sharpside
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FutureExitLiq

0x261…1709
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsCultureOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$979vol $34.8k
PnL 30d−$578gains $1,846 · losses $924
PnL 7d−$221win rate 7d 85.7%
Win rate82.9%adj 78.1% · 30d 90.1%
Open value$4,965cash n/a
Positions65 / 182open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age54dlast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$560below peak −$1,633Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 82.9% · shrunk toward 50%95
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 65

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Summit be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?No83390¢99.9¢$832+$82$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No51394.8¢97.6¢$500+$14$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No50091.5¢97.7¢$488+$31$0
Will The Pitt rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?No25576.5¢98.6¢$251+$56$0
Will Ted Lasso rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?No25080¢99.4¢$248+$48$0
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No25088¢90¢$225+$5.00$0
Will Erling Braut Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Yes25071¢85.5¢$214+$36$0
Will Stefon Diggs rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No19291.4¢99.9¢$192+$16$0
Will His & Hers rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?No25274.5¢76¢$191+$3.68$0
Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No25181.7¢73.5¢$184−$21$0
Will Conor McGregor rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?No25078¢66.5¢$166−$29$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No20083¢82.5¢$165−$1.00$0
Will Stranger Things rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?No25851.3¢59.5¢$154+$21$0
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?Yes20169.3¢69¢$139−$0.52$0
Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Yes20039¢64.5¢$129+$51$0
Will Oliver Tree rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026?No25023¢37.5¢$94+$36$0
Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?No11074.2¢82¢$90+$8.60$0
Will Lamine Yamal rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?No10189¢88¢$89−$1.02$0
Will Kylian Mbappé rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?No12575.1¢70.5¢$88−$5.82$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No10079¢83¢$83+$4.00$0
Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No22426.4¢25.5¢$57−$1.92$0
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No19920¢23.5¢$47+$6.89$0
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No20050¢20¢$40−$60$0
Will Inde Navarrette rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?No25428.5¢13.5¢$34−$38$0
Will Michael rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?Yes6020¢57¢$34+$22$0
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?No4028¢63.5¢$25+$14$0
Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?No3458¢72.5¢$24+$4.87$0
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be less than $303,000 on December 31?No2771¢88¢$24+$4.61$0
Will Jaafar Jackson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?No4941.8¢46¢$23+$2.06$0
Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No2388¢95.6¢$22+$1.75$0
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No2963¢67.5¢$20+$1.32$0
Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?No8538.6¢20.5¢$18−$15$0
Will Lamine Yamal rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?No2073¢85.5¢$17+$2.50$0
Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?No13912.1¢12¢$17−$0.19$0
Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No2051¢67.5¢$14+$3.30$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?Yes4050¢25.5¢$10−$9.80$0
Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes687.8¢13.2¢$8.97+$3.65$0
Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes2062¢32.5¢$6.50−$5.90$0
Will Neymar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Yes1100.9¢0.7¢$0.77−$0.23$0
Will Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28?Yes1,05673.1¢0¢$0−$772−$8.13
Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 6 and 9 million views this week?No4899.9¢0¢$0−$49−$2.19
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?No35271¢0¢$0−$250−$2.90
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes3102.3¢0¢$0−$7.08−$0.27
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?Yes30244.6¢0¢$0−$135−$53
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?No25047¢0¢$0−$118−$3.11
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 6 and 7 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?Yes20024.4¢0¢$0−$49$0
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?No19181¢0¢$0−$155−$1.47
Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?Yes15347¢0¢$0−$72−$1.53
Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?Yes15028¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Yes15044¢0¢$0−$66$0
Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?Yes15044¢0¢$0−$66−$1.48
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes13910.8¢0¢$0−$15−$0.54
Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?Yes11442.9¢0¢$0−$49−$1.06
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?No10171.9¢0¢$0−$73−$0.82
Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?Yes8010.1¢0¢$0−$8.10−$0.29
Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?Grüne4768.9¢0¢$0−$32−$0.40
OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 26?No4586¢0¢$0−$39−$0.22
Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?Yes4074¢0¢$0−$30−$0.31
Will SPD win at least 16% of all valid second votes?Yes304.1¢0¢$0−$1.23−$0.05
Will SPD win between 13% and 16% of all valid second votes?Yes3015.9¢0¢$0−$4.77−$0.16
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes2615¢0¢$0−$3.86−$0.13
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?No1369¢0¢$0−$8.90−$0.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp1241¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.21
Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?No1067¢0¢$0−$6.70−$0.09
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 158 and 162 seats after the 2026 election?Yes293¢0¢$0−$1.84$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?11.8¢50$5.8883%42
SELL NoWill OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?14.8¢25$3.6983%42
BUY YesWill OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?83¢23$1983%42
SELL YesWill Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?23¢117$2783%42
BUY YesWill OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?76¢93$7183%42
SELL NoWill Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?98.9¢33$3383%42
SELL NoWill Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?99.6¢28$2783%42
SELL YesWill Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?32¢38$1283%42
BUY YesWill OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?48¢94$4583%42
BUY YesWill Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?48.2¢325$15783%42
BUY NoWill OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?43.8¢80$3583%42
BUY YesWill Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?39.9¢141$5683%42
BUY YesWill Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?29¢20$5.8083%42
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?70¢143$10083%42
BUY YesWill DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?58.6¢318$18683%42
BUY NoWill Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?76¢34$2683%42
BUY YesWill DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?49¢20$9.8083%42
BUY YesWill DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?67.2¢205$13883%42
BUY NoWill Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?75¢40$3083%42
BUY NoWill Google have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?75¢238$17883%42