32.3k86.3¢79.5¢$25.7k−$2,195−$10.1k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes168k13.3¢13.5¢$22.7k+$355−$6,628
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No78.2k33.9¢27.5¢$21.5k−$5,012+$143
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes42.7k55.9¢48.5¢$20.7k−$3,159+$59
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes28.3k51.1¢66.9¢$18.9k+$4,469$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes64.0k32.1¢28.5¢$18.2k−$2,321$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes22.8k68.2¢62.5¢$14.2k−$1,310$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No12.7k91.9¢97.7¢$12.4k+$726$0
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No24.7k57¢49¢$12.1k−$1,968+$115
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No18.3k54.1¢62.5¢$11.5k+$1,544−$309
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes14.5k74.8¢73.5¢$10.7k−$191$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No16.3k67.5¢62.5¢$10.2k−$821$0
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No17.1k43.9¢54.5¢$9,341+$1,811$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo20.0k35¢36.5¢$7,300+$300+$0.05
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No11.8k62.5¢61.5¢$7,273−$118$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes20.0k35¢35.5¢$7,100+$100$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes10.3k55¢66.5¢$6,881+$1,194$0
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No7,00082.6¢85.5¢$5,985+$205$0
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No8,00070.5¢71.5¢$5,720+$80$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes5,88872.7¢96.2¢$5,664+$1,382+$2,249
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes9,99557¢55.5¢$5,547−$150−$129
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?No9,26756.7¢59.5¢$5,514+$263+$883
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes10.9k41.3¢44.5¢$4,844+$349+$1,688
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No11.0k41.1¢38.5¢$4,235−$285$0
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No5,70875¢73.7¢$4,204−$77$0
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?No4,59583¢87.5¢$4,020+$207$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes58.9k16.3¢6.5¢$3,829−$5,784$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes6,29630¢27.5¢$1,731−$157$0
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?No3,36054.6¢49.5¢$1,663−$172$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes3,00052.5¢43.8¢$1,312−$263−$107
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes25.0k17¢4.9¢$1,225−$3,025$0
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes105k2.9¢1.2¢$1,207−$1,885$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes13.1k3.6¢8.5¢$1,112+$645$0
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No6,67759¢16.5¢$1,102−$2,836−$22
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?No3,47453.2¢31.5¢$1,094−$755$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes2,68341¢38.5¢$1,033−$67$0
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes2,62432.1¢37¢$971+$128+$237
Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?Yes2,01544.9¢46.5¢$937+$32$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?No1,72145¢52.5¢$903+$129$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes1,73154.6¢47.5¢$822−$123$0
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes1,97231¢37.5¢$739+$128$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes76370¢71.5¢$546+$11$0
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?No1,37531.7¢35.5¢$488+$52$0
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes65945¢50.5¢$333+$36$0
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?Yes53940¢52.5¢$283+$67$0
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes13.1k3.6¢2.1¢$268−$199$0
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?No25989.3¢95.2¢$246+$15$0
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No94372¢20.5¢$193−$486$0
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes13.8k0.9¢1.3¢$180+$55$0
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No19585¢87.5¢$171+$4.88$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No30434¢42.5¢$129+$26$0
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes13.1k3.6¢0.8¢$98−$369$0
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes13.1k3.6¢0.7¢$85−$382$0
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes76.7k16.8¢0.1¢$77−$12.8k−$160
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?No10477¢73.5¢$76−$3.64−$27
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?No50014¢14¢$70$0$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Yes5694¢96.5¢$54+$1.40$0
Plague pandemic in 2026?No5095¢96.1¢$48+$0.52$0
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes2581.9¢17.3¢$45+$40$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes6542¢68.5¢$44+$17$0
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes13.1k3.6¢0.3¢$33−$435$0
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes13.1k3.6¢0.3¢$33−$435$0
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes13.1k3.6¢0.2¢$26−$441$0
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes13.1k3.6¢0.2¢$26−$441$0
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Yes1,6843.9¢1.5¢$25−$41$0
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?No6,0595.8¢0.4¢$24−$329$0
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes13.1k3.6¢0.2¢$20−$448$0
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes13.1k3.6¢0.2¢$20−$448$0
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes13.1k3.6¢0.2¢$20−$448$0
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes13.1k3.6¢0.1¢$13−$454$0
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes13.1k3.6¢0.1¢$13−$454$0
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes13.1k3.6¢0.1¢$13−$454$0
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes13.1k3.6¢0.1¢$13−$454$0
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes13.1k3.6¢0.1¢$13−$454$0
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes13.1k3.6¢0.1¢$13−$454$0
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?Yes45933.3¢1.5¢$6.66−$146$0
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No469¢71.5¢$2.71+$0.09$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes717¢26.5¢$1.97+$0.71+$48
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2,8882.1¢0.1¢$1.44−$60$0
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2,8882.1¢0.1¢$1.44−$60$0
Will Alexis Tsipras be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Yes166.8¢7.2¢$1.16+$0.07$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1010¢11.5¢$1.15+$0.15$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes750k0.9¢0¢$0−$6,743−$80
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance403k58.8¢0¢$0−$237k$0
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy PaulAlexander Bublik200k22¢0¢$0−$44.0k$0
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09?No200k20.5¢0¢$0−$41.0k$0
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes126k4.6¢0¢$0−$5,777−$169
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid103k38¢0¢$0−$39.1k−$1,213
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?No100k40¢0¢$0−$40.0k$0
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic100k18¢0¢$0−$18.0k$0
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico100k48¢0¢$0−$48.0k$0
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-30?No100k29¢0¢$0−$29.0k$0
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?No100.0k39¢0¢$0−$39.0k$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?20¢78$1678%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?20¢13.7k$2,74478%71Sharp
BUY NoWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?86.9¢3,293$2,86278%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?12¢77.3k$9,28278%71Sharp
BUY NoWill Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?85¢195$16678%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?94¢56$5378%71Sharp
BUY NoWill Messi score 1+ goals vs. Benin?9¢1,000$9078%71Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?54¢8,781$4,74278%71Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?53.7¢13.9k$7,46078%71Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?52.7¢7,318$3,85678%71Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?54¢4,364$2,35778%71Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?33¢15$4.9578%71Sharp
BUY NoWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?33.9¢643$21878%71Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?32¢3,612$1,15578%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?82¢1,751$1,43578%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?15¢1,906$28678%71Sharp
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?55¢2,020$1,11078%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?53.9¢3,249$1,75078%71Sharp
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?30¢21$6.3978%71Sharp
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?30¢18$5.3678%71Sharp