| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 20.0k | 50¢ | 80.2¢ | $16.0k | +$6,030 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 6,550 | 73.2¢ | 95.9¢ | $6,282 | +$1,489 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20.0k | 50¢ | 19.9¢ | $3,970 | −$6,030 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,000 | 89.7¢ | 96.7¢ | $3,868 | +$278 | −$0.23 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 2,615 | 82.1¢ | 93.5¢ | $2,445 | +$299 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2,000 | 85¢ | 84.5¢ | $1,690 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win white women in the midterms? | Yes | 1,794 | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1,435 | +$161 | −$47 | |
| Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by October 31? | Yes | 1,632 | 90.1¢ | 85.5¢ | $1,396 | −$75 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.6k | 26.6¢ | 13¢ | $1,372 | −$1,438 | −$17 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,550 | 71.6¢ | 84.5¢ | $1,309 | +$201 | +$14 | |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 93¢ | 94.5¢ | $945 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31? | Yes | 983 | 76.2¢ | 93.8¢ | $922 | +$173 | +$119 | |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 825 | 80¢ | 99.5¢ | $821 | +$161 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 1,000 | 63¢ | 81.5¢ | $815 | +$185 | $0 | |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 948 | 73.1¢ | 70¢ | $664 | −$30 | +$45 | |
| Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31? | Yes | 692 | 80¢ | 93¢ | $643 | +$89 | +$19 | |
| Will Republicans win white women in the midterms? | Yes | 3,022 | 18.7¢ | 20¢ | $604 | +$40 | −$61 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 50¢ | 51.7¢ | $517 | +$17 | +$97 | |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1,017 | 44.4¢ | 49.5¢ | $504 | +$52 | +$65 | |
| Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,278 | 35.4¢ | 38¢ | $486 | +$34 | +$20 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026? | No | 481 | 82.4¢ | 96¢ | $461 | +$65 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 773 | 58.8¢ | 58¢ | $448 | −$6.44 | +$13 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3,070 | 14.7¢ | 13.5¢ | $415 | −$36 | +$1.54 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 14, 2026? | Yes | 455 | 83.9¢ | 89.5¢ | $407 | +$25 | +$5.86 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 9, 2026? | Yes | 408 | 88.9¢ | 96.2¢ | $392 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 12, 2026? | Yes | 432 | 87.4¢ | 85.5¢ | $369 | −$8.42 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Chuck Schumer by October 31, 2026? | No | 600 | 39.2¢ | 61.1¢ | $366 | +$131 | +$93 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 18¢ | 23.5¢ | $353 | +$83 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 23, 2026? | Yes | 390 | 86.3¢ | 90¢ | $351 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 13, 2026? | Yes | 361 | 86.5¢ | 91¢ | $328 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026? | No | 360 | 71.5¢ | 90¢ | $324 | +$67 | −$0.18 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 500 | 63¢ | 63.5¢ | $318 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by October 31, 2026? | No | 322 | 87.4¢ | 98.5¢ | $317 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | No | 427 | 65¢ | 72¢ | $307 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by October 31, 2026? | No | 327 | 87.7¢ | 92.5¢ | $302 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | No | 322 | 91¢ | 93.9¢ | $302 | +$9.28 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,320 | 24¢ | 22.5¢ | $297 | −$20 | +$582 | |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | No | 345 | 71.1¢ | 85.5¢ | $295 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by October 31, 2026? | No | 382 | 58.1¢ | 69.5¢ | $265 | +$44 | +$45 | |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31? | No | 657 | 40.9¢ | 39.5¢ | $260 | −$9.40 | −$2.80 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 10, 2026? | Yes | 296 | 83.3¢ | 87.5¢ | $259 | +$12 | −$51 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 8, 2026? | Yes | 259 | 85.2¢ | 99¢ | $256 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 28, 2026? | Yes | 266 | 83.1¢ | 92.5¢ | $246 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 15, 2026? | Yes | 259 | 85.4¢ | 90¢ | $233 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? | No | 730 | 53.9¢ | 31.5¢ | $230 | −$164 | $0 | |
| Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,551 | 18.1¢ | 14.5¢ | $225 | −$55 | +$3.64 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Karoline Leavitt by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 355 | 61.6¢ | 62.5¢ | $222 | +$3.15 | +$68 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026? | Yes | 250 | 86.7¢ | 88.5¢ | $221 | +$4.48 | +$2.82 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 29, 2026? | Yes | 240 | 83.8¢ | 91.5¢ | $219 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro by October 31? | No | 208 | 95.7¢ | 99.5¢ | $207 | +$7.74 | $0 | |
