sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,963

sdhyky

0x264…baca
PnL 10k+1y+CryptoPoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$44.5kvol $14.7M
PnL 30d−$6,703gains $23.8k · losses $16.1k
PnL 7d−$11.5kwin rate 7d 67.6%
Win rate57.3%adj 57.0% · 30d 59.4%
Open value$71.2kcash n/a
Positions152 / 1,275open / all-time
Max drawdown−31.7%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 12h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$64.4kbelow peak −$14.6kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 57.3% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes150k13¢13.5¢$20.3k+$750$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No8,00076.7¢84.5¢$6,760+$621$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No7,00084.7¢89.5¢$6,265+$338+$358
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes10.0k63¢62.5¢$6,250−$50$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No6,00081.8¢95.9¢$5,751+$843+$324
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No5,00089¢94.5¢$4,725+$275+$192
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes5,00084.5¢85.8¢$4,288+$65+$814
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes3,00073.1¢80.5¢$2,415+$221$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes5,00043.4¢43.5¢$2,175+$2.96−$219
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No2,05386.2¢92¢$1,889+$119$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes5,00036.2¢36.5¢$1,825+$15+$118
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No2,00082¢91¢$1,820+$180$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes3,00041.8¢48¢$1,440+$187$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes2,00055.2¢62.5¢$1,250+$145+$100
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes1,00076¢82¢$820+$60$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?No1,13954.6¢68.5¢$780+$158+$192
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No1,00076.6¢73.5¢$735−$32$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Yes65992.6¢90.5¢$596−$14$0
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No50084.4¢95.7¢$479+$56+$81
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes5,0009¢9.5¢$475+$25$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes1,0009.2¢11.8¢$118+$26$0
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?No5881¢81.5¢$47+$0.29+$61
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?No1576¢96.4¢$14+$3.05+$45
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No1079¢96.1¢$9.63+$1.71+$443
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1083¢83.5¢$8.35+$0.05$0
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?Yes585.6¢97.7¢$5.33+$0.66$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No587¢97.7¢$4.88+$0.53$0
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?No580¢95.5¢$4.78+$0.78$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes268¢79.5¢$1.20+$0.17$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes521¢8.1¢$0.40−$0.65−$19
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Scooters Park Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?No50.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$50−$1.42
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes18.0k90.8¢0¢$0−$16.4k−$41
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes12.9k45.6¢0¢$0−$5,881+$40
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?Up9,3559.5¢0¢$0−$887−$32
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsMovistar KOI6,26328¢0¢$0−$1,754−$0.32
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes6,0001.7¢0¢$0−$100+$58
Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?Yes4,2542.1¢0¢$0−$89−$75
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Yes3,27718.4¢0¢$0−$602−$13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?No3,00018.8¢0¢$0−$565−$12
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 26 and 28 million views on week 1?Yes2,8440.2¢0¢$0−$6.81−$0.34
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 28 and 30 million views on week 1?Yes2,4420.1¢0¢$0−$2.44−$0.12
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes2,44116.4¢0¢$0−$401−$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 3-9?Yes2,0008¢0¢$0−$160−$10
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9?Yes2,00034¢0¢$0−$680−$31
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of August 24 2026?Yes1,90228.6¢0¢$0−$544−$4.51
Will Gustavo Feijó win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?Yes1,7640.2¢0¢$0−$3.52−$0.05
Will Joel Rodrigues win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?Yes1,7620.2¢0¢$0−$3.52−$0.05
Will Elizeu Aguiar win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?Yes1,6460.2¢0¢$0−$3.29−$0.17
Will Professor Gisvaldo win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?Yes1,6400.2¢0¢$0−$3.28−$0.17
Will Geraldo Carvalho win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?Yes1,6270.2¢0¢$0−$3.25−$0.19
Will Lourdes Melo win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?Yes1,6050.2¢0¢$0−$3.21−$0.21
Will Ravenna da Inclusão win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?Yes1,6000.2¢0¢$0−$3.20−$0.22
Will Dra. Lúcia Santos win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?Yes1,5600.2¢0¢$0−$3.12−$0.18
Will Santiago Belizário win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?Yes1,5600.2¢0¢$0−$3.12−$0.18
