sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

BrianJames3573

0x24e…09dc
PoliticsCultureSportCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$92vol $148k
PnL 30d−$29gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$12win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate57.1%adj 56.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$568cash n/a
Positions42 / 374open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.9%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$169below peak −$114Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale28
Adjusted win rateraw 57.1% · shrunk toward 50%42
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$226Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31? · Noclosed+$219Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards? · Noclosed+$102Will Trae Young be traded this season? · Yesclosed+$72Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026) · Noclosed+$57

Worst markets

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025? · Noopen−$154Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · Yesopen−$113Will Anthony Davis be traded this season? · Noclosed−$86Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · Noclosed−$76Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31? · Noclosed−$67

Open positions · 42

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?No33523¢90.5¢$303+$226$0
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?Yes26271.7¢28.5¢$75−$113$0
Another Elon baby by June 30?No6681¢100¢$66+$13+$40
Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?Yes9290¢49.5¢$46−$37$0
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?No4498.6¢97.7¢$43−$0.40$0
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No2995.4¢90.5¢$26−$1.44+$2.70
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?No358¢100¢$3.00+$1.26$0
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes293.2¢9.6¢$2.77+$1.84+$5.22
Will Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes391.9¢100¢$2.58+$0.21$0
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes523¢22¢$1.10−$0.05−$17
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?No40238.2¢0¢$0−$154$0
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?Yes2081.1¢0¢$0−$2.29$0
Will FrankResearcher win the competition?No18522¢0¢$0−$41$0
HumidiFi FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes1461.4¢0¢$0−$2.04$0
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in December 2025?Yes1322.3¢0¢$0−$3.04$0
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 55% and 58%?Yes13228¢0¢$0−$37$0
Over 45,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes1091.5¢0¢$0−$1.64$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?Yes1071.1¢0¢$0−$1.18$0
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2025?Yes982.7¢0¢$0−$2.65$0
Will Route2FI win the Orderly trading competition?Yes952.2¢0¢$0−$2.09$0
Abdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by December 31?Yes944¢0¢$0−$3.76$0
Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?No885.3¢0¢$0−$4.70−$0.82
Will NFT #200 win the Based trading competition?Yes811.1¢0¢$0−$0.89$0
US national XRP reserve in 2025?Yes771.2¢0¢$0−$0.92$0
Will Atlas introduce ads by December 31?Yes766¢0¢$0−$4.56$0
Will Trump say "King" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?No6749¢0¢$0−$33$0
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?Yes664.2¢0¢$0−$2.77$0
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?Yes622.2¢0¢$0−$1.36$0
Will Trump say "Country music" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?No5541.7¢0¢$0−$23$0
Will Taiki Maeda win the Orderly trading competition?No5450¢0¢$0−$27−$1.64
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?No2817¢0¢$0−$4.76+$3.30
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in December 2025?Yes2710.6¢0¢$0−$2.86−$0.83
Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes1616¢0¢$0−$2.56$0
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No710¢0¢$0−$0.70$0
Will Metamask daily perps revenue hit $100k in 2025?Yes79¢0¢$0−$0.63−$3.10
Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes56.5¢0¢$0−$0.33+$6.79
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?No388¢0¢$0−$2.64−$7.56
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?Yes39¢0¢$0−$0.27$0
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No216.1¢0¢$0−$0.34−$11
Will Anderson Silva win his boxing match against Tyron Woodley?No236¢0¢$0−$0.72−$6.16
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?Yes28¢0¢$0−$0.16+$2.52
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?No119¢0¢$0−$0.19−$1.26

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoAnother Elon baby by June 30?88¢9$7.9257%45
SELL NoAnother Elon baby by June 30?76¢77$5957%45
SELL NoWill Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?20¢48$9.6057%45
SELL NoWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?54¢48$2657%45
SELL NoWill the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Divisional Round?51¢518$26457%45
BUY NoWill the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Divisional Round?55¢518$28557%45
BUY NoWill the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?33¢326$10857%45
SELL NoWill 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?68¢313$21357%45
BUY NoWill 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?68¢313$21357%45
SELL NoWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round?90¢61$5557%45
SELL NoWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round?90¢307$27657%45
SELL NoWill John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?42¢415$17457%45
BUY NoWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 12% and 14% of votes in the first round?89¢368$32857%45
SELL NoWill Keon Ellis be traded this season?18¢582$10557%45
BUY NoWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?38.2¢402$15457%45
BUY NoWill Keon Ellis be traded this season?17¢610$10457%45
SELL NoWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?86¢87$7557%45
SELL NoWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?86¢184$15857%45
SELL NoWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?48¢338$16257%45
SELL NoWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?47¢20$9.4057%45