sharpside
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JessicaCollins4978

0x260…13cc
PoliticsCryptoSportCultureOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$551vol $270k
PnL 30d+$20gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$27win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate56.9%adj 56.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$534cash n/a
Positions39 / 410open / all-time
Max drawdown−44.5%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$843below peak −$15Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale39
Adjusted win rateraw 56.9% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity56

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 39

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?No30626¢92¢$282+$202$0
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No26419.2¢72.9¢$192+$142$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes3070¢93.9¢$28+$7.16−$3.09
Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?No1741¢100¢$17+$10$0
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes6977¢8¢$5.52−$48$0
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No730.9¢73.5¢$5.14+$2.98−$33
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No360¢76.5¢$2.29+$0.49+$3.64
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No196.7¢96.5¢$0.96$0+$0.43
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No163¢93.5¢$0.94+$0.30−$5.70
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes217¢6.5¢$0.13−$0.21+$20
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes16663.8¢0¢$0−$106$0
Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes15114.5¢0¢$0−$22+$268
Will "Brett Goldstein: The Second Best Night of Your Life" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?Yes11511¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Cup?No5891.9¢0¢$0−$53$0
XRP Up or Down - November 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETDown5546¢0¢$0−$25$0
XRP Up or Down - November 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETUp4231¢0¢$0−$13$0
Solana Up or Down - November 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp4154¢0¢$0−$22$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 4PM ETUp4050¢0¢$0−$20$0
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp3521¢0¢$0−$7.35$0
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETDown3345.5¢0¢$0−$15$0
Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown3229¢0¢$0−$9.28$0
Solana Up or Down - November 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp3011¢0¢$0−$3.30$0
XRP Up or Down - November 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETUp2621¢0¢$0−$5.46$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp2333.6¢0¢$0−$7.73$0
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes1929¢0¢$0−$5.51−$4.00
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETUp1636¢0¢$0−$5.76$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETUp1336¢0¢$0−$4.68$0
Solana Up or Down - November 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETDown1352¢0¢$0−$6.76$0
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes1016¢0¢$0−$1.53−$0.11
Solana Up or Down - November 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown927¢0¢$0−$2.43$0
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp915¢0¢$0−$1.35$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp852¢0¢$0−$4.16$0
Solana Up or Down - November 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETUp756¢0¢$0−$3.92$0
Solana Up or Down - November 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp511¢0¢$0−$0.55$0
Solana Up or Down - November 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown569¢0¢$0−$3.45$0
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No437¢0¢$0−$1.48−$4.29
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No323¢0¢$0−$0.69$0
Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes138¢0¢$0−$0.38−$16
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes114¢0¢$0−$0.14−$2.00

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?68¢42$2957%45
SELL NoWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?65¢364$23757%45
SELL NoWill Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?18¢24$4.3257%45
SELL NoWill Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?77¢37$2857%45
SELL NoWill Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? 92.3¢69$6457%45
BUY NoWill Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?78¢584$45557%45
SELL NoWill The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?24¢156$3757%45
SELL NoRippling IPO before 2027?60¢64$3857%45
SELL NoWill The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?25¢49$1257%45
SELL NoWill both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?68¢422$28757%45
SELL NoWill The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?25¢9$2.2557%45
SELL NoWill the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?74¢363$26957%45
SELL NoWill Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?37.3¢48$1857%45
BUY NoWill the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?75¢363$27257%45
BUY NoOver $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?18.8¢59$1157%45
SELL NoOver $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?27¢839$22757%45
BUY NoWill both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?68¢422$28757%45
BUY NoOver $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?19.3¢205$4057%45
SELL NoWill Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?15¢632$9557%45
BUY NoOver $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?31¢749$23257%45