| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 80.0k | 94¢ | 94.5¢ | $75.6k | +$400 | $0 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 74.0k | 93.7¢ | 97.8¢ | $72.3k | +$2,995 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 78.0k | 81.8¢ | 83.5¢ | $65.1k | +$1,303 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 73.6k | 81.7¢ | 78.5¢ | $57.8k | −$2,381 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 56.7k | 86.1¢ | 93.5¢ | $53.1k | +$4,218 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 55.3k | 92.4¢ | 95¢ | $52.6k | +$1,435 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 47.8k | 97.3¢ | 98.5¢ | $47.1k | +$534 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 48.7k | 92.6¢ | 94.5¢ | $46.1k | +$943 | +$668 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 48.0k | 93.9¢ | 94.5¢ | $45.4k | +$270 | $0 | |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 40.8k | 97.6¢ | 98¢ | $40.0k | +$178 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 40.6k | 88.2¢ | 96.7¢ | $39.3k | +$3,436 | +$4.33 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 45.8k | 93.1¢ | 85.5¢ | $39.2k | −$3,486 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 39.8k | 88.2¢ | 88.5¢ | $35.2k | +$121 | $0 | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 34.4k | 95.1¢ | 99¢ | $34.1k | +$1,324 | +$106 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 34.1k | 98.2¢ | 98.6¢ | $33.6k | +$144 | $0 | |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | No | 36.8k | 89.5¢ | 91¢ | $33.5k | +$543 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | No | 31.1k | 98.8¢ | 99.2¢ | $30.8k | +$123 | +$4.48 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 31.5k | 94.6¢ | 96¢ | $30.2k | +$442 | $0 | |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 30.3k | 95.1¢ | 96.2¢ | $29.1k | +$326 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 27.9k | 88.1¢ | 96.8¢ | $26.9k | +$2,393 | +$20.0k | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 25.2k | 97.2¢ | 96.9¢ | $24.4k | −$97 | $0 | |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 25.1k | 93.2¢ | 93.5¢ | $23.5k | +$81 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 23.2k | 93.1¢ | 94.5¢ | $21.9k | +$326 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 22.0k | 95¢ | 95¢ | $20.9k | −$4.93 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 23.0k | 85.2¢ | 87.3¢ | $20.1k | +$479 | $0 | |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 20.1k | 90¢ | 96.3¢ | $19.4k | +$1,260 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 19.6k | 97.2¢ | 97.4¢ | $19.1k | +$48 | $0 | |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 18.2k | 88.9¢ | 94.5¢ | $17.2k | +$1,017 | $0 | |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.9k | 85.7¢ | 95.5¢ | $17.1k | +$1,751 | +$31 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21.8k | 88.9¢ | 76.5¢ | $16.7k | −$2,695 | $0 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.7k | 89¢ | 94.5¢ | $15.8k | +$911 | $0 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 15.9k | 95.3¢ | 96.5¢ | $15.3k | +$193 | $0 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | No | 16.0k | 93.4¢ | 94.5¢ | $15.1k | +$170 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 14.7k | 97.9¢ | 96.6¢ | $14.2k | −$193 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 15.4k | 85.4¢ | 91¢ | $14.0k | +$865 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? | No | 14.7k | 89.5¢ | 92.5¢ | $13.6k | +$445 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 13.5k | 97.7¢ | 98.3¢ | $13.2k | +$70 | $0 | |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | 13.4k | 92.1¢ | 95¢ | $12.8k | +$384 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 12.8k | 94.9¢ | 95.6¢ | $12.2k | +$88 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 12.2k | 97.5¢ | 98.6¢ | $12.0k | +$129 | $0 | |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | No | 12.5k | 93.7¢ | 93.5¢ | $11.7k | −$31 | $0 | |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 11.0k | 93.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $10.5k | +$225 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat? | Yes | 10.7k | 94.1¢ | 96.4¢ | $10.3k | +$242 | $0 | |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.7k | 80.4¢ | 92.5¢ | $9,931 | +$1,299 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 9,940 | 92.6¢ | 93.5¢ | $9,294 | +$91 | $0 | |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | Anthropic | 10.0k | 90.3¢ | 92¢ | $9,203 | +$168 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat? | Yes | 9,000 | 93¢ | 97.6¢ | $8,780 | +$408 | $0 | |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 8,966 | 96.4¢ | 97.5¢ | $8,742 | +$103 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | No | 8,619 | 96.8¢ | 98.9¢ | $8,519 | +$175 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 9,100 | 93.1¢ | 92.5¢ | $8,418 | −$58 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-26 House seat? | Yes | 8,050 | 95.7¢ | 96.3¢ | $7,748 | +$41 | $0 | |
