| Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? | No | 1,842 | 93.2¢ | 96.1¢ | $1,770 | +$54 | +$62 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026? | No | 1,857 | 81.9¢ | 88.5¢ | $1,644 | +$122 | −$9.12 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Detroit, MI by December 31 2026? | No | 542 | 87.8¢ | 89¢ | $483 | +$6.62 | $0 | |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? | No | 487 | 87.7¢ | 88.5¢ | $431 | +$3.91 | +$2.50 | |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | No | 626 | 67¢ | 52.5¢ | $329 | −$91 | +$62 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 360 | 74.4¢ | 71¢ | $255 | −$12 | +$1.50 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Chicago, IL by December 31 2026? | No | 274 | 86.7¢ | 90.5¢ | $248 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Tokyo, Japan by December 31 2026? | No | 255 | 84.3¢ | 96.5¢ | $246 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 266 | 85.4¢ | 89.1¢ | $237 | +$9.68 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Philadelphia, PA by December 31 2026? | No | 285 | 79.7¢ | 79.5¢ | $227 | −$0.60 | −$27 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Minneapolis, MN by December 31 2026? | No | 227 | 91.1¢ | 93¢ | $211 | +$4.35 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 396 | 63.6¢ | 50.5¢ | $200 | −$52 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 631 | 71¢ | 29.5¢ | $186 | −$262 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 719 | 35.9¢ | 25.9¢ | $186 | −$72 | +$3.86 | |
| Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026? | No | 195 | 85.5¢ | 93¢ | $181 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Seattle, WA by December 31 2026? | No | 187 | 89.6¢ | 94¢ | $176 | +$8.19 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Pittsburgh, PA by December 31 2026? | No | 181 | 86.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $164 | +$7.27 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? | No | 182 | 84.7¢ | 84.5¢ | $154 | −$0.43 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 183 | 85.7¢ | 83.5¢ | $153 | −$3.97 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 171 | 82.4¢ | 79.5¢ | $136 | −$4.91 | $0 | |
| Houthi military action against Mecca by December 31, 2026? | No | 140 | 94¢ | 94¢ | $132 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 169 | 76.1¢ | 77.5¢ | $131 | +$2.28 | +$28 | |
| Will Waymo launch in St. Louis, MO by December 31 2026? | No | 141 | 79.7¢ | 84.5¢ | $119 | +$6.81 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo launch in New Orleans, LA by December 31 2026? | No | 147 | 88.6¢ | 78.5¢ | $115 | −$15 | +$0.99 | |
| Will Waymo launch in London, UK by December 31 2026? | No | 106 | 88.1¢ | 96.4¢ | $103 | +$8.81 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Charlotte, NC by December 31 2026? | No | 110 | 89.9¢ | 90¢ | $99 | +$0.09 | −$6.46 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | No | 102 | 93¢ | 95.8¢ | $98 | +$2.86 | −$1.80 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Tampa, FL by December 31 2026? | No | 405 | 23.9¢ | 23.4¢ | $95 | −$2.21 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 91¢ | 93.5¢ | $94 | +$2.50 | +$1.20 | |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 95 | 96¢ | 96.4¢ | $92 | +$0.32 | $0 | |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15? | No | 100 | 83.2¢ | 82.5¢ | $83 | −$0.70 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026? | No | 252 | 36.2¢ | 27.5¢ | $69 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026? | No | 319 | 23.7¢ | 21.5¢ | $69 | −$6.97 | +$16 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Baltimore, MD by December 31 2026? | No | 69 | 88.8¢ | 96.2¢ | $67 | +$5.07 | $0 | |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 74 | 87¢ | 86.6¢ | $64 | −$0.33 | −$0.63 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? | No | 280 | 29¢ | 20.5¢ | $57 | −$24 | +$2.13 | |
| Will Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 90¢ | 95.6¢ | $48 | +$2.80 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 68 | 64¢ | 69.5¢ | $47 | +$3.75 | $0 | |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 60 | 79¢ | 78.5¢ | $47 | −$0.30 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 220 | 26.3¢ | 16.5¢ | $36 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Washington, DC by December 31 2026? | No | 38 | 89.6¢ | 95¢ | $36 | +$2.07 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 42 | 70.9¢ | 76.5¢ | $32 | +$2.34 | +$15 | |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | Yes | 86 | 30¢ | 33¢ | $28 | +$2.58 | $0 | |
| Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? | Yes | 45 | 68.7¢ | 59.5¢ | $27 | −$4.12 | $0 | |
| Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 30 | 87¢ | 86¢ | $26 | −$0.30 | $0 | |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | No | 28 | 73¢ | 82.5¢ | $23 | +$2.68 | $0 | |
| Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? | No | 97 | 25¢ | 22.5¢ | $22 | −$2.42 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 39 | 63.5¢ | 54¢ | $21 | −$3.70 | −$1.60 | |