| Will "Car" or "Vehicle" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | No | 368 | 36.5¢ | 53¢ | $195 | +$61 | $0 | |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31? | Yes | 294 | 54.8¢ | 64¢ | $188 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026? | No | 267 | 66.1¢ | 68.5¢ | $183 | +$6.46 | +$12 | |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 936 | 17.4¢ | 19.5¢ | $183 | +$19 | +$91 | |
| Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15? | No | 279 | 58.7¢ | 64.5¢ | $180 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 30, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 86.1¢ | 90¢ | $180 | +$7.80 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by October 31, 2026? | No | 211 | 80.2¢ | 84.5¢ | $179 | +$9.16 | −$31 | |
| Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his Midterm Rally in New York? | No | 625 | 32.9¢ | 28¢ | $175 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 19, 2026? | Yes | 221 | 87.6¢ | 76¢ | $168 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Javier Milei by October 31, 2026? | No | 234 | 72.7¢ | 70.5¢ | $165 | −$5.10 | +$51 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 27, 2026? | Yes | 179 | 84.3¢ | 91.3¢ | $164 | +$13 | +$8.94 | |
| Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31? | Yes | 275 | 35.9¢ | 59¢ | $162 | +$64 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026? | No | 164 | 88.9¢ | 98.2¢ | $161 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by October 31, 2026? | No | 163 | 90.9¢ | 97¢ | $158 | +$9.93 | $0 | |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | No | 167 | 83.9¢ | 93.5¢ | $156 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | No | 476 | 48.4¢ | 32.5¢ | $155 | −$76 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 16, 2026? | Yes | 167 | 86.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $154 | +$9.98 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026? | No | 155 | 92.4¢ | 97.2¢ | $151 | +$7.30 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 11, 2026? | Yes | 202 | 79.1¢ | 74¢ | $149 | −$10 | −$5.95 | |
| Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Buccaneers vs Cowboys game? | Yes | 250 | 74.4¢ | 59.5¢ | $149 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Will Trump praise Javier Milei in September? | No | 203 | 51.1¢ | 73¢ | $148 | +$45 | +$341 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | No | 151 | 95.7¢ | 96.3¢ | $145 | +$0.88 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 20, 2026? | Yes | 163 | 84.2¢ | 86¢ | $140 | +$2.86 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Thomas Massie by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 344 | 26.7¢ | 38.5¢ | $132 | +$41 | +$51 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,914 | 17.3¢ | 6.5¢ | $124 | −$206 | $0 | |
| Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | No | 229 | 39.9¢ | 54¢ | $123 | +$32 | +$1.19 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 21, 2026? | Yes | 140 | 87.1¢ | 74¢ | $104 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Mark Rutte by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 297 | 39.9¢ | 34.5¢ | $103 | −$16 | +$45 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by October 31, 2026? | No | 220 | 36.7¢ | 46.5¢ | $102 | +$22 | +$8.00 | |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? | No | 316 | 26.6¢ | 30.5¢ | $97 | +$12 | +$13 | |
| Will "Woman" be in the headlines this week? | No | 113 | 63¢ | 84¢ | $95 | +$24 | −$3.73 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | Yes | 282 | 71.7¢ | 32.5¢ | $92 | −$111 | $0 | |
| Will anyone say "Blind" during Big Brother E36? | Yes | 183 | 24.3¢ | 50¢ | $92 | +$47 | $0 | |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? | Yes | 120 | 58.2¢ | 76¢ | $91 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 1,178 | 13¢ | 7.5¢ | $88 | −$65 | $0 | |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30? | Yes | 100 | 80¢ | 87¢ | $87 | +$7.00 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%? | Yes | 276 | 27.8¢ | 31¢ | $86 | +$8.85 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 22, 2026? | Yes | 96 | 85.5¢ | 89¢ | $85 | +$3.31 | $0 | |
| Will "Star" be in the headlines this week? | No | 108 | 56.4¢ | 79¢ | $85 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by October 31, 2026? | No | 154 | 46.8¢ | 54.5¢ | $84 | +$12 | +$43 | |
| Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,589 | 4.9¢ | 5.3¢ | $83 | +$5.16 | $0 | |
| Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week? | No | 91 | 55.2¢ | 87.5¢ | $80 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | 9.4¢ | 25.5¢ | $77 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Letitia James by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 229 | 23.7¢ | 32.5¢ | $74 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race? | Yes | 250 | 22¢ | 29.5¢ | $74 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the Buccaneers vs Cowboys game? | Yes | 86 | 86¢ | 86¢ | $74 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will "Trade" be in the headlines this week? | Yes | 199 | 46.6¢ | 36¢ | $72 | −$21 | +$1.03 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 123 | 49.5¢ | 57.5¢ | $71 | +$9.80 | +$33 | |
| Will the announcers say "Turf" during the Buccaneers vs Cowboys game? | No | 100 | 59¢ | 70¢ | $70 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 600 | 39¢ | 11.5¢ | $69 | −$165 | $0 | |