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | No | 7,500 | 95.9¢ | 99.5¢ | $7,459 | +$266 | $0 | |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | 7,673 | 91.9¢ | 95.4¢ | $7,317 | +$267 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-05 House seat? | No | 7,450 | 95.8¢ | 96.1¢ | $7,156 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 6,000 | 95¢ | 94.5¢ | $5,670 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 6,000 | 93¢ | 93.5¢ | $5,610 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 6,323 | 92.8¢ | 77.4¢ | $4,894 | −$977 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5,000 | 95.6¢ | 96.7¢ | $4,835 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 5,000 | 94¢ | 95.5¢ | $4,775 | +$75 | $0 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 5,000 | 95¢ | 94.5¢ | $4,725 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 4,698 | 95.8¢ | 99.4¢ | $4,668 | +$167 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5,000 | 91¢ | 91.5¢ | $4,575 | +$25 | $0 | |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 4,713 | 95.1¢ | 96.2¢ | $4,531 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 5,075 | 90.7¢ | 77.5¢ | $3,933 | −$670 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? | No | 3,879 | 97.4¢ | 98.5¢ | $3,821 | +$44 | $0 | |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026? | No | 3,897 | 96¢ | 96.8¢ | $3,771 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,183 | 94.6¢ | 90¢ | $3,765 | −$194 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 3,774 | 96.9¢ | 98.9¢ | $3,731 | +$75 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,251 | 87.3¢ | 87.5¢ | $3,719 | +$8.82 | $0 | |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 3,679 | 92.3¢ | 94.2¢ | $3,466 | +$69 | +$91 | |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | No | 3,562 | 90.6¢ | 95.8¢ | $3,412 | +$183 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat? | No | 3,500 | 96¢ | 95.5¢ | $3,343 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026? | No | 3,450 | 94.3¢ | 96.4¢ | $3,326 | +$74 | $0 | |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 3,343 | 98.4¢ | 98.4¢ | $3,289 | +$1.65 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 3,333 | 95.2¢ | 98.4¢ | $3,278 | +$103 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the RI-02 House seat? | No | 3,200 | 96¢ | 98.6¢ | $3,154 | +$82 | $0 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026? | No | 3,151 | 97.7¢ | 99.5¢ | $3,134 | +$56 | $0 | |
| Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 11+ innings? | Yes | 5,046 | 95¢ | 62¢ | $3,126 | −$1,668 | $0 | |
| GTA VI released by November 30? | Yes | 3,170 | 94.8¢ | 95.3¢ | $3,021 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat? | Yes | 3,200 | 93.3¢ | 93.7¢ | $2,997 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,203 | 87.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $2,994 | +$192 | $0 | |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 3,065 | 92¢ | 93.2¢ | $2,855 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 3,435 | 83.8¢ | 81.5¢ | $2,799 | −$80 | $0 | |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,800 | 92.1¢ | 97.1¢ | $2,717 | +$139 | $0 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? | No | 3,010 | 90¢ | 87.5¢ | $2,634 | −$76 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat? | Yes | 2,655 | 95.9¢ | 95.5¢ | $2,536 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ME-01 House seat? | Yes | 2,600 | 95¢ | 95.9¢ | $2,493 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat? | No | 2,500 | 95¢ | 99.3¢ | $2,483 | +$108 | $0 | |
| Iran invades Kuwait by October 31? | No | 2,285 | 95.4¢ | 99.3¢ | $2,268 | +$88 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the RI-01 House seat? | Yes | 2,200 | 96¢ | 97.6¢ | $2,146 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | No | 2,410 | 89¢ | 88.5¢ | $2,133 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election? | Yes | 2,135 | 93.4¢ | 92.8¢ | $1,981 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 93¢ | 98.5¢ | $1,970 | +$110 | $0 | |
| Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026? | No | 2,075 | 90¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,961 | +$93 | +$5.80 | |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,933 | 90.3¢ | 99.4¢ | $1,921 | +$176 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat? | Yes | 2,000 | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1,920 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-06 House seat? | No | 1,900 | 95¢ | 99.9¢ | $1,898 | +$93 | $0 | |
| Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 1,910 | 99.5¢ | 98.4¢ | $1,879 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat? | No | 1,850 | 95.9¢ | 97.5¢ | $1,804 | +$30 | $0 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 2,046 | 83.4¢ | 84.5¢ | $1,729 | +$22 | $0 | |