Will Professor Jurity win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?Yes1,4720.2¢0¢$0−$2.94−$0.35
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in July?Yes1,20737.8¢0¢$0−$456−$24
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?Yes1,1700.1¢0¢$0−$1.17−$0.01
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season?Yes1,0961¢0¢$0−$11−$0.57
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 27?Down1,03428.1¢0¢$0−$290−$117
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?Yes1,0003¢0¢$0−$30+$306
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsT11,00035.3¢0¢$0−$353−$0.55
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 38 and 40 million views on week 1?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get at least 40 million views on week 1?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 36 and 38 million views on week 1?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 10?Yes1,0005.1¢0¢$0−$51$0
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 32 and 34 million views on week 1?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?Yes1,0005.3¢0¢$0−$53−$2.49
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Yes1,0000.2¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaWeibo Gaming1,00046¢0¢$0−$460$0
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 34 and 36 million views on week 1?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsKarmine Corp1,00077¢0¢$0−$770$0
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsDplus KIA1,00041.9¢0¢$0−$419−$4.75
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?Yes1,0005.1¢0¢$0−$51+$17
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?Yes98114¢0¢$0−$137−$24
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 30 and 32 million views on week 1?Yes8490.1¢0¢$0−$1.18−$0.06
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes8150.9¢0¢$0−$7.32−$0.29
LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?Yes7013¢0¢$0−$21$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETDown60071.9¢0¢$0−$431−$6.06
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 24 and 26 million views on week 1?Yes6000.6¢0¢$0−$3.60−$0.18
Will Blades Brown finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No50059.3¢0¢$0−$296−$40
Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?No50080¢0¢$0−$400−$4.00
Will Bud Cauley finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?No50084¢0¢$0−$420−$3.36
Will Davis Bryant finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No50084¢0¢$0−$420−$3.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 August 24-30?No5001¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.35
Will Nick Dunlap finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No50079¢0¢$0−$395−$4.15
Will Adam Scott finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?No50078.8¢0¢$0−$394−$4.18
Will Max McGreevy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No50067.4¢0¢$0−$337−$5.50
Will Zach Bauchou finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?No50067.7¢0¢$0−$339−$5.46
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 14?Down4348.8¢0¢$0−$38−$0.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp40018¢0¢$0−$72$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp40018¢0¢$0−$72$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp40018¢0¢$0−$72$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown40018¢0¢$0−$72$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp40018¢0¢$0−$72$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown40018¢0¢$0−$72$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETUp40018¢0¢$0−$72$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETDown40018¢0¢$0−$72$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp40018¢0¢$0−$72$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp40018¢0¢$0−$72$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETDown40018¢0¢$0−$72$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?81¢2,000$1,62057%65
SELL NoWill Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?90¢20.0k$18.0k57%65Whale
BUY YesWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?9¢2,000$18057%65
BUY YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?36¢2,000$72057%65
BUY YesWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?43.3¢2,000$86657%65
BUY YesWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?42.2¢1,000$42257%65
BUY YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?37¢1,000$37057%65
BUY YesWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?9¢1,000$9057%65
BUY YesWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?73¢1,000$73057%65
BUY YesWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?9¢2,000$18057%65
BUY YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?36¢2,000$72057%65
BUY YesWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?44.2¢2,000$88457%65
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?87.6¢404$35457%65
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?38¢113$4357%65
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?53¢883$46857%65
BUY NoChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?76.7¢1,000$76757%65
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?92.6¢659$61057%65
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?90.5¢685$62057%65
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?55.9¢1,117$62457%65
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?36.9¢887$32757%65