| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.4k | 92.5¢ | 97.1¢ | $10.1k | +$483 | +$322 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 5,222 | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $5,219 | +$39 | +$10 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 3,781 | 89.8¢ | 96.3¢ | $3,641 | +$245 | +$96 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 2,888 | 94.3¢ | 96.9¢ | $2,797 | +$72 | $0 | |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 2,247 | 96.2¢ | 98¢ | $2,202 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 2,064 | 96.3¢ | 97.4¢ | $2,009 | +$21 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 2,000 | 93¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,830 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2,000 | 88.7¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,810 | +$35 | +$102 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 2,500 | 57.7¢ | 57.9¢ | $1,446 | +$3.26 | −$19 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1,476 | 93.2¢ | 97.8¢ | $1,442 | +$67 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,700 | 75.1¢ | 73.5¢ | $1,250 | −$27 | +$5.23 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 1,250 | 93.9¢ | 98.3¢ | $1,228 | +$54 | +$3.38 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1,115 | 90.2¢ | 96.3¢ | $1,074 | +$68 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,515 | 69¢ | 57.5¢ | $871 | −$174 | −$250 | |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 567 | 82.9¢ | 76.8¢ | $435 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | Yes | 400 | 96.2¢ | 94¢ | $376 | −$9.00 | $0 | |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1,000 | 50.5¢ | 34.5¢ | $345 | −$160 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | No | 300 | 92¢ | 86.5¢ | $260 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 250 | 91¢ | 96.6¢ | $242 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 248 | 93.4¢ | 93.8¢ | $232 | +$0.87 | $0 | |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 8,023 | 4.1¢ | 2.9¢ | $229 | −$103 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1,918 | 17¢ | 8.1¢ | $154 | −$172 | $0 | |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 6,359 | 0.9¢ | 2.4¢ | $153 | +$94 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1,000 | 55¢ | 13.5¢ | $135 | −$415 | +$33 | |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | No | 150 | 82¢ | 85.5¢ | $128 | +$5.25 | $0 | |
| Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? | No | 158 | 65¢ | 68.5¢ | $108 | +$5.54 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2,000 | 4.1¢ | 5.1¢ | $101 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 320 | 33¢ | 28.5¢ | $91 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 438 | 75.4¢ | 19.5¢ | $86 | −$245 | −$40 | |
| Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 111 | 66¢ | 64.5¢ | $72 | −$1.66 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 311 | 23.6¢ | 19¢ | $59 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? | Yes | 273 | 24¢ | 18.5¢ | $51 | −$15 | +$1.27 | |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 51 | 61¢ | 82¢ | $42 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 56 | 64¢ | 70.5¢ | $39 | +$3.63 | +$3.53 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 44¢ | 5.1¢ | $25 | −$195 | $0 | |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 28¢ | 24.5¢ | $25 | −$3.50 | $0 | |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | 31¢ | 22.5¢ | $23 | −$8.50 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 234 | 33¢ | 9¢ | $21 | −$56 | −$19 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 100 | 67.4¢ | 12.7¢ | $13 | −$55 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | No | 100 | 33¢ | 6.8¢ | $6.75 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat? | Yes | 211 | 59.1¢ | 3.2¢ | $6.65 | −$118 | $0 | |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 6 | 52.6¢ | 90.5¢ | $5.66 | +$2.37 | −$94 | |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 14 | 61¢ | 34.8¢ | $4.95 | −$3.74 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 6 | 83¢ | 81.5¢ | $4.79 | −$0.09 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 2 | 92.9¢ | 97¢ | $1.96 | +$0.08 | +$77 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | No | 6 | 21¢ | 26.5¢ | $1.68 | +$0.35 | $0 | |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 125 | 20.4¢ | 0.9¢ | $1.06 | −$24 | +$11 | |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 15 | 7¢ | 3.3¢ | $0.49 | −$0.57 | $0 | |
| Will Base be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 34.3k | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$87 | +$14 | |
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 4,494 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$91 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2,500 | 81.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,046 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 2,389 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45 | $0 | |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$140 | $0 | |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 1,261 | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$109 | −$32 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 1,050 | 93.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$979 | −$35 | |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 1,043 | 13.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$139 | +$19 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 1,000 | 93¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$930 | $0 | |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 55+ times during the next White House press briefing? | Yes | 941 | 41.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$394 | $0 | |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during the next White House Press Briefing? | Yes | 911 | 43.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$396 | $0 | |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | Yes | 736 | 61.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$455 | +$4.72 | |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | Yes | 672 | 45.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$307 | $0 | |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House Press Briefing? | Yes | 585 | 32.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$190 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 555 | 57¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$316 | $0 | |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 539 | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 499 | 90.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$451 | $0 | |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 450 | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | Yes | 448 | 6.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | −$0.75 | |
| Will Dave & Buster's (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 426 | 9.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$42 | +$16 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 400 | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$264 | +$30 | |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 15+ times at the rally on Saturday? | Yes | 385 | 44.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$170 | $0 | |
| Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 334 | 18.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$62 | $0 | |
| Weed rescheduled by June 30? | Yes | 322 | 42.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$137 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 308 | 86.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$266 | $0 | |
| Will Leavitt say "FBI" during the next White House Press Briefing? | Yes | 308 | 33¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31? | Yes | 303 | 48.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$148 | −$19 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | No | 300 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$84 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 287 | 17.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| BitBoy convicted? | Yes | 277 | 82.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$230 | $0 | |
| Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? | Yes | 269 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$126 | $0 | |
| Will Leavitt say "China" during the next White House press briefing? | Yes | 263 | 37.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$98 | +$4.03 | |
| Powell Bingo: March | No | 261 | 37.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$98 | +$0.37 | |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? | Yes | 255 | 48¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$122 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Hoge finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard? | Yes | 250 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 250 | 21¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$53 | $0 | |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 250 | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$67 | $0 | |
| Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03? | No | 222 | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$97 | +$54 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | Yes | 200 | 94.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$190 | $0 | |
| Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? | No | 200 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$94 | $0 | |
| Will Leavitt say "ICE" during the next White House press briefing? | Yes | 200 | 33¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$66 | $0 | |
| BNP Paribas Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 200 | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$88 | $0 | |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 200 | 41¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$82 | $0 | |
| BNP Paribas Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel Diallo | Mattia Bellucci | 194 | 48¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$93 | $0 | |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 185 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$42 | +$0.31 | |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026? | No | 184 | 32.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March? | Yes | 175 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Will Leavitt say "ICE" during the next White House Press Briefing? | No | 163 | 37.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30? | Yes | 155 | 17.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | $0 | |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? | Yes | 155 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Yes | 150 | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$74 | $0 | |
| Will Leavitt say "Commander" during the next White House press briefing? | Yes | 147 | 67.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$99 | $0 | |