| Any G20 leader out in 2026? | No | 24 | 85¢ | 87¢ | $21 | +$0.47 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 23 | 86.7¢ | 87¢ | $20 | +$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 33 | 66.7¢ | 58.2¢ | $19 | −$2.81 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 20 | 91.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $18 | −$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | 80.5¢ | 89¢ | $18 | +$1.70 | $0 | |
| US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026? | No | 18 | 89¢ | 92.5¢ | $17 | +$0.63 | $0 | |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | Yes | 260 | 27.8¢ | 6¢ | $16 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Portland, OR by December 31 2026? | No | 16 | 93¢ | 95¢ | $15 | +$0.32 | $0 | |
| António Guterres out by December 31? | No | 20 | 73.5¢ | 72.5¢ | $15 | −$0.20 | $0 | |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | Yes | 1,133 | 1.4¢ | 1.3¢ | $14 | −$1.29 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 16 | 83.8¢ | 87¢ | $14 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 44 | 47¢ | 31.5¢ | $14 | −$6.82 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 49 | 28.5¢ | 25.5¢ | $12 | −$1.47 | +$34 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Boston, MA by December 31 2026? | No | 11 | 95¢ | 93.7¢ | $10 | −$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 186 | 9.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $10 | −$7.37 | +$2.04 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 10 | 97¢ | 99.1¢ | $9.91 | +$0.21 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 10 | 88¢ | 96.7¢ | $9.67 | +$0.87 | +$108 | |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | No | 10 | 92¢ | 95.9¢ | $9.59 | +$0.39 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15 | 76.3¢ | 62.5¢ | $9.38 | −$2.07 | $0 | |
| Will Houthis target Syria by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | 76¢ | 89¢ | $8.90 | +$1.30 | $0 | |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | Yes | 10 | 78¢ | 81.9¢ | $8.19 | +$0.39 | $0 | |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? | No | 10 | 83¢ | 79¢ | $7.90 | −$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 15 | 50.2¢ | 45.9¢ | $6.89 | −$0.65 | +$0.61 | |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | Yes | 66 | 19.9¢ | 9.5¢ | $6.31 | −$6.93 | −$0.07 | |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | Yes | 133 | 8.7¢ | 4.5¢ | $5.99 | −$5.58 | −$0.40 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 60 | 15.5¢ | 9.5¢ | $5.70 | −$3.60 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 10 | 56.9¢ | 52.7¢ | $5.26 | −$0.42 | −$0.24 | |
| Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | No | 9 | 87¢ | 54.5¢ | $4.91 | −$2.92 | $0 | |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? | Yes | 2,396 | 0.8¢ | 0.2¢ | $4.79 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 5 | 93.5¢ | 99.9¢ | $4.70 | +$0.30 | +$4.22 | |
| Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 27 | 59¢ | 17.3¢ | $4.67 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 10 | 62¢ | 46¢ | $4.60 | −$1.60 | −$8.85 | |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 5 | 94.7¢ | 98.8¢ | $4.54 | +$0.19 | +$0.08 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 10 | 59¢ | 44.5¢ | $4.45 | −$1.45 | $0 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 40 | 23.5¢ | 11¢ | $4.40 | −$5.00 | +$8.02 | |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? | No | 5 | 89¢ | 77¢ | $3.85 | −$0.60 | $0 | |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 5 | 56¢ | 61.5¢ | $3.36 | +$0.30 | −$3.66 | |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14 | 67.5¢ | 23.5¢ | $3.36 | −$6.29 | −$1.00 | |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 394 | 2.1¢ | 0.9¢ | $3.35 | −$5.04 | $0 | |
| Ukraine lowers conscription age by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 60 | 8¢ | 5.5¢ | $3.30 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | Yes | 50 | 7¢ | 5.5¢ | $2.76 | −$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 15 | 16¢ | 17.5¢ | $2.63 | +$0.23 | +$0.10 | |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | Yes | 47 | 10¢ | 5.5¢ | $2.57 | −$2.10 | $0 | |
| Will Syria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | 32.5¢ | 6.4¢ | $2.54 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14 | 28¢ | 18¢ | $2.48 | −$1.38 | +$78 | |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 5 | 64¢ | 48.5¢ | $2.42 | −$0.78 | +$0.51 | |
| Will the next elected US president be a woman? | Yes | 10 | 15¢ | 23.5¢ | $2.35 | +$0.85 | $0 | |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 2 | 74¢ | 89.5¢ | $2.14 | +$0.37 | +$3.86 | |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | Yes | 48 | 5.7¢ | 4.4¢ | $2.12 | −$0.63 | +$1.27 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 20 | 14¢ | 10.5¢ | $2.10 | −$0.70 | $0 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 10 | 19¢ | 20.5¢ | $2.05 | +$0.15 | +$4.41 | |
| Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 32¢ | 9¢ | $1.80 | −$4.60 | $0 | |